PlayoffStatus.com

Fri Jan 27 11:30 pm

Summit Basketball - Week 12 of 16

North Dakota What If?

The North Dakota Fighting Hawks What If table presents finishing probabilities depended upon how North Dakota plays future conference games. These games include either the next game or all remaining games. Other unplayed future conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

North Dakota What If?

Next Game - South Dakota St. (11‑10)

  Resultant Record Regular Season Finish
  W L 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 NT
Win Next Game 2 8 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 8% 86%
Current Standings 1 8 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 5% 93%
Lose Next Game 1 9 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 95%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Regular Season Finish
  1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 NT
Best Case Scenario <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 5% 93%
Current Standings <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 5% 93%
Worst Case Scenario <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 95%
Best Case Scenario
   Oral Roberts beats Nebraska Omaha
Worst Case Scenario
   Nebraska Omaha beats Oral Roberts
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won
Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games
Resultant Record Regular Season Finish
W L 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 NT
9 of 9 100% 10 8 <1% 12% 42% 35% 10% 1% <1% <1% ^
8 of 9 89% 9 9 X <1% 8% 32% 39% 18% 3% <1% ^
7 of 9 78% 8 10 X X <1% 2% 18% 40% 30% 9% 1%
6 of 9 67% 7 11 X X X X <1% 7% 31% 41% 21%
5 of 9 56% 6 12 X X X X X <1% 3% 26% 70%
4 of 9 44% 5 13 X X X X X X <1% 3% 97%
3 of 9 33% 4 14 X X X X X X X <1% >99%
2 of 9 22% 3 15 X X X X X X X X 100%
1 of 9 11% 2 16 X X X X X X X X 100%
0 of 9 0% 1 17 X X X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method