The Most Important Games for the Pepperdine Waves are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Waves final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Pepperdine Waves fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Pepperdine Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||
| 1* First, Second, Third and Fourth Round Byes |
2* First, Second, Third and Fourth Round Byes |
3** First, Second, and Third Round Byes |
4** First, Second, and Third Round Byes |
5*** First and Second Round Byes |
6*** First and Second Round Byes |
7# First Round Bye |
8# First Round Bye |
9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | |||
| Pepperdine (6‑19) vs St. Mary's (21‑3) |
0 | Pepperdine Wins | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 7% | 91% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 97% | ||
| St. Mary's Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 98% | ||
| San Francisco (14‑11) vs Oregon St. (13‑13) |
0 | San Francisco Wins | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 97% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 97% | ||
| Oregon St. Wins | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 97% | ||
| Pacific (16‑10) vs Loyola Marymount (13‑13) |
0 | Pacific Wins | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 97% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 97% | ||
| Loyola Marymount Wins | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 98% | ||
| Santa Clara (20‑6) vs Seattle (15‑10) |
0 | Santa Clara Wins | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 97% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 97% | ||
| Seattle Wins | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 98% | ||
| San Diego (10‑16) vs Portland (12‑14) |
0 | San Diego Wins | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 97% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 97% | ||
| Portland Wins | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 97% | ||