The Most Important Games for the Troy Trojans are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Trojans final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Troy Trojans fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Troy Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3* First and Second Round Byes |
4* First and Second Round Byes |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8** First Round Bye |
9** First Round Bye |
10** First Round Bye |
11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | |||
| Troy (13‑9) vs Southern Miss (19‑4) |
33 | Troy Wins | 1% | 3% | 6% | 11% | 18% | 18% | 15% | 12% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 4% | 8% | 13% | 16% | 15% | 13% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Southern Miss Wins | <1% | <1% | 2% | 6% | 11% | 15% | 16% | 15% | 13% | 10% | 7% | 4% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Old Dominion (13‑9) vs James Madison (15‑7) |
4 | Old Dominion Wins | <1% | 2% | 4% | 9% | 13% | 15% | 15% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 4% | 8% | 13% | 16% | 15% | 13% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | ||
| James Madison Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 7% | 14% | 17% | 16% | 13% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Georgia St. (8‑13) vs Georgia Southern (12‑10) |
3 | Georgia St. Wins | <1% | 1% | 4% | 8% | 14% | 16% | 15% | 13% | 10% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 4% | 8% | 13% | 16% | 15% | 13% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Georgia Southern Wins | <1% | 1% | 4% | 8% | 13% | 15% | 15% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Marshall (18‑4) vs Appalachian St.App.St. (13‑10) |
3 | Marshall Wins | <1% | 1% | 4% | 8% | 14% | 16% | 15% | 13% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 4% | 8% | 13% | 16% | 15% | 13% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Appalachian St.App.St. Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 7% | 13% | 16% | 15% | 14% | 11% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Arkansas St. (9‑14) vs South Alabama (8‑13) |
2 | Arkansas St. Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 8% | 13% | 16% | 16% | 13% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 4% | 8% | 13% | 16% | 15% | 13% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | ||
| South Alabama Wins | <1% | 1% | 4% | 8% | 13% | 15% | 15% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 1% | <1% | ||
| LA Lafayette (18‑4) vs Texas State (10‑11) |
1 | LA Lafayette Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 8% | 13% | 16% | 15% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 4% | 8% | 13% | 16% | 15% | 13% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Texas State Wins | <1% | 1% | 4% | 8% | 13% | 15% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 4% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Coastal Carolina (10‑12) vs UL Monroe (10‑13) |
0 | Coastal Carolina Wins | <1% | 1% | 4% | 8% | 14% | 17% | 15% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 4% | 8% | 13% | 16% | 15% | 13% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | ||
| UL Monroe Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 8% | 13% | 16% | 15% | 14% | 11% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | ||