The Most Important Games for the Old Dominion Monarchs are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Monarchs final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Old Dominion Monarchs fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Old Dominion Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||
| 1* First through Fifth Round Byes |
2* First through Fifth Round Byes |
3** First through Fourth Round Byes |
4** First through Fourth Round Byes |
5*** First through Third Round Byes |
6*** First through Third Round Byes |
7# First and Second Round Byes |
8# First and Second Round Byes |
9## First Round Bye |
10## First Round Bye |
11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | |||
| Old Dominion (8‑18) vs Georgia St. (9‑17) |
29 | Old Dominion Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 8% | 12% | 18% | 21% | 36% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 6% | 9% | 14% | 19% | 48% | <1% | ||
| Georgia St. Wins | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 9% | 17% | 67% | 1% | ||
| Appalachian St.App. St. (18‑9) vs James Madison (13‑13) |
8 | Appalachian St.App. St. Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 6% | 10% | 15% | 19% | 46% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 6% | 9% | 14% | 19% | 48% | <1% | ||
| James Madison Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 5% | 8% | 13% | 19% | 52% | <1% | ||
| Marshall (16‑9) vs Georgia Southern (13‑12) |
6 | Marshall Wins | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 6% | 9% | 13% | 19% | 49% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 6% | 9% | 14% | 19% | 48% | <1% | ||
| Georgia Southern Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 5% | 9% | 15% | 20% | 49% | <1% | ||
| Troy (17‑9) vs Southern Miss (13‑14) |
2 | Troy Wins | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 10% | 15% | 19% | 47% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 6% | 9% | 14% | 19% | 48% | <1% | ||
| Southern Miss Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 6% | 8% | 13% | 18% | 51% | <1% | ||
| Texas State (16‑11) vs UL Monroe (4‑21) |
1 | Texas State Wins | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 6% | 9% | 13% | 19% | 50% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 6% | 9% | 14% | 19% | 48% | <1% | ||
| UL Monroe Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 6% | 9% | 14% | 19% | 47% | 1% | ||
| South Alabama (18‑7) vs Arkansas St. (16‑10) |
0 | South Alabama Wins | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 6% | 9% | 14% | 19% | 49% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 6% | 9% | 14% | 19% | 48% | <1% | ||
| Arkansas St. Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 6% | 9% | 14% | 19% | 49% | <1% | ||