The Appalachian St. Mountaineers What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how Appalachian St. plays future conference games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Divisional Winner | No Playoffs | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | |
| Win Next Game | 1 | 0 | 10% | 14% | 15% | 16% | 17% | 16% | 13% |
| Current Standings | 0 | 0 | 9% | 12% | 13% | 15% | 16% | 17% | 17% |
| Lose Next Game | 0 | 1 | 6% | 10% | 13% | 15% | 17% | 19% | 20% |
| Divisional Winner | No Playoffs | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | |
| Best Case Scenario | 10% | 14% | 15% | 16% | 17% | 16% | 13% |
| Current Standings | 9% | 12% | 13% | 15% | 16% | 17% | 17% |
| Worst Case Scenario | 6% | 10% | 13% | 15% | 17% | 19% | 20% |
|
Best Case Scenario Appalachian St. beats South Alabama |
Worst Case Scenario South Alabama beats Appalachian St. |
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| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Divisional Winner | No Playoffs | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | ||
| 8 of 8 | 100% | 8 | 0 | 100% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 7 of 8 | 88% | 7 | 1 | 87% | 13% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 6 of 8 | 75% | 6 | 2 | 38% | 49% | 12% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| 5 of 8 | 63% | 5 | 3 | 5% | 33% | 45% | 17% | 2% | <1% | <1% |
| 4 of 8 | 50% | 4 | 4 | <1% | 3% | 24% | 45% | 25% | 3% | <1% |
| 3 of 8 | 38% | 3 | 5 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 17% | 45% | 33% | 4% |
| 2 of 8 | 25% | 2 | 6 | X | X | <1% | 1% | 12% | 50% | 38% |
| 1 of 8 | 13% | 1 | 7 | X | X | X | X | <1% | 12% | 87% |
| 0 of 8 | 0% | 0 | 8 | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |