The Troy Trojans What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how Troy plays future conference games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Divisional Winner | No Playoffs | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | |
| Win Next Game | 2 | 0 | 22% | 25% | 21% | 15% | 11% | 5% | 1% |
| Current Standings | 1 | 0 | 13% | 17% | 19% | 20% | 17% | 9% | 4% |
| Lose Next Game | 1 | 1 | 7% | 13% | 20% | 25% | 19% | 11% | 4% |
| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Divisional Winner | No Playoffs | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | ||
| 7 of 7 | 100% | 8 | 0 | 100% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 6 of 7 | 86% | 7 | 1 | 86% | 14% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 5 of 7 | 71% | 6 | 2 | 39% | 49% | 11% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| 4 of 7 | 57% | 5 | 3 | 5% | 33% | 45% | 16% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| 3 of 7 | 43% | 4 | 4 | <1% | 4% | 28% | 47% | 19% | 2% | <1% |
| 2 of 7 | 29% | 3 | 5 | <1% | <1% | 3% | 25% | 49% | 22% | 2% |
| 1 of 7 | 14% | 2 | 6 | X | X | <1% | 2% | 22% | 56% | 21% |
| 0 of 7 | 0% | 1 | 7 | X | X | X | X | 1% | 36% | 63% |