The Most Important Games for the Lightning are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Lightning final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Lightning fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Lightning Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metropolitan Divisional Winners | Atlantic Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
| 1* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
2* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
3 | 1* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
2* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
3 | 7 | 8 | 9 | |||
| Lightning (36‑14‑4) vs Panthers (29‑24‑3) |
1 | Lightning Wins | - | - | - | 85% | 10% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 82% | 12% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Panthers Wins | - | - | - | 78% | 14% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Rangers (22‑28‑6) vs Hurricanes (35‑15‑6) |
0 | Rangers Wins | - | - | - | 82% | 12% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 82% | 12% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Hurricanes Wins | - | - | - | 82% | 11% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Penguins (28‑15‑12) vs Sabres (32‑18‑6) |
0 | Penguins Wins | - | - | - | 84% | 10% | 4% | 1% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 82% | 12% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Sabres Wins | - | - | - | 81% | 12% | 4% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Devils (28‑26‑2) vs Islanders (31‑21‑5) |
0 | Devils Wins | - | - | - | 82% | 12% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 82% | 12% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Islanders Wins | - | - | - | 82% | 11% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Predators (26‑23‑7) vs Capitals (28‑23‑7) |
0 | Predators Wins | - | - | - | 82% | 12% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 82% | 12% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Capitals Wins | - | - | - | 82% | 12% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Flyers (25‑20‑10) vs Senators (27‑22‑7) |
0 | Flyers Wins | - | - | - | 82% | 11% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 82% | 12% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Senators Wins | - | - | - | 82% | 12% | 4% | 1% | 1% | <1% | ||