PlayoffStatus.com

Sat Jan 28 11:15 pm

WAC Basketball - Week 13 of 17

Utah Valley What If?

The Utah Valley Wolverines What If table presents finishing probabilities depended upon how Utah Valley plays future conference games. These games include either the next game or all remaining games. Other unplayed future conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Utah Valley What If?

Next Game - Utah Tech (10‑12)

  Resultant Record Regular Season Finish
  W L 1*
First, Second, and
Third Round Byes
2*
First, Second, and
Third Round Byes
3**
First and Second
Round Byes
4**
First and Second
Round Byes
5***
First Round Bye
6***
First Round Bye
7 8 9 10 NT
Win Next Game 9 2 33% 23% 19% 14% 8% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Standings 8 2 29% 21% 19% 15% 10% 4% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Lose Next Game 8 3 19% 18% 20% 19% 14% 7% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Regular Season Finish
  1*
First, Second, and
Third Round Byes
2*
First, Second, and
Third Round Byes
3**
First and Second
Round Byes
4**
First and Second
Round Byes
5***
First Round Bye
6***
First Round Bye
7 8 9 10 NT
Best Case Scenario 37% 25% 18% 12% 6% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Standings 29% 21% 19% 15% 10% 4% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Worst Case Scenario 17% 17% 19% 19% 16% 8% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Best Case Scenario
   UT-Rio Grande Valley beats Sam Houston
   California Baptist beats Southern Utah
   Utah Valley beats Utah Tech
Worst Case Scenario
   Sam Houston beats UT-Rio Grande Valley
   Southern Utah beats California Baptist
   Utah Tech beats Utah Valley
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won
Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games
Resultant Record Regular Season Finish
W L 1*
First, Second, and
Third Round Byes
2*
First, Second, and
Third Round Byes
3**
First and Second
Round Byes
4**
First and Second
Round Byes
5***
First Round Bye
6***
First Round Bye
7 8 9 10 NT
8 of 8 100% 16 2 100% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
7 of 8 88% 15 3 89% 11% 1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
6 of 8 75% 14 4 48% 38% 13% 1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
5 of 8 63% 13 5 11% 33% 36% 17% 2% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
4 of 8 50% 12 6 1% 8% 28% 40% 21% 3% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
3 of 8 38% 11 7 <1% <1% 5% 25% 46% 21% 3% <1% ^ ^ ^
2 of 8 25% 10 8 <1% <1% <1% 4% 30% 44% 21% <1% <1% ^ ^
1 of 8 13% 9 9 X <1% <1% <1% 7% 36% 51% 5% <1% <1% <1%
0 of 8 0% 8 10 X X X <1% <1% 12% 60% 25% 3% <1% <1%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *   denotes first, second, and third round byes in the post season conference tournament
  • **  denotes first and second round byes in the post season conference tournament
  • *** denotes first round bye in the post season conference tournament