The Most Important Games for the Coastal Carolina Chanticleers are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Chanticleers final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Coastal Carolina Chanticleers fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Coastal Carolina Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||
| 1* First through Fifth Round Byes |
2* First through Fifth Round Byes |
3** First through Fourth Round Byes |
4** First through Fourth Round Byes |
5*** First through Third Round Byes |
6*** First through Third Round Byes |
7# First and Second Round Byes |
8# First and Second Round Byes |
9## First Round Bye |
10## First Round Bye |
11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | |||
| Coastal Carolina (11‑9) vs Texas State (11‑9) |
372 | Coastal Carolina Wins | 2% | 7% | 10% | 13% | 13% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 5% | 9% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Texas State Wins | <1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 3% | <1% | ||
| UL Monroe (3‑16) vs Marshall (12‑7) |
38 | UL Monroe Wins | 1% | 6% | 9% | 11% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 2% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 5% | 9% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Marshall Wins | 1% | 6% | 9% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 4% | 2% | <1% | ||
| LA Lafayette (5‑14) vs Appalachian St.App. St. (11‑9) |
29 | LA Lafayette Wins | 1% | 6% | 9% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 2% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 5% | 9% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Appalachian St.App. St. Wins | 1% | 5% | 9% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 2% | <1% | ||
| James Madison (9‑10) vs South Alabama (13‑6) |
21 | James Madison Wins | 1% | 6% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 2% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 5% | 9% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 2% | <1% | ||
| South Alabama Wins | 1% | 6% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Arkansas St. (11‑7) vs Georgia Southern (13‑7) |
12 | Arkansas St. Wins | 1% | 6% | 9% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 2% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 5% | 9% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Georgia Southern Wins | 1% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Southern Miss (11‑9) vs Georgia St. (7‑12) |
10 | Southern Miss Wins | 1% | 6% | 9% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 2% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 5% | 9% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Georgia St. Wins | 1% | 6% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Troy (12‑6) vs Old Dominion (6‑14) |
6 | Troy Wins | 1% | 6% | 9% | 10% | 12% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 4% | 2% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 5% | 9% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Old Dominion Wins | 2% | 5% | 8% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 3% | <1% | ||