The Most Important Games for the Southern Utah Thunderbirds are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Thunderbirds final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Southern Utah Thunderbirds fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Southern Utah Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3** First Round Bye |
4** First Round Bye |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT | |||
| Southern Utah (8‑3) vs Grand Canyon (6‑2) |
41 | Southern Utah Wins | 24% | 19% | 15% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 17% | 17% | 15% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 5% | 3% | ||
| Grand Canyon Wins | 11% | 17% | 16% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 6% | 3% | ||
| Seattle (3‑6) vs California Baptist (5‑5) |
2 | Seattle Wins | 17% | 17% | 15% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | 17% | 17% | 15% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 5% | 3% | ||
| California Baptist Wins | 17% | 17% | 15% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 3% | ||
| Tarleton St. (3‑8) vs UT Arlington (4‑5) |
1 | Tarleton St. Wins | 17% | 18% | 15% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | 17% | 17% | 15% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 5% | 3% | ||
| UT Arlington Wins | 17% | 17% | 15% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 5% | 3% | ||
| Utah Valley (5‑5) vs Abilene Christian (6‑4) |
0 | Utah Valley Wins | 17% | 17% | 15% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 5% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 17% | 17% | 15% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 5% | 3% | ||
| Abilene Christian Wins | 18% | 17% | 15% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 2% | ||