The Appalachian St. Mountaineers What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how Appalachian St. plays future conference games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Divisional Winner | No Playoffs | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | |
| Win Next Game | 3 | 1 | 30% | 25% | 24% | 14% | 6% | 2% | <1% |
| Current Standings | 2 | 1 | 21% | 19% | 23% | 17% | 11% | 7% | 2% |
| Lose Next Game | 2 | 2 | 5% | 16% | 25% | 23% | 18% | 11% | 2% |
| Divisional Winner | No Playoffs | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | |
| Best Case Scenario | 22% | 21% | 24% | 17% | 10% | 6% | 1% |
| Current Standings | 21% | 19% | 23% | 17% | 11% | 7% | 2% |
| Worst Case Scenario | 20% | 18% | 20% | 17% | 13% | 10% | 3% |
|
Best Case Scenario Louisiana Tech beats Old Dominion Arkansas St. beats Georgia St. |
Worst Case Scenario Old Dominion beats Louisiana Tech Georgia St. beats Arkansas St. |
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| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Divisional Winner | No Playoffs | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | ||
| 5 of 5 | 100% | 7 | 1 | 100% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 4 of 5 | 80% | 6 | 2 | 29% | 59% | 12% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 3 of 5 | 60% | 5 | 3 | 2% | 33% | 46% | 17% | 1% | <1% | ^ |
| 2 of 5 | 40% | 4 | 4 | <1% | 2% | 22% | 44% | 28% | 5% | <1% |
| 1 of 5 | 20% | 3 | 5 | X | <1% | <1% | 10% | 39% | 43% | 8% |
| 0 of 5 | 0% | 2 | 6 | X | X | X | X | 6% | 50% | 44% |