The Most Important Games for the Marshall Thundering Herd are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Thundering Herd final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Marshall Thundering Herd fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Marshall Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Division Winner | No Playoffs | ||||||||
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Ga. Southern (2‑3) vs James Madison (5‑0) |
6 | Ga. Southern Wins | 9% | 17% | 19% | 18% | 16% | 12% | 7% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 21% | 22% | 18% | 16% | 11% | 7% | ||
| James Madison Wins | 4% | 22% | 22% | 20% | 15% | 11% | 7% | ||
| Marshall (3‑2) vs Coastal Carolina (1‑4) |
5 | Marshall Wins | 6% | 22% | 23% | 21% | 16% | 11% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 21% | 22% | 18% | 16% | 11% | 7% | ||
| Coastal Carolina Wins | 1% | 15% | 20% | 18% | 16% | 15% | 16% | ||
| Old Dominion (1‑4) vs Appalachian St.App. St. (3‑1) |
0 | Old Dominion Wins | 5% | 23% | 21% | 17% | 14% | 12% | 7% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 21% | 22% | 18% | 16% | 11% | 7% | ||
| Appalachian St.App. St. Wins | 5% | 21% | 22% | 19% | 15% | 11% | 7% | ||