The James Madison Dukes What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how James Madison plays future conference games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Divisional Winner | No Playoffs | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | |
| Win Next Game | 6 | 0 | 72% | 27% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Standings | 5 | 0 | 68% | 25% | 5% | 2% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Lose Next Game | 5 | 1 | 61% | 24% | 12% | 3% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Divisional Winner | No Playoffs | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | |
| Best Case Scenario | 94% | 5% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Standings | 68% | 25% | 5% | 2% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Worst Case Scenario | 60% | 23% | 13% | 4% | 1% | ^ | ^ |
|
Best Case Scenario James Madison beats Marshall Georgia St. beats Coastal Carolina |
Worst Case Scenario Marshall beats James Madison Coastal Carolina beats Georgia St. |
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| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Divisional Winner | No Playoffs | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | ||
| 3 of 3 | 100% | 8 | 0 | 100% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 2 of 3 | 67% | 7 | 1 | 83% | 17% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 1 of 3 | 33% | 6 | 2 | 35% | 54% | 11% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 0 of 3 | 0% | 5 | 3 | 1% | 18% | 44% | 34% | 3% | ^ | ^ |