The Most Important Games for the Pepperdine Waves are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Waves final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Pepperdine Waves fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Pepperdine Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
| 1* First, Second, Third and Fourth Round Byes |
2* First, Second, Third and Fourth Round Byes |
3** First, Second, and Third Round Byes |
4** First, Second, and Third Round Byes |
5*** First and Second Round Byes |
6*** First and Second Round Byes |
7# First Round Bye |
8# First Round Bye |
9# First Round Bye |
10 | 11 | |||
| Pepperdine (4‑7) vs Gonzaga (10‑0) |
24 | Pepperdine Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 10% | 14% | 16% | 19% |
| Current Probabilities | 21% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 11% | 15% | ||
| Gonzaga Wins | 21% | 31% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 11% | ||
| Washington St. (3‑6) vs Portland (6‑4) |
2 | Washington St. Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 11% | 14% | 20% |
| Current Probabilities | 33% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 11% | 15% | ||
| Portland Wins | 21% | 31% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 6% | 8% | 11% | ||
| St. Mary's (9‑0) vs Loyola Marymount (7‑3) |
2 | St. Mary's Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 11% | 15% | 21% |
| Current Probabilities | 31% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 11% | 15% | ||
| Loyola Marymount Wins | 21% | 31% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 11% | ||
| San Francisco (6‑4) vs Seattle (8‑2) |
1 | San Francisco Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 6% | 8% | 11% | 15% | 21% |
| Current Probabilities | 33% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 11% | 15% | ||
| Seattle Wins | 21% | 31% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 11% | ||
| Oregon St. (6‑5) vs Santa Clara (7‑3) |
1 | Oregon St. Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 11% | 15% | 20% |
| Current Probabilities | 33% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 11% | 15% | ||
| Santa Clara Wins | 21% | 31% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 12% | ||
| Pacific (8‑3) vs San Diego (4‑6) |
0 | Pacific Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 11% | 15% | 20% |
| Current Probabilities | 31% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 11% | 15% | ||
| San Diego Wins | 21% | 31% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 11% | ||