The Most Important Games for the UL Monroe Warhawks are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Warhawks final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. UL Monroe Warhawks fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
UL Monroe Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3* First and Second Round Byes |
4* First and Second Round Byes |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8** First Round Bye |
9** First Round Bye |
10** First Round Bye |
11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | |||
| UL Monroe (3‑7) vs Old Dominion (2‑7) |
14 | UL Monroe Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 14% | 16% | 17% | 13% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 15% | 17% | 21% | ||
| Old Dominion Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 15% | 19% | 28% | ||
| Arkansas St. (7‑3) vs Coastal Carolina (4‑5) |
2 | Arkansas St. Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 14% | 17% | 21% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 15% | 17% | 21% | ||
| Coastal Carolina Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 12% | 15% | 18% | 22% | ||
| Troy (5‑4) vs Georgia St. (4‑5) |
1 | Troy Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 14% | 18% | 21% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 15% | 17% | 21% | ||
| Georgia St. Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 12% | 15% | 18% | 22% | ||
| Georgia Southern (6‑4) vs Texas State (7‑3) |
0 | Georgia Southern Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 15% | 17% | 21% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 15% | 17% | 21% | ||
| Texas State Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 12% | 15% | 18% | 21% | ||
| James Madison (6‑4) vs South Alabama (6‑3) |
0 | James Madison Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 15% | 17% | 21% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 15% | 17% | 21% | ||
| South Alabama Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 10% | 12% | 15% | 18% | 21% | ||
| LA Lafayette (1‑8) vs Appalachian St.App.St. (6‑3) |
0 | LA Lafayette Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 10% | 12% | 14% | 18% | 23% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 15% | 17% | 21% | ||
| Appalachian St.App.St. Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 15% | 18% | 21% | ||
| Marshall (5‑4) vs Southern Miss (4‑6) |
0 | Marshall Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 15% | 18% | 21% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 15% | 17% | 21% | ||
| Southern Miss Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 15% | 17% | 21% | ||