The Most Important Games for the St. Mary's Gaels are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Gaels final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. St. Mary's Gaels fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
St. Mary's Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||
| 1* First, Second, and Third Round Byes |
2* First, Second, and Third Round Byes |
3** First and Second Round Byes |
4** First and Second Round Byes |
5*** First Round Bye |
6*** First Round Bye |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | |||
| St. Mary's (21‑4) vs Loyola Marymount (16‑9) |
0 | St. Mary's Wins | 94% | 6% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 89% | 11% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Loyola Marymount Wins | 80% | 20% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Pacific (11‑14) vs Portland (12‑14) |
0 | Pacific Wins | 90% | 10% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 89% | 11% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Portland Wins | 90% | 10% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| San Diego (12‑14) vs Santa Clara (17‑8) |
0 | San Diego Wins | 90% | 10% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 89% | 11% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Santa Clara Wins | 90% | 10% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Gonzaga (19‑5) vs San Francisco (15‑10) |
0 | Gonzaga Wins | 88% | 12% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 89% | 11% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| San Francisco Wins | 97% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Pepperdine (8‑17) vs BYU (16‑10) |
0 | Pepperdine Wins | 90% | 10% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 89% | 11% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| BYU Wins | 89% | 10% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||