The Grand Canyon Antelopes What If table presents finishing probabilities depended upon how Grand Canyon plays future conference games. These games include either the next game or all remaining games. Other unplayed future conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1* First, Second, and Third Round Byes |
2* First, Second, and Third Round Byes |
3** First and Second Round Byes |
4** First and Second Round Byes |
5*** First Round Bye |
6*** First Round Bye |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | NT | |
| Win Next Game | 7 | 4 | 3% | 16% | 17% | 17% | 17% | 17% | 9% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Standings | 6 | 4 | 3% | 14% | 15% | 16% | 17% | 18% | 11% | 5% | 2% | <1% | <1% |
| Lose Next Game | 6 | 5 | 1% | 7% | 11% | 14% | 18% | 22% | 16% | 8% | 3% | 1% | <1% |
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1* First, Second, and Third Round Byes |
2* First, Second, and Third Round Byes |
3** First and Second Round Byes |
4** First and Second Round Byes |
5*** First Round Bye |
6*** First Round Bye |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | NT | |
| Best Case Scenario | 3% | 20% | 19% | 16% | 15% | 14% | 8% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Standings | 3% | 14% | 15% | 16% | 17% | 18% | 11% | 5% | 2% | <1% | <1% |
| Worst Case Scenario | 1% | 6% | 10% | 14% | 17% | 24% | 17% | 7% | 3% | 1% | <1% |
|
Best Case Scenario Utah Tech beats Seattle Grand Canyon beats New Mexico St. Abilene Christian beats Sam Houston |
Worst Case Scenario Seattle beats Utah Tech New Mexico St. beats Grand Canyon Sam Houston beats Abilene Christian |
||||||||||
| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1* First, Second, and Third Round Byes |
2* First, Second, and Third Round Byes |
3** First and Second Round Byes |
4** First and Second Round Byes |
5*** First Round Bye |
6*** First Round Bye |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | NT | ||
| 8 of 8 | 100% | 14 | 4 | 40% | 59% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 7 of 8 | 88% | 13 | 5 | 13% | 65% | 21% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 6 of 8 | 75% | 12 | 6 | 1% | 27% | 45% | 22% | 4% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 5 of 8 | 63% | 11 | 7 | <1% | 3% | 18% | 36% | 32% | 11% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 4 of 8 | 50% | 10 | 8 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 9% | 31% | 43% | 14% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| 3 of 8 | 38% | 9 | 9 | X | X | <1% | <1% | 5% | 36% | 44% | 14% | 1% | <1% | ^ |
| 2 of 8 | 25% | 8 | 10 | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 6% | 32% | 44% | 16% | 1% | <1% |
| 1 of 8 | 13% | 7 | 11 | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 3% | 24% | 45% | 24% | 4% |
| 0 of 8 | 0% | 6 | 12 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 1% | 14% | 39% | 46% |