PlayoffStatus.com

Mon Jan 23 11:30 pm

Southwestern Basketball - Week 12 of 17

Southern What If?

The Southern Jaguars What If table presents finishing probabilities depended upon how Southern plays future conference games. These games include either the next game or all remaining games. Other unplayed future conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Southern What If?

Next Game - Alcorn St. (9‑10)

  Resultant Record Regular Season Finish
  W L 1*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
2*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
3*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
4*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
5 6 7 8 NT
Win Next Game 7 1 46% 26% 14% 7% 3% 2% 1% <1% <1%
Current Standings 6 1 34% 26% 19% 11% 6% 3% 1% 1% <1%
Lose Next Game 6 2 17% 27% 25% 15% 8% 4% 2% 1% <1%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Regular Season Finish
  1*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
2*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
3*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
4*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
5 6 7 8 NT
Best Case Scenario 46% 26% 14% 7% 3% 2% 1% <1% <1%
Current Standings 34% 26% 19% 11% 6% 3% 1% 1% <1%
Worst Case Scenario 17% 27% 25% 15% 8% 4% 2% 1% <1%
Best Case Scenario
   Southern beats Alcorn St.
Worst Case Scenario
   Alcorn St. beats Southern
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won
Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games
Resultant Record Regular Season Finish
W L 1*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
2*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
3*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
4*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
5 6 7 8 NT
11 of 11 100% 17 1 100% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
10 of 11 91% 16 2 97% 3% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
9 of 11 82% 15 3 85% 15% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
8 of 11 73% 14 4 52% 41% 6% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
7 of 11 64% 13 5 18% 48% 30% 4% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
6 of 11 55% 12 6 3% 23% 45% 25% 3% <1% <1% ^ ^
5 of 11 45% 11 7 <1% 4% 23% 44% 25% 5% <1% <1% ^
4 of 11 36% 10 8 <1% <1% 3% 20% 38% 30% 9% 1% <1%
3 of 11 27% 9 9 X X <1% 1% 12% 33% 35% 16% 2%
2 of 11 18% 8 10 X X X <1% <1% 5% 25% 42% 27%
1 of 11 9% 7 11 X X X X <1% <1% 2% 20% 78%
0 of 11 0% 6 12 X X X X X X <1% 1% 99%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • * denotes first round home field advantage in the post season conference tournament