The Southern Utah Thunderbirds What If table presents finishing probabilities depended upon how Southern Utah plays future conference games. These games include either the next game or all remaining games. Other unplayed future conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Regular Season Finish | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First and Second Round Byes |
4** First and Second Round Byes |
5 | 6 | 7 | |
| Win Next Game | 6 | 9 | X | X | <1% | 2% | 49% | 45% | 4% |
| Current Standings | 5 | 9 | X | X | <1% | 1% | 30% | 37% | 32% |
| Lose Next Game | 5 | 10 | X | X | X | <1% | 20% | 35% | 45% |
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First and Second Round Byes |
4** First and Second Round Byes |
5 | 6 | 7 | |
| Best Case Scenario | X | X | <1% | 3% | 64% | 31% | 3% |
| Current Standings | X | X | <1% | 1% | 30% | 37% | 32% |
| Worst Case Scenario | X | X | X | <1% | 10% | 42% | 48% |
|
Best Case Scenario Southern Utah beats Abilene Christian Utah Tech beats Tarleton St. |
Worst Case Scenario Abilene Christian beats Southern Utah Tarleton St. beats Utah Tech |
||||||
| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Regular Season Finish | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First and Second Round Byes |
4** First and Second Round Byes |
5 | 6 | 7 | ||
| 4 of 4 | 100% | 9 | 9 | X | X | <1% | 38% | 61% | 1% | ^ |
| 3 of 4 | 75% | 8 | 10 | X | X | X | 8% | 81% | 11% | <1% |
| 2 of 4 | 50% | 7 | 11 | X | X | X | 1% | 56% | 40% | 4% |
| 1 of 4 | 25% | 6 | 12 | X | X | X | X | 23% | 52% | 25% |
| 0 of 4 | 0% | 5 | 13 | X | X | X | X | 3% | 20% | 77% |