The Most Important Games for the North Dakota Fighting Hawks are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Fighting Hawks final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. North Dakota Fighting Hawks fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
North Dakota Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5* First Round Bye |
6* First Round Bye |
7* First Round Bye |
8 | 9 | |||
| North Dakota (6‑4) vs St. Thomas (5‑4) |
8 | North Dakota Wins | 16% | 14% | 13% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 5% |
| Current Probabilities | 14% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | ||
| St. Thomas Wins | 9% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 9% | ||
| South Dakota (6‑3) vs North Dakota St. (6‑4) |
0 | South Dakota Wins | 14% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% |
| Current Probabilities | 14% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | ||
| North Dakota St. Wins | 14% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 12% | 11% | 11% | 9% | 8% | ||
| UMKC (4‑6) vs Oral Roberts (3‑4) |
0 | UMKC Wins | 14% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 8% |
| Current Probabilities | 14% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | ||
| Oral Roberts Wins | 13% | 13% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 8% | ||
| Denver (6‑4) vs Nebraska Omaha (5‑6) |
0 | Denver Wins | 14% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 7% |
| Current Probabilities | 14% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | ||
| Nebraska Omaha Wins | 15% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | ||