The Most Important Games for the St. Mary's Gaels are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Gaels final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. St. Mary's Gaels fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
St. Mary's Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
| 1* First, Second, Third and Fourth Round Byes |
2* First, Second, Third and Fourth Round Byes |
3** First, Second, and Third Round Byes |
4** First, Second, and Third Round Byes |
5*** First and Second Round Byes |
6*** First and Second Round Byes |
7# First Round Bye |
8# First Round Bye |
9# First Round Bye |
10 | 11 | |||
| St. Mary's (9‑2) vs Pacific (5‑7) |
140 | St. Mary's Wins | 23% | 19% | 17% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 22% | 19% | 16% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Pacific Wins | 15% | 17% | 16% | 14% | 13% | 10% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Pepperdine (5‑6) vs Santa Clara (6‑5) |
14 | Pepperdine Wins | 23% | 19% | 16% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 22% | 19% | 16% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Santa Clara Wins | 22% | 19% | 16% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Portland (3‑6) vs Washington St. (8‑2) |
12 | Portland Wins | 23% | 19% | 16% | 13% | 11% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 22% | 19% | 16% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Washington St. Wins | 22% | 19% | 17% | 14% | 12% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Loyola Marymount (5‑4) vs San Francisco (8‑2) |
6 | Loyola Marymount Wins | 23% | 19% | 16% | 13% | 11% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 22% | 19% | 16% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| San Francisco Wins | 22% | 19% | 17% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||