The Seattle Redhawks What If table presents finishing probabilities depended upon how Seattle plays future conference games. These games include either the next game or all remaining games. Other unplayed future conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1* First, Second, and Third Round Byes |
2* First, Second, and Third Round Byes |
3** First and Second Round Byes |
4** First and Second Round Byes |
5*** First Round Bye |
6*** First Round Bye |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | NT | |
| Win Next Game | 8 | 3 | 16% | 19% | 20% | 17% | 15% | 9% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Standings | 7 | 3 | 14% | 17% | 19% | 18% | 16% | 11% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Lose Next Game | 7 | 4 | 6% | 11% | 17% | 20% | 21% | 16% | 8% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1* First, Second, and Third Round Byes |
2* First, Second, and Third Round Byes |
3** First and Second Round Byes |
4** First and Second Round Byes |
5*** First Round Bye |
6*** First Round Bye |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | NT | |
| Best Case Scenario | 24% | 20% | 17% | 14% | 12% | 8% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Standings | 14% | 17% | 19% | 18% | 16% | 11% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Worst Case Scenario | 5% | 11% | 17% | 20% | 22% | 17% | 7% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
|
Best Case Scenario Utah Tech beats Utah Valley UT Arlington beats Sam Houston Seattle beats New Mexico St. |
Worst Case Scenario Utah Valley beats Utah Tech Sam Houston beats UT Arlington New Mexico St. beats Seattle |
||||||||||
| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1* First, Second, and Third Round Byes |
2* First, Second, and Third Round Byes |
3** First and Second Round Byes |
4** First and Second Round Byes |
5*** First Round Bye |
6*** First Round Bye |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | NT | ||
| 8 of 8 | 100% | 15 | 3 | 87% | 13% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 7 of 8 | 88% | 14 | 4 | 46% | 42% | 12% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 6 of 8 | 75% | 13 | 5 | 12% | 34% | 37% | 15% | 2% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 5 of 8 | 63% | 12 | 6 | 1% | 8% | 29% | 39% | 20% | 2% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 4 of 8 | 50% | 11 | 7 | <1% | <1% | 6% | 26% | 45% | 20% | 3% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 3 of 8 | 38% | 10 | 8 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 29% | 47% | 19% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| 2 of 8 | 25% | 9 | 9 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 6% | 37% | 46% | 10% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| 1 of 8 | 13% | 8 | 10 | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 12% | 47% | 33% | 7% | <1% | <1% |
| 0 of 8 | 0% | 7 | 11 | X | X | X | X | X | 1% | 18% | 41% | 33% | 6% | <1% |