The Most Important Games for the Southern Miss Golden Eagles are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Golden Eagles final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Southern Miss Golden Eagles fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Southern Miss Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3* First and Second Round Byes |
4* First and Second Round Byes |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8** First Round Bye |
9** First Round Bye |
10** First Round Bye |
11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | |||
| Southern Miss (4‑6) vs Marshall (5‑4) |
23 | Southern Miss Wins | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 9% | 6% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 11% | ||
| Marshall Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 13% | ||
| Arkansas St. (7‑3) vs Coastal Carolina (4‑5) |
2 | Arkansas St. Wins | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 11% | 11% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 11% | ||
| Coastal Carolina Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 11% | ||
| LA Lafayette (1‑8) vs Appalachian St.App.St. (6‑3) |
1 | LA Lafayette Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 12% | 12% | 12% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 11% | ||
| Appalachian St.App.St. Wins | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 11% | 11% | ||
| Texas State (7‑3) vs Georgia Southern (6‑4) |
1 | Texas State Wins | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 11% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 11% | ||
| Georgia Southern Wins | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 11% | ||
| South Alabama (6‑3) vs James Madison (6‑4) |
1 | South Alabama Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 11% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 11% | ||
| James Madison Wins | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 11% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 11% | ||
| Old Dominion (2‑7) vs UL Monroe (3‑7) |
1 | Old Dominion Wins | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 12% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 11% | ||
| UL Monroe Wins | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 11% | 11% | ||
| Georgia St. (4‑5) vs Troy (5‑4) |
0 | Georgia St. Wins | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 11% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 11% | ||
| Troy Wins | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 10% | ||