The Most Important Games for the North Dakota Fighting Hawks are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Fighting Hawks final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. North Dakota Fighting Hawks fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
North Dakota Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5* First Round Bye |
6* First Round Bye |
7* First Round Bye |
8 | 9 | |||
| South Dakota St. (11‑15) vs Oral Roberts (6‑20) |
0 | South Dakota St. Wins | 8% | 29% | 58% | 4% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 8% | 28% | 59% | 4% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Oral Roberts Wins | 8% | 28% | 60% | 4% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| North Dakota (15‑13) vs North Dakota St. (20‑6) |
0 | North Dakota Wins | 19% | 43% | 38% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 8% | 28% | 59% | 4% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| North Dakota St. Wins | <1% | 22% | 71% | 6% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| St. Thomas (19‑8) vs UMKC (4‑21) |
0 | St. Thomas Wins | 8% | 27% | 60% | 5% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 8% | 28% | 59% | 4% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| UMKC Wins | 10% | 37% | 48% | 4% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Nebraska Omaha (13‑14) vs Denver (13‑14) |
0 | Nebraska Omaha Wins | 8% | 29% | 60% | 3% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 8% | 28% | 59% | 4% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Denver Wins | 9% | 27% | 58% | 5% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||