The Most Important Games for the Lightning are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Lightning final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Lightning fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Lightning Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metropolitan Divisional Winners | Atlantic Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
| 1* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
2* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
3 | 1* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
2* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
3 | 7 | 8 | 9 | |||
| Lightning (43‑21‑4) vs Flames (28‑34‑7) |
1 | Lightning Wins | - | - | - | 39% | 55% | 5% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 35% | 56% | 7% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Flames Wins | - | - | - | 26% | 62% | 9% | 3% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Ducks (38‑27‑4) vs Sabres (44‑20‑6) |
1 | Ducks Wins | - | - | - | 42% | 49% | 6% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 35% | 56% | 7% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Sabres Wins | - | - | - | 28% | 63% | 7% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Hurricanes (45‑19‑6) vs Canadiens (38‑21‑10) |
0 | Hurricanes Wins | - | - | - | 35% | 58% | 6% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 35% | 56% | 7% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Canadiens Wins | - | - | - | 35% | 55% | 7% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Maple Leafs (29‑29‑13) vs Bruins (39‑23‑8) |
0 | Maple Leafs Wins | - | - | - | 35% | 57% | 6% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 35% | 56% | 7% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Bruins Wins | - | - | - | 35% | 55% | 7% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Rangers (28‑33‑9) vs Senators (36‑24‑9) |
0 | Rangers Wins | - | - | - | 35% | 56% | 6% | 2% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 35% | 56% | 7% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Senators Wins | - | - | - | 35% | 56% | 6% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Blackhawks (26‑31‑13) vs Islanders (40‑26‑5) |
0 | Blackhawks Wins | - | - | - | 35% | 56% | 6% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 35% | 56% | 7% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Islanders Wins | - | - | - | 35% | 57% | 6% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Penguins (35‑19‑16) vs Avalanche (46‑13‑10) |
0 | Penguins Wins | - | - | - | 35% | 56% | 6% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 35% | 56% | 7% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Avalanche Wins | - | - | - | 35% | 57% | 6% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Capitals (35‑27‑9) vs Blues (28‑30‑11) |
0 | Capitals Wins | - | - | - | 35% | 56% | 7% | 2% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 35% | 56% | 7% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Blues Wins | - | - | - | 35% | 56% | 7% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Devils (35‑32‑2) vs Stars (43‑16‑11) |
0 | Devils Wins | - | - | - | 35% | 56% | 7% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 35% | 56% | 7% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Stars Wins | - | - | - | 34% | 57% | 6% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Kraken (31‑29‑9) vs Panthers (34‑32‑3) |
0 | Kraken Wins | - | - | - | 35% | 56% | 7% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 35% | 56% | 7% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Panthers Wins | - | - | - | 34% | 56% | 7% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Blue Jackets (37‑22‑11) vs Flyers (34‑23‑12) |
0 | Blue Jackets Wins | - | - | - | 35% | 56% | 7% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 35% | 56% | 7% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Flyers Wins | - | - | - | 35% | 57% | 6% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ||