The Most Important Games for the Troy Trojans are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Trojans final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Troy Trojans fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Troy Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||
| 1* First through Fifth Round Byes |
2* First through Fifth Round Byes |
3** First through Fourth Round Byes |
4** First through Fourth Round Byes |
5*** First through Third Round Byes |
6*** First through Third Round Byes |
7# First and Second Round Byes |
8# First and Second Round Byes |
9## First Round Bye |
10## First Round Bye |
11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | |||
| Troy (7‑5) vs Texas State (8‑6) |
363 | Troy Wins | 23% | 17% | 14% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 20% | 16% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Texas State Wins | 14% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | ||
| LA Lafayette (2‑10) vs South Alabama (9‑4) |
38 | LA Lafayette Wins | 21% | 16% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 20% | 16% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| South Alabama Wins | 20% | 16% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| James Madison (7‑6) vs Arkansas St. (8‑4) |
34 | James Madison Wins | 22% | 15% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 20% | 16% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Arkansas St. Wins | 20% | 16% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Old Dominion (4‑9) vs Appalachian St.App. St. (8‑6) |
27 | Old Dominion Wins | 20% | 17% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 20% | 16% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Appalachian St.App. St. Wins | 21% | 16% | 13% | 10% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| UL Monroe (3‑10) vs Southern Miss (7‑6) |
19 | UL Monroe Wins | 21% | 17% | 13% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 20% | 16% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Southern Miss Wins | 21% | 16% | 13% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Georgia St. (3‑10) vs Marshall (8‑5) |
7 | Georgia St. Wins | 21% | 17% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 20% | 16% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Marshall Wins | 20% | 17% | 13% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Coastal Carolina (8‑6) vs Georgia Southern (10‑5) |
5 | Coastal Carolina Wins | 21% | 17% | 13% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 20% | 16% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Georgia Southern Wins | 21% | 16% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||