The Most Important Games for the Pepperdine Waves are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Waves final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Pepperdine Waves fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Pepperdine Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||
| 1* First, Second, Third and Fourth Round Byes |
2* First, Second, Third and Fourth Round Byes |
3** First, Second, and Third Round Byes |
4** First, Second, and Third Round Byes |
5*** First and Second Round Byes |
6*** First and Second Round Byes |
7# First Round Bye |
8# First Round Bye |
9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | |||
| Pepperdine (6‑20) vs Loyola Marymount (13‑14) |
0 | Pepperdine Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 92% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 97% | ||
| Loyola Marymount Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 99% | ||
| San Francisco (14‑12) vs San Diego (11‑16) |
0 | San Francisco Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 96% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 97% | ||
| San Diego Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 97% | ||
| Oregon St. (14‑13) vs Seattle (15‑11) |
0 | Oregon St. Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 96% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 97% | ||
| Seattle Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 97% | ||
| Pacific (17‑10) vs St. Mary's (22‑3) |
0 | Pacific Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 97% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 97% | ||
| St. Mary's Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 97% | ||
| Santa Clara (21‑6) vs Gonzaga (24‑2) |
0 | Santa Clara Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 97% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 97% | ||
| Gonzaga Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 97% | ||