PlayoffStatus.com

Sun Feb 5 12:15 am

WAC Basketball - Week 14 of 17

New Mexico St. Most Important Games

The Most Important Games for the New Mexico St. Aggies are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Aggies final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. New Mexico St. Aggies fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.

New Mexico St. Most Important Games
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)
Game
Winner
New Mexico St. Resultant Probabilities
Regular Season Finish
1*
First, Second, and
Third Round Byes
2*
First, Second, and
Third Round Byes
3**
First and Second
Round Byes
4**
First and Second
Round Byes
5***
First Round Bye
6***
First Round Bye
7 8 9 10 NT
New Mexico St.
(9‑14)

vs
Grand Canyon
(15‑8)
20 New Mexico St. Wins X <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 8% 11% 18% 58%
Current Probabilities X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 5% 8% 13% 72%
Grand Canyon Wins X X <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 4% 6% 11% 78%
Seattle
(16‑8)

vs
Utah Tech
(11‑13)
4 Seattle Wins X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 5% 8% 13% 71%
Current Probabilities X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 5% 8% 13% 72%
Utah Tech Wins X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 4% 7% 12% 75%
Sam Houston
(17‑6)

vs
Abilene Christian
(13‑11)
3 Sam Houston Wins X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 6% 9% 13% 71%
Current Probabilities X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 5% 8% 13% 72%
Abilene Christian Wins X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 4% 7% 13% 74%
Utah Valley
(18‑6)

vs
California Baptist
(13‑11)
1 Utah Valley Wins X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 5% 8% 13% 72%
Current Probabilities X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 5% 8% 13% 72%
California Baptist Wins X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 5% 8% 12% 73%
UT-Rio Grande Valley
(12‑12)

vs
UT Arlington
(8‑15)
1 UT-Rio Grande Valley Wins X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 5% 8% 13% 72%
Current Probabilities X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 5% 8% 13% 72%
UT Arlington Wins X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 5% 7% 13% 73%
Southern Utah
(16‑8)

vs
Tarleton
(12‑11)
1 Southern Utah Wins X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 5% 8% 13% 72%
Current Probabilities X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 5% 8% 13% 72%
Tarleton Wins X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 5% 8% 13% 72%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • *   denotes first, second, and third round byes in the post season conference tournament
  • **  denotes first and second round byes in the post season conference tournament
  • *** denotes first round bye in the post season conference tournament