The Most Important Games for the North Dakota Fighting Hawks are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Fighting Hawks final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. North Dakota Fighting Hawks fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
North Dakota Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5* First Round Bye |
6* First Round Bye |
7* First Round Bye |
8 | 9 | |||
| North Dakota (4‑8) vs Oral Roberts (4‑7) |
14 | North Dakota Wins | 2% | 5% | 8% | 11% | 13% | 15% | 17% | 16% | 11% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 12% | 14% | 16% | 18% | 17% | ||
| Oral Roberts Wins | 1% | 3% | 6% | 8% | 11% | 14% | 17% | 21% | 20% | ||
| North Dakota St. (7‑3) vs South Dakota (5‑6) |
1 | North Dakota St. Wins | 2% | 4% | 8% | 9% | 12% | 14% | 16% | 19% | 17% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 12% | 14% | 16% | 18% | 17% | ||
| South Dakota Wins | 2% | 4% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 14% | 16% | 19% | 17% | ||
| Denver (4‑6) vs UMKC (1‑9) |
1 | Denver Wins | 2% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 12% | 14% | 17% | 19% | 16% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 12% | 14% | 16% | 18% | 17% | ||
| UMKC Wins | 2% | 4% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 15% | 17% | 19% | ||
| South Dakota St. (6‑5) vs Nebraska Omaha (5‑7) |
0 | South Dakota St. Wins | 2% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 12% | 14% | 17% | 18% | 17% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 12% | 14% | 16% | 18% | 17% | ||
| Nebraska Omaha Wins | 2% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 11% | 14% | 16% | 19% | 17% | ||