The Most Important Games for the Marshall Thundering Herd are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Thundering Herd final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Marshall Thundering Herd fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Marshall Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3* First and Second Round Byes |
4* First and Second Round Byes |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8** First Round Bye |
9** First Round Bye |
10** First Round Bye |
11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | |||
| Marshall (5‑5) vs Southern Miss (4‑6) |
26 | Marshall Wins | 4% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 6% | 4% | ||
| Southern Miss Wins | 2% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 7% | 5% | ||
| Texas State (7‑3) vs Georgia Southern (6‑4) |
1 | Texas State Wins | 4% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 6% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 6% | 4% | ||
| Georgia Southern Wins | 4% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 6% | 4% | ||
| James Madison (6‑4) vs South Alabama (6‑3) |
1 | James Madison Wins | 4% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 6% | 4% | ||
| South Alabama Wins | 4% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 4% | ||
| Appalachian St.App.St. (6‑3) vs LA Lafayette (2‑8) |
0 | Appalachian St.App.St. Wins | 4% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 6% | 4% | ||
| LA Lafayette Wins | 4% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 6% | 4% | ||
| Old Dominion (2‑7) vs UL Monroe (4‑7) |
0 | Old Dominion Wins | 4% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 6% | 4% | ||
| UL Monroe Wins | 4% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 4% | ||
| Troy (5‑4) vs Georgia St. (4‑5) |
0 | Troy Wins | 4% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 6% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 6% | 4% | ||
| Georgia St. Wins | 4% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 4% | ||
| Coastal Carolina (5‑5) vs Arkansas St. (8‑3) |
0 | Coastal Carolina Wins | 4% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 6% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 6% | 4% | ||
| Arkansas St. Wins | 4% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 4% | ||