The Coastal Carolina Chanticleers What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how Coastal Carolina plays future conference games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Divisional Winner | No Playoffs | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | |
| Win Next Game | 4 | 1 | 32% | 33% | 26% | 7% | 1% | <1% | ^ |
| Current Standings | 3 | 1 | 23% | 25% | 24% | 21% | 6% | 1% | <1% |
| Lose Next Game | 3 | 2 | 6% | 17% | 26% | 37% | 12% | 2% | <1% |
| Divisional Winner | No Playoffs | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | |
| Best Case Scenario | 37% | 30% | 25% | 8% | 1% | <1% | ^ |
| Current Standings | 23% | 25% | 24% | 21% | 6% | 1% | <1% |
| Worst Case Scenario | 4% | 17% | 27% | 37% | 12% | 2% | <1% |
|
Best Case Scenario Texas St. beats James Madison Coastal Carolina beats Marshall |
Worst Case Scenario James Madison beats Texas St. Marshall beats Coastal Carolina |
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| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Divisional Winner | No Playoffs | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | ||
| 4 of 4 | 100% | 7 | 1 | 100% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 3 of 4 | 75% | 6 | 2 | 32% | 49% | 18% | 2% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 2 of 4 | 50% | 5 | 3 | 2% | 26% | 47% | 25% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| 1 of 4 | 25% | 4 | 4 | <1% | 2% | 18% | 62% | 18% | <1% | <1% |
| 0 of 4 | 0% | 3 | 5 | X | X | <1% | 19% | 54% | 24% | 3% |