The Troy Trojans What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how Troy plays future conference games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Divisional Winner | No Playoffs | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | |
| Win Next Game | 3 | 2 | 7% | 12% | 18% | 22% | 25% | 14% | 2% |
| Current Standings | 2 | 2 | 4% | 8% | 14% | 19% | 23% | 24% | 8% |
| Lose Next Game | 2 | 3 | <1% | 5% | 12% | 20% | 24% | 28% | 11% |
| Divisional Winner | No Playoffs | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | |
| Best Case Scenario | 6% | 7% | 13% | 18% | 24% | 24% | 9% |
| Current Standings | 4% | 8% | 14% | 19% | 23% | 24% | 8% |
| Worst Case Scenario | 4% | 8% | 14% | 19% | 23% | 23% | 9% |
|
Best Case Scenario South Alabama beats Louisiana Tech |
Worst Case Scenario Louisiana Tech beats South Alabama |
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| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Divisional Winner | No Playoffs | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | ||
| 4 of 4 | 100% | 6 | 2 | 62% | 30% | 8% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 3 of 4 | 75% | 5 | 3 | 7% | 33% | 45% | 15% | 1% | <1% | ^ |
| 2 of 4 | 50% | 4 | 4 | <1% | 2% | 17% | 45% | 31% | 5% | <1% |
| 1 of 4 | 25% | 3 | 5 | X | <1% | <1% | 8% | 43% | 42% | 6% |
| 0 of 4 | 0% | 2 | 6 | X | X | X | X | 7% | 55% | 38% |