The Most Important Games for the James Madison Dukes are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Dukes final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. James Madison Dukes fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
James Madison Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3* First and Second Round Byes |
4* First and Second Round Byes |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8** First Round Bye |
9** First Round Bye |
10** First Round Bye |
11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | |||
| James Madison (10‑8) vs Appalachian St.App.St. (10‑7) |
47 | James Madison Wins | 6% | 15% | 17% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 11% | 14% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Appalachian St.App.St. Wins | 2% | 5% | 11% | 14% | 15% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Southern Miss (8‑11) vs Texas State (10‑8) |
5 | Southern Miss Wins | 5% | 11% | 14% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 11% | 14% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Texas State Wins | 5% | 11% | 14% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Coastal Carolina (8‑10) vs Marshall (10‑9) |
2 | Coastal Carolina Wins | 5% | 11% | 14% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 11% | 14% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Marshall Wins | 5% | 11% | 14% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Georgia St. (7‑11) vs Arkansas St. (13‑5) |
2 | Georgia St. Wins | 6% | 13% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 11% | 14% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Arkansas St. Wins | 5% | 11% | 14% | 14% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | ||
| UL Monroe (4‑15) vs LA Lafayette (5‑13) |
2 | UL Monroe Wins | 5% | 11% | 14% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 11% | 14% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| LA Lafayette Wins | 5% | 11% | 14% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Georgia Southern (9‑9) vs Old Dominion (6‑10) |
1 | Georgia Southern Wins | 5% | 11% | 14% | 14% | 14% | 11% | 10% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 11% | 14% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Old Dominion Wins | 5% | 11% | 14% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| South Alabama (13‑5) vs Troy (11‑6) |
0 | South Alabama Wins | 4% | 11% | 14% | 14% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 11% | 14% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Troy Wins | 6% | 11% | 13% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||