The Appalachian St. Mountaineers What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how Appalachian St. plays future conference games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Divisional Winner | No Playoffs | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | |
| Win Next Game | 2 | 3 | X | 1% | 9% | 32% | 48% | 9% | <1% |
| Current Standings | 1 | 3 | X | 1% | 6% | 24% | 36% | 31% | 3% |
| Lose Next Game | 1 | 4 | X | <1% | 1% | 9% | 25% | 61% | 5% |
| Divisional Winner | No Playoffs | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | |
| Current Standings | X | 1% | 6% | 24% | 36% | 31% | 3% |
|
Best Case Scenario None |
Worst Case Scenario None |
||||||
| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Divisional Winner | No Playoffs | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | ||
| 4 of 4 | 100% | 5 | 3 | X | 12% | 41% | 47% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| 3 of 4 | 75% | 4 | 4 | X | <1% | 11% | 52% | 36% | 2% | <1% |
| 2 of 4 | 50% | 3 | 5 | X | X | 1% | 11% | 61% | 27% | <1% |
| 1 of 4 | 25% | 2 | 6 | X | X | X | <1% | 20% | 76% | 4% |
| 0 of 4 | 0% | 1 | 7 | X | X | X | X | X | 80% | 20% |