The Appalachian St. Mountaineers What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how Appalachian St. plays future conference games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Divisional Winner | No Playoffs | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | |
| Win Next Game | 3 | 3 | 1% | 7% | 57% | 23% | 7% | 4% | 1% |
| Current Standings | 2 | 3 | 1% | 4% | 26% | 24% | 17% | 18% | 11% |
| Lose Next Game | 2 | 4 | X | X | 2% | 28% | 26% | 29% | 15% |
| Divisional Winner | No Playoffs | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | |
| Best Case Scenario | 1% | 7% | 57% | 23% | 7% | 4% | 1% |
| Current Standings | 1% | 4% | 26% | 24% | 17% | 18% | 11% |
| Worst Case Scenario | X | X | 2% | 28% | 26% | 29% | 15% |
|
Best Case Scenario Appalachian St. beats Marshall |
Worst Case Scenario Marshall beats Appalachian St. |
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| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Divisional Winner | No Playoffs | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | ||
| 3 of 3 | 100% | 5 | 3 | 3% | 20% | 69% | 8% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| 2 of 3 | 67% | 4 | 4 | X | X | 43% | 44% | 11% | 1% | ^ |
| 1 of 3 | 33% | 3 | 5 | X | X | 2% | 15% | 34% | 40% | 8% |
| 0 of 3 | 0% | 2 | 6 | X | X | X | X | 1% | 34% | 65% |