PlayoffStatus.com

Sat Jan 28 11:15 pm

Sunbelt Basketball - Week 13 of 16

Troy Most Important Games

The Most Important Games for the Troy Trojans are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Trojans final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Troy Trojans fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.

Troy Most Important Games
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)
Game
Winner
Troy Resultant Probabilities
Regular Season Finish
1*
First and Second
Round Byes
2*
First and Second
Round Byes
3*
First and Second
Round Byes
4*
First and Second
Round Byes
5**
First Round Bye
6**
First Round Bye
7**
First Round Bye
8**
First Round Bye
9**
First Round Bye
10**
First Round Bye
11 12 13 14
Troy
(13‑9)

vs
Southern Miss
(19‑4)
33 Troy Wins 1% 3% 6% 11% 18% 18% 15% 12% 8% 5% 3% 1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities <1% 1% 4% 8% 13% 16% 15% 13% 11% 8% 6% 3% 1% <1%
Southern Miss Wins <1% <1% 2% 6% 11% 15% 16% 15% 13% 10% 7% 4% 1% <1%
Old Dominion
(13‑9)

vs
James Madison
(15‑7)
4 Old Dominion Wins <1% 2% 4% 9% 13% 15% 15% 13% 11% 9% 6% 3% 1% <1%
Current Probabilities <1% 1% 4% 8% 13% 16% 15% 13% 11% 8% 6% 3% 1% <1%
James Madison Wins <1% 1% 3% 7% 14% 17% 16% 13% 11% 8% 6% 3% 1% <1%
Georgia St.
(8‑13)

vs
Georgia Southern
(12‑10)
3 Georgia St. Wins <1% 1% 4% 8% 14% 16% 15% 13% 10% 8% 5% 3% 1% <1%
Current Probabilities <1% 1% 4% 8% 13% 16% 15% 13% 11% 8% 6% 3% 1% <1%
Georgia Southern Wins <1% 1% 4% 8% 13% 15% 15% 13% 11% 9% 6% 4% 1% <1%
Marshall
(18‑4)

vs
Appalachian St.App.St.
(13‑10)
3 Marshall Wins <1% 1% 4% 8% 14% 16% 15% 13% 11% 8% 6% 3% 1% <1%
Current Probabilities <1% 1% 4% 8% 13% 16% 15% 13% 11% 8% 6% 3% 1% <1%
Appalachian St.App.St. Wins <1% 1% 3% 7% 13% 16% 15% 14% 11% 9% 6% 3% 1% <1%
Arkansas St.
(9‑14)

vs
South Alabama
(8‑13)
2 Arkansas St. Wins <1% 1% 3% 8% 13% 16% 16% 13% 11% 8% 6% 3% 1% <1%
Current Probabilities <1% 1% 4% 8% 13% 16% 15% 13% 11% 8% 6% 3% 1% <1%
South Alabama Wins <1% 1% 4% 8% 13% 15% 15% 13% 11% 9% 6% 4% 1% <1%
LA Lafayette
(18‑4)

vs
Texas State
(10‑11)
1 LA Lafayette Wins <1% 1% 3% 8% 13% 16% 15% 14% 11% 8% 6% 3% 1% <1%
Current Probabilities <1% 1% 4% 8% 13% 16% 15% 13% 11% 8% 6% 3% 1% <1%
Texas State Wins <1% 1% 4% 8% 13% 15% 14% 13% 11% 9% 7% 4% 1% <1%
Coastal Carolina
(10‑12)

vs
UL Monroe
(10‑13)
0 Coastal Carolina Wins <1% 1% 4% 8% 14% 17% 15% 12% 10% 8% 6% 3% 1% <1%
Current Probabilities <1% 1% 4% 8% 13% 16% 15% 13% 11% 8% 6% 3% 1% <1%
UL Monroe Wins <1% 1% 3% 8% 13% 16% 15% 14% 11% 9% 6% 3% 1% <1%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • *  denotes first and second round byes in the post season conference tournament
  • ** denotes first round bye in the post season conference tournament