The Most Important Games for the Georgia Southern Eagles are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Eagles final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Georgia Southern Eagles fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Georgia Southern Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3* First and Second Round Byes |
4* First and Second Round Byes |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8** First Round Bye |
9** First Round Bye |
10** First Round Bye |
11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | |||
| Georgia Southern (0‑8) vs Southern Miss (4‑4) |
11 | Georgia Southern Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 9% | 13% | 16% | 20% | 26% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 14% | 20% | 37% | ||
| Southern Miss Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 10% | 14% | 21% | 41% | ||
| Marshall (2‑6) vs LA Lafayette (5‑3) |
1 | Marshall Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 14% | 20% | 38% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 14% | 20% | 37% | ||
| LA Lafayette Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 11% | 14% | 21% | 36% | ||
| Georgia St. (4‑4) vs Arkansas St. (2‑7) |
0 | Georgia St. Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 15% | 21% | 36% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 14% | 20% | 37% | ||
| Arkansas St. Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 13% | 20% | 38% | ||
| Old Dominion (3‑5) vs South Alabama (5‑5) |
0 | Old Dominion Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 14% | 20% | 37% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 14% | 20% | 37% | ||
| South Alabama Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 14% | 20% | 37% | ||
| Appalachian St.App.St. (7‑2) vs UL Monroe (4‑3) |
0 | Appalachian St.App.St. Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 11% | 14% | 20% | 36% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 14% | 20% | 37% | ||
| UL Monroe Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 14% | 21% | 36% | ||
| Troy (4‑4) vs Coastal Carolina (3‑5) |
0 | Troy Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 14% | 20% | 37% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 14% | 20% | 37% | ||
| Coastal Carolina Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 14% | 20% | 37% | ||
| James Madison (8‑0) vs Texas State (3‑5) |
0 | James Madison Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 14% | 21% | 36% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 14% | 20% | 37% | ||
| Texas State Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 14% | 21% | 37% | ||