PlayoffStatus.com

Sat Oct 11 11:45 pm

Sunbelt Football - Week 8 of 14

Georgia St. What If?

The Georgia St. Panthers What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how Georgia St. plays future conference games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Georgia St. What If?

Next Game - Ga. Southern (2‑4)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winner No Playoffs
  W L 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
Win Next Game 1 2 <1% 4% 10% 14% 22% 32% 17%
Current Standings 0 2 <1% 3% 6% 10% 16% 25% 40%
Lose Next Game 0 3 <1% 1% 3% 7% 12% 22% 55%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Divisional Winner No Playoffs
  1 2 3 4 5 6 7
Best Case Scenario 1% 4% 8% 13% 22% 34% 18%
Current Standings <1% 3% 6% 10% 16% 25% 40%
Worst Case Scenario <1% 1% 3% 7% 13% 21% 56%
Best Case Scenario
   Coastal Carolina beats Appalachian St.
   Old Dominion beats James Madison
   Georgia St. beats Ga. Southern
Worst Case Scenario
   Appalachian St. beats Coastal Carolina
   James Madison beats Old Dominion
   Ga. Southern beats Georgia St.
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won
Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games
Resultant Record Divisional Winner No Playoffs
W L 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
6 of 6 100% 6 2 24% 61% 15% <1% ^ ^ ^
5 of 6 83% 5 3 3% 32% 46% 17% 2% <1% ^
4 of 6 67% 4 4 <1% 2% 20% 42% 30% 6% <1%
3 of 6 50% 3 5 X <1% 1% 9% 37% 43% 9%
2 of 6 33% 2 6 X X X <1% 5% 43% 52%
1 of 6 17% 1 7 X X X X <1% 9% 91%
0 of 6 0% 0 8 X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method