The Most Important Games for the James Madison Dukes are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Dukes final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. James Madison Dukes fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
James Madison Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Division Winner | No Playoffs | ||||||||
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| James Madison (5‑1) vs Old Dominion (4‑2) |
30 | James Madison Wins | 61% | 23% | 10% | 5% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 47% | 23% | 14% | 9% | 5% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Old Dominion Wins | 32% | 27% | 20% | 13% | 7% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Appalachian St.App. St. (4‑2) vs Coastal Carolina (3‑3) |
3 | Appalachian St.App. St. Wins | 51% | 21% | 13% | 9% | 5% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 47% | 23% | 14% | 9% | 5% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Coastal Carolina Wins | 48% | 22% | 14% | 9% | 5% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Texas St. (3‑3) vs Marshall (3‑3) |
2 | Texas St. Wins | 49% | 22% | 15% | 8% | 4% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 47% | 23% | 14% | 9% | 5% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Marshall Wins | 47% | 23% | 14% | 10% | 5% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Georgia St. (1‑5) vs Ga. Southern (2‑4) |
0 | Georgia St. Wins | 48% | 23% | 14% | 9% | 5% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 47% | 23% | 14% | 9% | 5% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Ga. Southern Wins | 48% | 23% | 15% | 9% | 5% | 1% | <1% | ||