The Coastal Carolina Chanticleers What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how Coastal Carolina plays future conference games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
Resultant Record | Divisional Winner | No Playoffs | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | |
Win Next Game | 3 | 3 | 3% | 10% | 21% | 40% | 21% | 4% | 1% |
Current Standings | 2 | 3 | 1% | 5% | 10% | 31% | 35% | 11% | 7% |
Lose Next Game | 2 | 4 | X | <1% | 3% | 27% | 47% | 14% | 9% |
Divisional Winner | No Playoffs | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | |
Best Case Scenario | 11% | 16% | 10% | 27% | 30% | 5% | 1% |
Current Standings | 1% | 5% | 10% | 31% | 35% | 11% | 7% |
Worst Case Scenario | X | X | 1% | 36% | 42% | 13% | 9% |
Best Case Scenario Coastal Carolina beats Marshall Troy beats Ga. Southern Old Dominion beats James Madison |
Worst Case Scenario Marshall beats Coastal Carolina Ga. Southern beats Troy James Madison beats Old Dominion |
Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Divisional Winner | No Playoffs | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | ||
3 of 3 | 100% | 5 | 3 | 9% | 31% | 48% | 11% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
2 of 3 | 67% | 4 | 4 | X | 1% | 13% | 64% | 22% | <1% | ^ |
1 of 3 | 33% | 3 | 5 | X | X | X | 22% | 62% | 14% | 2% |
0 of 3 | 0% | 2 | 6 | X | X | X | X | 29% | 37% | 34% |