The Most Important Games for the St. Mary's Gaels are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Gaels final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. St. Mary's Gaels fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
St. Mary's Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
| 1* First, Second, Third and Fourth Round Byes |
2* First, Second, Third and Fourth Round Byes |
3** First, Second, and Third Round Byes |
4** First, Second, and Third Round Byes |
5*** First and Second Round Byes |
6*** First and Second Round Byes |
7# First Round Bye |
8# First Round Bye |
9# First Round Bye |
10 | 11 | |||
| St. Mary's (14‑1) vs Seattle (12‑4) |
146 | St. Mary's Wins | 34% | 44% | 15% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 31% | 42% | 16% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Seattle Wins | <1% | <1% | 21% | 41% | 20% | 10% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| San Diego (6‑9) vs Santa Clara (11‑4) |
24 | San Diego Wins | 31% | 44% | 14% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 31% | 42% | 16% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Santa Clara Wins | <1% | <1% | 30% | 42% | 16% | 7% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Portland (7‑9) vs San Francisco (10‑5) |
11 | Portland Wins | 31% | 43% | 16% | 6% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 31% | 42% | 16% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| San Francisco Wins | <1% | <1% | 31% | 42% | 16% | 7% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Loyola Marymount (10‑6) vs Gonzaga (15‑0) |
10 | Loyola Marymount Wins | 41% | 33% | 15% | 7% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 31% | 42% | 16% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Gonzaga Wins | <1% | <1% | 30% | 43% | 16% | 7% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Oregon St. (8‑8) vs Washington St. (7‑8) |
2 | Oregon St. Wins | 31% | 42% | 16% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 31% | 42% | 16% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Washington St. Wins | <1% | <1% | 31% | 42% | 16% | 7% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Pepperdine (5‑11) vs Pacific (10‑6) |
1 | Pepperdine Wins | 31% | 42% | 16% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 31% | 42% | 16% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Pacific Wins | <1% | <1% | 32% | 41% | 16% | 7% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||