The James Madison Dukes What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how James Madison plays future conference games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Divisional Winner | No Playoffs | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | |
| Win Next Game | 4 | 0 | 62% | 23% | 10% | 4% | 2% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Standings | 3 | 0 | 49% | 23% | 14% | 9% | 5% | 1% | <1% |
| Lose Next Game | 3 | 1 | 33% | 26% | 20% | 13% | 6% | 2% | <1% |
| Divisional Winner | No Playoffs | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | |
| Best Case Scenario | 69% | 17% | 9% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Standings | 49% | 23% | 14% | 9% | 5% | 1% | <1% |
| Worst Case Scenario | 33% | 25% | 19% | 13% | 7% | 2% | <1% |
|
Best Case Scenario Appalachian St. beats Coastal Carolina James Madison beats Old Dominion Texas St. beats Marshall |
Worst Case Scenario Coastal Carolina beats Appalachian St. Old Dominion beats James Madison Marshall beats Texas St. |
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| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Divisional Winner | No Playoffs | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | ||
| 5 of 5 | 100% | 8 | 0 | 100% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 4 of 5 | 80% | 7 | 1 | 90% | 10% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 3 of 5 | 60% | 6 | 2 | 51% | 41% | 8% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 2 of 5 | 40% | 5 | 3 | 6% | 33% | 42% | 17% | 2% | <1% | ^ |
| 1 of 5 | 20% | 4 | 4 | <1% | 2% | 17% | 44% | 32% | 5% | <1% |
| 0 of 5 | 0% | 3 | 5 | X | <1% | <1% | 8% | 49% | 37% | 5% |