The Most Important Games for the Troy Trojans are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Trojans final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Troy Trojans fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Troy Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3* First and Second Round Byes |
4* First and Second Round Byes |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8** First Round Bye |
9** First Round Bye |
10** First Round Bye |
11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | |||
| Troy (4‑4) vs Coastal Carolina (3‑5) |
25 | Troy Wins | 2% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 6% | ||
| Coastal Carolina Wins | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | ||
| Old Dominion (3‑5) vs South Alabama (5‑5) |
3 | Old Dominion Wins | 1% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 7% | 7% | 6% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 6% | ||
| South Alabama Wins | 1% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 6% | ||
| James Madison (8‑0) vs Texas State (3‑5) |
3 | James Madison Wins | 1% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 6% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 6% | ||
| Texas State Wins | 2% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 6% | ||
| Georgia Southern (0‑8) vs Southern Miss (4‑4) |
2 | Georgia Southern Wins | 2% | 4% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 6% | ||
| Southern Miss Wins | 2% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 5% | ||
| Arkansas St. (2‑7) vs Georgia St. (4‑4) |
2 | Arkansas St. Wins | 1% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 6% | ||
| Georgia St. Wins | 2% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | ||
| Appalachian St.App.St. (7‑2) vs UL Monroe (4‑3) |
1 | Appalachian St.App.St. Wins | 1% | 4% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 6% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 6% | ||
| UL Monroe Wins | 2% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 6% | ||
| LA Lafayette (5‑3) vs Marshall (2‑6) |
1 | LA Lafayette Wins | 2% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 6% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 6% | ||
| Marshall Wins | 2% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | ||