The Most Important Games for the James Madison Dukes are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Dukes final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. James Madison Dukes fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
James Madison Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||
| 1* First through Fifth Round Byes |
2* First through Fifth Round Byes |
3** First through Fourth Round Byes |
4** First through Fourth Round Byes |
5*** First through Third Round Byes |
6*** First through Third Round Byes |
7# First and Second Round Byes |
8# First and Second Round Byes |
9## First Round Bye |
10## First Round Bye |
11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | |||
| James Madison (7‑4) vs Old Dominion (3‑8) |
265 | James Madison Wins | 11% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Old Dominion Wins | 6% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 9% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 1% | ||
| Georgia St. (2‑9) vs Georgia Southern (8‑5) |
37 | Georgia St. Wins | 10% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Georgia Southern Wins | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | ||
| UL Monroe (3‑8) vs South Alabama (8‑3) |
32 | UL Monroe Wins | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | ||
| South Alabama Wins | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | ||
| LA Lafayette (1‑9) vs Southern Miss (6‑5) |
25 | LA Lafayette Wins | 10% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Southern Miss Wins | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Troy (6‑5) vs Marshall (7‑4) |
14 | Troy Wins | 10% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Marshall Wins | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Appalachian St.App. St. (7‑5) vs Coastal Carolina (6‑5) |
9 | Appalachian St.App. St. Wins | 9% | 10% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Coastal Carolina Wins | 9% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Texas State (7‑5) vs Arkansas St. (6‑4) |
7 | Texas State Wins | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Arkansas St. Wins | 9% | 10% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | ||