The Most Important Games for the Appalachian St. Mountaineers are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Mountaineers final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Appalachian St. Mountaineers fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Appalachian St. Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||
| 1* First through Fifth Round Byes |
2* First through Fifth Round Byes |
3** First through Fourth Round Byes |
4** First through Fourth Round Byes |
5*** First through Third Round Byes |
6*** First through Third Round Byes |
7# First and Second Round Byes |
8# First and Second Round Byes |
9## First Round Bye |
10## First Round Bye |
11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | |||
| Appalachian St.App. St. (8‑5) vs Georgia St. (2‑10) |
256 | Appalachian St.App. St. Wins | 8% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 8% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Georgia St. Wins | 4% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 1% | ||
| LA Lafayette (1‑9) vs Southern Miss (6‑5) |
20 | LA Lafayette Wins | 8% | 10% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 8% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Southern Miss Wins | 8% | 10% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Texas State (7‑6) vs South Alabama (9‑3) |
14 | Texas State Wins | 8% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 8% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | ||
| South Alabama Wins | 8% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 7% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Georgia Southern (9‑5) vs James Madison (7‑5) |
11 | Georgia Southern Wins | 8% | 10% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 8% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | ||
| James Madison Wins | 8% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Old Dominion (4‑8) vs Coastal Carolina (6‑6) |
8 | Old Dominion Wins | 8% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 8% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Coastal Carolina Wins | 8% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Marshall (7‑4) vs Troy (6‑5) |
7 | Marshall Wins | 8% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 2% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 8% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Troy Wins | 8% | 10% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 2% | <1% | ||