The Most Important Games for the Lightning are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Lightning final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Lightning fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Lightning Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metropolitan Divisional Winners | Atlantic Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
| 1* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
2* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
3 | 1* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
2* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
3 | 7 | 8 | 9 | |||
| Lightning (6‑5‑2) vs Golden Knights (7‑2‑3) |
3 | Lightning Wins | - | - | - | 10% | 13% | 13% | 6% | 6% | 54% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 9% | 12% | 12% | 5% | 6% | 56% | ||
| Golden Knights Wins | - | - | - | 8% | 11% | 12% | 5% | 6% | 57% | ||
| Flyers (7‑5‑1) vs Predators (5‑6‑4) |
1 | Flyers Wins | - | - | - | 9% | 12% | 13% | 6% | 6% | 55% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 9% | 12% | 12% | 5% | 6% | 56% | ||
| Predators Wins | - | - | - | 9% | 12% | 13% | 6% | 6% | 56% | ||
| Wild (5‑6‑3) vs Hurricanes (8‑4‑0) |
1 | Wild Wins | - | - | - | 9% | 12% | 12% | 5% | 6% | 55% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 9% | 12% | 12% | 5% | 6% | 56% | ||
| Hurricanes Wins | - | - | - | 9% | 12% | 13% | 5% | 6% | 56% | ||
| Capitals (6‑5‑1) vs Blues (4‑7‑2) |
1 | Capitals Wins | - | - | - | 9% | 12% | 13% | 6% | 5% | 55% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 9% | 12% | 12% | 5% | 6% | 56% | ||
| Blues Wins | - | - | - | 9% | 12% | 12% | 5% | 6% | 56% | ||
| Senators (6‑5‑2) vs Bruins (8‑7‑0) |
1 | Senators Wins | - | - | - | 9% | 12% | 13% | 5% | 6% | 55% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 9% | 12% | 12% | 5% | 6% | 56% | ||
| Bruins Wins | - | - | - | 9% | 12% | 12% | 6% | 6% | 56% | ||
| Blue Jackets (7‑5‑0) vs Flames (3‑9‑2) |
0 | Blue Jackets Wins | - | - | - | 9% | 12% | 12% | 6% | 6% | 55% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 9% | 12% | 12% | 5% | 6% | 56% | ||
| Flames Wins | - | - | - | 9% | 12% | 13% | 5% | 6% | 55% | ||
| Kings (6‑4‑4) vs Panthers (6‑6‑1) |
0 | Kings Wins | - | - | - | 9% | 12% | 13% | 5% | 5% | 55% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 9% | 12% | 12% | 5% | 6% | 56% | ||
| Panthers Wins | - | - | - | 9% | 12% | 12% | 5% | 6% | 56% | ||
| Hockey Club (9‑4‑0) vs Maple Leafs (7‑5‑1) |
0 | Hockey Club Wins | - | - | - | 9% | 12% | 12% | 5% | 6% | 55% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 9% | 12% | 12% | 5% | 6% | 56% | ||
| Maple Leafs Wins | - | - | - | 9% | 12% | 13% | 5% | 6% | 55% | ||
| Canadiens (9‑3‑1) vs Devils (9‑4‑0) |
0 | Canadiens Wins | - | - | - | 9% | 12% | 13% | 5% | 5% | 55% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 9% | 12% | 12% | 5% | 6% | 56% | ||
| Devils Wins | - | - | - | 9% | 12% | 12% | 5% | 6% | 56% | ||