The Most Important Games for the Old Dominion Monarchs are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Monarchs final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Old Dominion Monarchs fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Old Dominion Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||
| 1* First through Fifth Round Byes |
2* First through Fifth Round Byes |
3** First through Fourth Round Byes |
4** First through Fourth Round Byes |
5*** First through Third Round Byes |
6*** First through Third Round Byes |
7# First and Second Round Byes |
8# First and Second Round Byes |
9## First Round Bye |
10## First Round Bye |
11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | |||
| Old Dominion (3‑7) vs James Madison (7‑4) |
130 | Old Dominion Wins | 1% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 7% | ||
| James Madison Wins | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 10% | 11% | 10% | 7% | ||
| UL Monroe (2‑7) vs South Alabama (8‑2) |
20 | UL Monroe Wins | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 7% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 7% | ||
| South Alabama Wins | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 7% | ||
| LA Lafayette (1‑8) vs Southern Miss (5‑4) |
9 | LA Lafayette Wins | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 7% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 7% | ||
| Southern Miss Wins | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 7% | ||
| Troy (5‑5) vs Marshall (5‑4) |
7 | Troy Wins | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 7% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 7% | ||
| Marshall Wins | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 7% | ||
| Georgia St. (1‑9) vs Georgia Southern (6‑5) |
6 | Georgia St. Wins | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 7% | ||
| Georgia Southern Wins | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 7% | ||
| Arkansas St. (6‑3) vs Texas State (6‑5) |
1 | Arkansas St. Wins | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 7% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 7% | ||
| Texas State Wins | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 7% | ||
| Appalachian St.App. St. (5‑5) vs Coastal Carolina (6‑4) |
0 | Appalachian St.App. St. Wins | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 7% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 7% | ||
| Coastal Carolina Wins | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 7% | ||