The Most Important Games for the Southern Utah Thunderbirds are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Thunderbirds final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Southern Utah Thunderbirds fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Southern Utah Resultant Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First and Second Round Byes |
4** First and Second Round Byes |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Southern Utah (9‑18) vs Abilene Christian (12‑14) |
31 | Southern Utah Wins | X | X | <1% | 2% | 49% | 45% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | <1% | 1% | 30% | 37% | 32% | ||
| Abilene Christian Wins | X | X | X | <1% | 20% | 35% | 45% | ||
| Utah Tech (16‑12) vs Tarleton St. (14‑13) |
23 | Utah Tech Wins | X | X | <1% | 1% | 40% | 29% | 30% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | <1% | 1% | 30% | 37% | 32% | ||
| Tarleton St. Wins | X | X | <1% | 1% | 18% | 48% | 34% | ||
| Utah Valley (19‑7) vs UT Arlington (15‑11) |
2 | Utah Valley Wins | X | X | X | 2% | 30% | 37% | 32% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | <1% | 1% | 30% | 37% | 32% | ||
| UT Arlington Wins | X | X | <1% | <1% | 29% | 39% | 32% | ||