The Most Important Games for the Southern Miss Golden Eagles are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Golden Eagles final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Southern Miss Golden Eagles fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Southern Miss Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||
| 1* First through Fifth Round Byes |
2* First through Fifth Round Byes |
3** First through Fourth Round Byes |
4** First through Fourth Round Byes |
5*** First through Third Round Byes |
6*** First through Third Round Byes |
7# First and Second Round Byes |
8# First and Second Round Byes |
9## First Round Bye |
10## First Round Bye |
11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | |||
| Southern Miss (13‑14) vs Troy (17‑9) |
79 | Southern Miss Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 6% | 22% | 31% | 21% | 11% | 6% | 2% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 13% | 23% | 22% | 17% | 12% | 9% | <1% | ||
| Troy Wins | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 8% | 20% | 24% | 21% | 16% | 11% | <1% | ||
| Old Dominion (8‑18) vs Georgia St. (9‑17) |
17 | Old Dominion Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 15% | 23% | 20% | 16% | 12% | 10% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 13% | 23% | 22% | 17% | 12% | 9% | <1% | ||
| Georgia St. Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 9% | 24% | 25% | 19% | 13% | 7% | <1% | ||
| Marshall (16‑9) vs Georgia Southern (13‑12) |
16 | Marshall Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 14% | 25% | 22% | 16% | 11% | 8% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 13% | 23% | 22% | 17% | 12% | 9% | <1% | ||
| Georgia Southern Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 10% | 21% | 23% | 19% | 14% | 9% | <1% | ||
| Appalachian St.App. St. (18‑9) vs James Madison (13‑13) |
13 | Appalachian St.App. St. Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 14% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 11% | 7% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 13% | 23% | 22% | 17% | 12% | 9% | <1% | ||
| James Madison Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 11% | 21% | 22% | 18% | 13% | 11% | <1% | ||
| UL Monroe (4‑21) vs Texas State (16‑11) |
7 | UL Monroe Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 12% | 21% | 22% | 17% | 12% | 9% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 13% | 23% | 22% | 17% | 12% | 9% | <1% | ||
| Texas State Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 13% | 23% | 22% | 17% | 12% | 9% | ^ | ||
| South Alabama (18‑7) vs Arkansas St. (16‑10) |
5 | South Alabama Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 13% | 23% | 22% | 17% | 12% | 8% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 13% | 23% | 22% | 17% | 12% | 9% | <1% | ||
| Arkansas St. Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 13% | 23% | 22% | 18% | 12% | 9% | <1% | ||