The Most Important Games for the Troy Trojans are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Trojans final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Troy Trojans fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Troy Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3* First and Second Round Byes |
4* First and Second Round Byes |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8** First Round Bye |
9** First Round Bye |
10** First Round Bye |
11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | |||
| Troy (5‑4) vs Georgia St. (4‑5) |
28 | Troy Wins | 13% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 12% | 12% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Georgia St. Wins | 7% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Coastal Carolina (4‑5) vs Arkansas St. (7‑3) |
2 | Coastal Carolina Wins | 13% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 12% | 12% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Arkansas St. Wins | 12% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 1% | 1% | ||
| LA Lafayette (1‑8) vs Appalachian St.App.St. (6‑3) |
2 | LA Lafayette Wins | 13% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 12% | 12% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Appalachian St.App.St. Wins | 12% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Southern Miss (4‑6) vs Marshall (5‑4) |
1 | Southern Miss Wins | 12% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 12% | 12% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Marshall Wins | 12% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 1% | <1% | ||
| South Alabama (6‑3) vs James Madison (6‑4) |
1 | South Alabama Wins | 12% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 1% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 12% | 12% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | <1% | ||
| James Madison Wins | 12% | 11% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Texas State (7‑3) vs Georgia Southern (6‑4) |
0 | Texas State Wins | 12% | 12% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 12% | 12% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Georgia Southern Wins | 12% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Old Dominion (2‑7) vs UL Monroe (3‑7) |
0 | Old Dominion Wins | 12% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 1% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 12% | 12% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | <1% | ||
| UL Monroe Wins | 12% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 1% | 1% | ||