The Most Important Games for the California Baptist Lancers are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Lancers final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. California Baptist Lancers fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
California Baptist Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5* First Round Bye |
6* First Round Bye |
7* First Round Bye |
8 | 9 | |||
| California Baptist (10‑3) vs Utah Valley (10‑3) |
25 | California Baptist Wins | 49% | 23% | 15% | 8% | 4% | 2% | <1% | 41% | 24% |
| Current Probabilities | 16% | 10% | 6% | 2% | <1% | 34% | 26% | 18% | 12% | ||
| Utah Valley Wins | 7% | 3% | 1% | ?? | ?? | ?? | ?? | ?? | ?? | ||
| Southern Utah (4‑9) vs Utah Tech (7‑7) |
1 | Southern Utah Wins | 42% | 24% | 16% | 10% | 5% | 2% | 1% | 41% | 24% |
| Current Probabilities | 16% | 10% | 6% | 2% | <1% | 42% | 24% | 16% | 10% | ||
| Utah Tech Wins | 6% | 2% | <1% | ?? | ?? | ?? | ?? | ?? | ?? | ||
| UT Arlington (8‑4) vs Tarleton St. (9‑4) |
0 | UT Arlington Wins | 41% | 24% | 16% | 10% | 6% | 2% | <1% | 41% | 24% |
| Current Probabilities | 16% | 10% | 6% | 2% | <1% | 43% | 23% | 16% | 10% | ||
| Tarleton St. Wins | 6% | 2% | 1% | ?? | ?? | ?? | ?? | ?? | ?? | ||