The Most Important Games for the LA Lafayette Ragin' Cajun are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Ragin' Cajun final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. LA Lafayette Ragin' Cajun fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
LA Lafayette Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||
| 1* First through Fifth Round Byes |
2* First through Fifth Round Byes |
3** First through Fourth Round Byes |
4** First through Fourth Round Byes |
5*** First through Third Round Byes |
6*** First through Third Round Byes |
7# First and Second Round Byes |
8# First and Second Round Byes |
9## First Round Bye |
10## First Round Bye |
11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | |||
| LA Lafayette (5‑14) vs Appalachian St.App. St. (11‑9) |
52 | LA Lafayette Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 11% | 16% | 22% | 32% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 13% | 23% | 46% | <1% | ||
| Appalachian St.App. St. Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 6% | 12% | 24% | 50% | <1% | ||
| UL Monroe (3‑16) vs Marshall (12‑7) |
4 | UL Monroe Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 12% | 23% | 45% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 13% | 23% | 46% | <1% | ||
| Marshall Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 13% | 23% | 46% | <1% | ||
| South Alabama (13‑6) vs James Madison (9‑10) |
4 | South Alabama Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 14% | 23% | 44% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 13% | 23% | 46% | <1% | ||
| James Madison Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 12% | 23% | 47% | <1% | ||
| Troy (12‑6) vs Old Dominion (6‑14) |
3 | Troy Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 13% | 23% | 44% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 13% | 23% | 46% | <1% | ||
| Old Dominion Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 7% | 12% | 22% | 49% | <1% | ||
| Arkansas St. (11‑7) vs Georgia Southern (13‑7) |
2 | Arkansas St. Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 13% | 23% | 45% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 13% | 23% | 46% | <1% | ||
| Georgia Southern Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 12% | 23% | 46% | <1% | ||
| Georgia St. (7‑12) vs Southern Miss (11‑9) |
1 | Georgia St. Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 7% | 13% | 22% | 48% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 13% | 23% | 46% | <1% | ||
| Southern Miss Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 14% | 24% | 43% | <1% | ||
| Texas State (11‑9) vs Coastal Carolina (11‑9) |
0 | Texas State Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 13% | 23% | 46% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 13% | 23% | 46% | <1% | ||
| Coastal Carolina Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 13% | 23% | 46% | <1% | ||