The Old Dominion Monarchs What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how Old Dominion plays future conference games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
Resultant Record | Divisional Winner | No Playoffs | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | |
Win Next Game | 4 | 2 | 14% | 26% | 32% | 22% | 7% | <1% | ^ |
Current Standings | 3 | 2 | 7% | 13% | 20% | 23% | 27% | 10% | <1% |
Lose Next Game | 3 | 3 | <1% | 4% | 15% | 27% | 38% | 15% | <1% |
Divisional Winner | No Playoffs | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | |
Best Case Scenario | 8% | 16% | 22% | 21% | 20% | 12% | <1% |
Current Standings | 7% | 13% | 20% | 23% | 27% | 10% | <1% |
Worst Case Scenario | 7% | 12% | 19% | 21% | 29% | 11% | <1% |
Best Case Scenario Coastal Carolina beats Appalachian St. Southern Miss beats Marshall |
Worst Case Scenario Appalachian St. beats Coastal Carolina Marshall beats Southern Miss |
Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Divisional Winner | No Playoffs | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | ||
3 of 3 | 100% | 6 | 2 | 60% | 40% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
2 of 3 | 67% | 5 | 3 | 5% | 33% | 51% | 11% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
1 of 3 | 33% | 4 | 4 | <1% | <1% | 14% | 49% | 34% | 2% | <1% |
0 of 3 | 0% | 3 | 5 | X | X | X | 5% | 57% | 38% | 1% |