The Most Important Games for the Texas State Bobcats are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Bobcats final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Texas State Bobcats fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Texas State Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||
| 1* First through Fifth Round Byes |
2* First through Fifth Round Byes |
3** First through Fourth Round Byes |
4** First through Fourth Round Byes |
5*** First through Third Round Byes |
6*** First through Third Round Byes |
7# First and Second Round Byes |
8# First and Second Round Byes |
9## First Round Bye |
10## First Round Bye |
11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | |||
| Texas State (17‑11) vs South Alabama (19‑8) |
1030 | Texas State Wins | 17% | 16% | 15% | 18% | 13% | 12% | 8% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 6% | 7% | 9% | 13% | 14% | 18% | 19% | 9% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| South Alabama Wins | <1% | 1% | 7% | 12% | 15% | 22% | 25% | 12% | 5% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| LA Lafayette (9‑18) vs Arkansas St. (16‑11) |
150 | LA Lafayette Wins | 6% | 7% | 14% | 18% | 13% | 15% | 14% | 6% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 6% | 7% | 9% | 13% | 14% | 18% | 19% | 9% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Arkansas St. Wins | 6% | 7% | 8% | 12% | 14% | 18% | 21% | 10% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Appalachian St.App. St. (18‑10) vs Marshall (17‑10) |
19 | Appalachian St.App. St. Wins | 7% | 6% | 9% | 13% | 13% | 20% | 18% | 9% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 6% | 7% | 9% | 13% | 14% | 18% | 19% | 9% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Marshall Wins | 5% | 7% | 10% | 14% | 14% | 16% | 20% | 9% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Old Dominion (10‑18) vs Southern Miss (14‑14) |
19 | Old Dominion Wins | 6% | 7% | 9% | 13% | 14% | 18% | 20% | 9% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 6% | 7% | 9% | 13% | 14% | 18% | 19% | 9% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Southern Miss Wins | 6% | 7% | 9% | 13% | 14% | 18% | 19% | 8% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Georgia St. (9‑18) vs Georgia Southern (14‑12) |
3 | Georgia St. Wins | 6% | 7% | 9% | 13% | 14% | 17% | 20% | 9% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 6% | 7% | 9% | 13% | 14% | 18% | 19% | 9% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Georgia Southern Wins | 6% | 7% | 9% | 13% | 14% | 18% | 19% | 8% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||