The Most Important Games for the LA Lafayette Ragin' Cajun are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Ragin' Cajun final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. LA Lafayette Ragin' Cajun fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
LA Lafayette Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||
| 1* First through Fifth Round Byes |
2* First through Fifth Round Byes |
3** First through Fourth Round Byes |
4** First through Fourth Round Byes |
5*** First through Third Round Byes |
6*** First through Third Round Byes |
7# First and Second Round Byes |
8# First and Second Round Byes |
9## First Round Bye |
10## First Round Bye |
11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | |||
| Marshall (9‑5) vs Appalachian St.App. St. (9‑6) |
4 | Marshall Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 14% | 20% | 23% | 16% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 14% | 20% | 23% | 16% | ||
| Appalachian St.App. St. Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 14% | 20% | 23% | 16% | ||
| Troy (8‑5) vs South Alabama (11‑4) |
4 | Troy Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 14% | 19% | 24% | 16% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 14% | 20% | 23% | 16% | ||
| South Alabama Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 14% | 20% | 23% | 16% | ||
| Coastal Carolina (8‑6) vs Georgia Southern (10‑5) |
3 | Coastal Carolina Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 14% | 21% | 23% | 16% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 14% | 20% | 23% | 16% | ||
| Georgia Southern Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 14% | 20% | 24% | 16% | ||
| UL Monroe (3‑11) vs Southern Miss (7‑7) |
2 | UL Monroe Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 14% | 18% | 21% | 20% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 14% | 20% | 23% | 16% | ||
| Southern Miss Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 14% | 20% | 24% | 15% | ||
| Arkansas St. (9‑4) vs James Madison (7‑7) |
1 | Arkansas St. Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 5% | 6% | 10% | 14% | 20% | 23% | 16% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 14% | 20% | 23% | 16% | ||
| James Madison Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 13% | 20% | 25% | 16% | ||