The Most Important Games for the LA Lafayette Ragin' Cajun are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Ragin' Cajun final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. LA Lafayette Ragin' Cajun fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
LA Lafayette Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||
| 1* First through Fifth Round Byes |
2* First through Fifth Round Byes |
3** First through Fourth Round Byes |
4** First through Fourth Round Byes |
5*** First through Third Round Byes |
6*** First through Third Round Byes |
7# First and Second Round Byes |
8# First and Second Round Byes |
9## First Round Bye |
10## First Round Bye |
11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | |||
| LA Lafayette (1‑9) vs Southern Miss (6‑5) |
40 | LA Lafayette Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 10% | 13% | 17% | 19% | 19% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 12% | 16% | 21% | 28% | ||
| Southern Miss Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 11% | 17% | 23% | 30% | ||
| Coastal Carolina (6‑5) vs Appalachian St.App. St. (7‑5) |
2 | Coastal Carolina Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 12% | 16% | 21% | 28% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 12% | 16% | 21% | 28% | ||
| Appalachian St.App. St. Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 12% | 16% | 22% | 28% | ||
| Texas State (7‑5) vs Arkansas St. (6‑4) |
2 | Texas State Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 8% | 11% | 16% | 22% | 29% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 12% | 16% | 21% | 28% | ||
| Arkansas St. Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 12% | 16% | 21% | 29% | ||
| Old Dominion (3‑8) vs James Madison (7‑4) |
1 | Old Dominion Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 12% | 16% | 21% | 29% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 12% | 16% | 21% | 28% | ||
| James Madison Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 12% | 16% | 22% | 28% | ||
| Georgia Southern (8‑5) vs Georgia St. (2‑9) |
1 | Georgia Southern Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 12% | 16% | 21% | 28% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 12% | 16% | 21% | 28% | ||
| Georgia St. Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 11% | 15% | 20% | 30% | ||
| Marshall (7‑4) vs Troy (6‑5) |
1 | Marshall Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 11% | 16% | 21% | 28% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 12% | 16% | 21% | 28% | ||
| Troy Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 12% | 16% | 21% | 28% | ||
| UL Monroe (3‑8) vs South Alabama (8‑3) |
0 | UL Monroe Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 11% | 15% | 21% | 30% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 12% | 16% | 21% | 28% | ||
| South Alabama Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 11% | 16% | 22% | 28% | ||