The Southern Miss Golden Eagles What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how Southern Miss plays future conference games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Divisional Winner | No Playoffs | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | |
| Win Next Game | 3 | 0 | 46% | 27% | 14% | 7% | 4% | 2% | <1% |
| Current Standings | 2 | 0 | 41% | 24% | 14% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 2% |
| Lose Next Game | 2 | 1 | 29% | 23% | 17% | 13% | 9% | 6% | 3% |
| Divisional Winner | No Playoffs | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | |
| Best Case Scenario | 51% | 22% | 13% | 7% | 4% | 2% | <1% |
| Current Standings | 41% | 24% | 14% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 2% |
| Worst Case Scenario | 28% | 24% | 17% | 13% | 9% | 6% | 3% |
|
Best Case Scenario South Alabama beats Arkansas St. LA Monroe beats Troy Southern Miss beats UL Lafayette |
Worst Case Scenario Arkansas St. beats South Alabama Troy beats LA Monroe UL Lafayette beats Southern Miss |
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| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Divisional Winner | No Playoffs | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | ||
| 6 of 6 | 100% | 8 | 0 | 100% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 5 of 6 | 83% | 7 | 1 | 89% | 11% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 4 of 6 | 67% | 6 | 2 | 47% | 46% | 6% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 3 of 6 | 50% | 5 | 3 | 6% | 38% | 43% | 12% | 1% | <1% | ^ |
| 2 of 6 | 33% | 4 | 4 | <1% | 3% | 20% | 45% | 29% | 4% | <1% |
| 1 of 6 | 17% | 3 | 5 | X | X | <1% | 5% | 32% | 51% | 12% |
| 0 of 6 | 0% | 2 | 6 | X | X | X | X | X | 18% | 82% |