The Most Important Games for the Old Dominion Monarchs are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Monarchs final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Old Dominion Monarchs fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Old Dominion Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3* First and Second Round Byes |
4* First and Second Round Byes |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8** First Round Bye |
9** First Round Bye |
10** First Round Bye |
11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | |||
| Old Dominion (2‑7) vs UL Monroe (4‑8) |
16 | Old Dominion Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 13% | 15% | 17% | 13% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 11% | 14% | 17% | 22% | ||
| UL Monroe Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 13% | 19% | 28% | ||
| Arkansas St. (8‑3) vs Coastal Carolina (5‑5) |
1 | Arkansas St. Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 11% | 14% | 18% | 22% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 11% | 14% | 17% | 22% | ||
| Coastal Carolina Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 14% | 18% | 23% | ||
| South Alabama (6‑3) vs James Madison (6‑4) |
1 | South Alabama Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 11% | 14% | 17% | 22% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 11% | 14% | 17% | 22% | ||
| James Madison Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 14% | 18% | 22% | ||
| Marshall (6‑5) vs Southern Miss (4‑7) |
0 | Marshall Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 11% | 14% | 17% | 22% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 11% | 14% | 17% | 22% | ||
| Southern Miss Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 11% | 13% | 17% | 23% | ||
| Georgia St. (4‑6) vs Troy (6‑4) |
0 | Georgia St. Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 11% | 13% | 17% | 23% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 11% | 14% | 17% | 22% | ||
| Troy Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 14% | 17% | 22% | ||
| Appalachian St.App.St. (6‑4) vs LA Lafayette (2‑9) |
0 | Appalachian St.App.St. Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 14% | 18% | 21% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 11% | 14% | 17% | 22% | ||
| LA Lafayette Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 11% | 13% | 17% | 24% | ||
| Texas State (7‑4) vs Georgia Southern (6‑5) |
0 | Texas State Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 14% | 18% | 22% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 11% | 14% | 17% | 22% | ||
| Georgia Southern Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 11% | 14% | 18% | 22% | ||