The James Madison Dukes What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how James Madison plays future conference games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Divisional Winner | No Playoffs | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | |
| Win Next Game | 3 | 0 | 65% | 24% | 9% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Standings | 2 | 0 | 57% | 25% | 12% | 5% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Lose Next Game | 2 | 1 | 39% | 29% | 18% | 9% | 4% | 1% | <1% |
| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Divisional Winner | No Playoffs | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | ||
| 6 of 6 | 100% | 8 | 0 | 100% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 5 of 6 | 83% | 7 | 1 | 88% | 11% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 4 of 6 | 67% | 6 | 2 | 39% | 50% | 10% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| 3 of 6 | 50% | 5 | 3 | 5% | 35% | 45% | 14% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| 2 of 6 | 33% | 4 | 4 | <1% | 4% | 29% | 45% | 21% | 2% | <1% |
| 1 of 6 | 17% | 3 | 5 | <1% | <1% | 2% | 20% | 47% | 28% | 3% |
| 0 of 6 | 0% | 2 | 6 | X | X | <1% | 1% | 15% | 55% | 29% |