The Most Important Games for the St. Mary's Gaels are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Gaels final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. St. Mary's Gaels fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
St. Mary's Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5* First Round Bye |
6* First Round Bye |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | |||
| St. Mary's (0‑0) vs San Diego (0‑0) |
9 | St. Mary's Wins | 12% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 6% |
| Current Probabilities | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | ||
| San Diego Wins | 6% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 11% | 12% | ||
| Loyola Marymount (0‑0) vs Seattle (0‑0) |
1 | Loyola Marymount Wins | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Current Probabilities | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | ||
| Seattle Wins | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | ||
| San Francisco (0‑0) vs Denver (0‑0) |
0 | San Francisco Wins | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Current Probabilities | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | ||
| Denver Wins | 10% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 11% | ||
| Santa Clara (0‑0) vs Pacific (0‑0) |
0 | Santa Clara Wins | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Current Probabilities | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | ||
| Pacific Wins | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 11% | ||
| Pepperdine (0‑0) vs Portland (0‑0) |
0 | Pepperdine Wins | 11% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Current Probabilities | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | ||
| Portland Wins | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | ||