The Utah Valley Wolverines What If table presents finishing probabilities depended upon how Utah Valley plays future conference games. These games include either the next game or all remaining games. Other unplayed future conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1* First, Second, and Third Round Byes |
2* First, Second, and Third Round Byes |
3** First and Second Round Byes |
4** First and Second Round Byes |
5*** First Round Bye |
6*** First Round Bye |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | NT | |
| Win Next Game | 9 | 2 | 33% | 23% | 19% | 14% | 8% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Standings | 8 | 2 | 29% | 21% | 19% | 15% | 10% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Lose Next Game | 8 | 3 | 19% | 18% | 20% | 19% | 14% | 7% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1* First, Second, and Third Round Byes |
2* First, Second, and Third Round Byes |
3** First and Second Round Byes |
4** First and Second Round Byes |
5*** First Round Bye |
6*** First Round Bye |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | NT | |
| Best Case Scenario | 37% | 25% | 18% | 12% | 6% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Standings | 29% | 21% | 19% | 15% | 10% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Worst Case Scenario | 17% | 17% | 19% | 19% | 16% | 8% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
|
Best Case Scenario UT-Rio Grande Valley beats Sam Houston California Baptist beats Southern Utah Utah Valley beats Utah Tech |
Worst Case Scenario Sam Houston beats UT-Rio Grande Valley Southern Utah beats California Baptist Utah Tech beats Utah Valley |
||||||||||
| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1* First, Second, and Third Round Byes |
2* First, Second, and Third Round Byes |
3** First and Second Round Byes |
4** First and Second Round Byes |
5*** First Round Bye |
6*** First Round Bye |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | NT | ||
| 8 of 8 | 100% | 16 | 2 | 100% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 7 of 8 | 88% | 15 | 3 | 89% | 11% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 6 of 8 | 75% | 14 | 4 | 48% | 38% | 13% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 5 of 8 | 63% | 13 | 5 | 11% | 33% | 36% | 17% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 4 of 8 | 50% | 12 | 6 | 1% | 8% | 28% | 40% | 21% | 3% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 3 of 8 | 38% | 11 | 7 | <1% | <1% | 5% | 25% | 46% | 21% | 3% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 2 of 8 | 25% | 10 | 8 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 30% | 44% | 21% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| 1 of 8 | 13% | 9 | 9 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 7% | 36% | 51% | 5% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 0 of 8 | 0% | 8 | 10 | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 12% | 60% | 25% | 3% | <1% | <1% |