The Most Important Games for the Southern Utah Thunderbirds are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Thunderbirds final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Southern Utah Thunderbirds fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Southern Utah Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3** First Round Bye |
4** First Round Bye |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT | |||
| Southern Utah (9‑9) vs Grand Canyon (13‑5) |
27 | Southern Utah Wins | 1% | 4% | 9% | 13% | 16% | 19% | 17% | 14% | 6% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 7% | 10% | 15% | 18% | 19% | 17% | 12% | ||
| Grand Canyon Wins | <1% | 1% | 5% | 10% | 14% | 19% | 20% | 19% | 13% | ||
| Abilene Christian (8‑11) vs Tarleton St. (8‑12) |
2 | Abilene Christian Wins | 1% | 2% | 6% | 11% | 15% | 17% | 18% | 18% | 12% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 7% | 10% | 15% | 18% | 19% | 17% | 12% | ||
| Tarleton St. Wins | 1% | 2% | 6% | 10% | 15% | 19% | 19% | 17% | 11% | ||
| Utah Valley (13‑6) vs California Baptist (9‑9) |
1 | Utah Valley Wins | <1% | 2% | 7% | 11% | 14% | 18% | 18% | 17% | 12% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 7% | 10% | 15% | 18% | 19% | 17% | 12% | ||
| California Baptist Wins | 1% | 2% | 6% | 10% | 15% | 18% | 19% | 17% | 12% | ||
| Seattle (8‑10) vs UT Arlington (7‑11) |
1 | Seattle Wins | <1% | 2% | 6% | 10% | 15% | 18% | 20% | 18% | 11% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 7% | 10% | 15% | 18% | 19% | 17% | 12% | ||
| UT Arlington Wins | 1% | 3% | 7% | 11% | 14% | 17% | 17% | 17% | 14% | ||