Where are the Lightning going in the playoff? The Lightning playoff picture table presents the probabilities that the Lightning will win each playoff spot. All future unplayed games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Record | Metropolitan Divisional Winners | Atlantic Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs |
|||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | DivisionDiv | Wi Schedule Content Number of Wins ----- Hover/Touch Content Recent Games |
L | OTLi Overtime Loses |
GPi Games Played 82 game season |
Ptsi Pts = 2*W + 1*OTL |
1* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
2* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
3 | 1* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
2* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
3 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
| Hurricanes | MetropolitanMet | 45i Hurricanes Recent Games Lost Tue, Mar 17 @ B. Jackets 1-5 Won Wed, Mar 18 vs Penguins 6-5 Won Fri, Mar 20 @ M. Leafs 4-3 Won Sun, Mar 22 @ Penguins 5-1 Tue, Mar 24 @ Canadiens Sat, Mar 28 vs Devils Sun, Mar 29 vs Canadiens Tue, Mar 31 @ B. Jackets |
19 | 6 | 70 | 96 | 98% | 2% | <1% | - | - | - | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Penguins | MetropolitanMet | 35 Penguins Recent Games Won Mon, Mar 16 @ Avalanche 7-2 Lost Wed, Mar 18 @ H.canes 5-6 Won Sat, Mar 21 vs Jets 5-4 Lost Sun, Mar 22 vs H.canes 1-5 Tue, Mar 24 vs Avalanche Thu, Mar 26 @ Senators Sat, Mar 28 vs Stars Mon, Mar 30 @ Islanders |
19 | 16 | 70 | 86 | 1% | 34% | 28% | - | - | - | 5% | 7% | 25% |
| Blue Jackets | MetropolitanMet | 37 Blue Jackets Recent Games Won Tue, Mar 17 vs H.canes 5-1 Won Thu, Mar 19 vs Rangers 6-3 Won Sat, Mar 21 vs Kraken 5-2 Lost Sun, Mar 22 @ Islanders 0-1 Tue, Mar 24 @ Flyers Thu, Mar 26 @ Canadiens Sat, Mar 28 vs Sharks Sun, Mar 29 vs Bruins |
22 | 11 | 70 | 85 | 1% | 23% | 28% | - | - | - | 5% | 7% | 36% |
| Sabres | AtlanticAtl | 44 Sabres Recent Games Won Sat, Mar 14 vs M. Leafs 3-2 Won Tue, Mar 17 @ G. Knights 2-0 Won Thu, Mar 19 @ Sharks 5-0 Won Sat, Mar 21 @ Kings 4-1 Sun, Mar 22 @ Ducks Wed, Mar 25 vs Bruins Fri, Mar 27 vs Red Wings Sat, Mar 28 vs Kraken |
20 | 6 | 70 | 94 | - | - | - | 64% | 33% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Lightning | AtlanticAtl | 43 Lightning Recent Games Lost Sat, Mar 14 vs H.canes 2-4 Won Tue, Mar 17 @ Kraken 6-2 Won Thu, Mar 19 @ Canucks 6-2 Won Sat, Mar 21 @ Oilers 5-2 Sun, Mar 22 @ Flames Tue, Mar 24 vs Wild Thu, Mar 26 vs Kraken Sat, Mar 28 vs Senators |
21 | 4 | 68 | 90 | - | - | - | 35% | 56% | 7% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Canadiens | AtlanticAtl | 38 Canadiens Recent Games Lost Sun, Mar 15 vs Ducks 3-4 Won Tue, Mar 17 vs Bruins 3-2 Lost Thu, Mar 19 @ Red Wings 1-3 Won Sat, Mar 21 vs Islanders 7-3 Tue, Mar 24 vs H.canes Thu, Mar 26 vs B. Jackets Sat, Mar 28 @ Predators Sun, Mar 29 @ H.canes |
21 | 10 | 69 | 86 | - | - | - | 1% | 6% | 33% | 24% | 18% | 18% |
| Bruins | AtlanticAtl | 39 Bruins Recent Games Lost Mon, Mar 16 @ Devils 3-4 Lost Tue, Mar 17 @ Canadiens 2-3 Won Thu, Mar 19 vs Jets 6-1 Won Sat, Mar 21 @ Red Wings 4-2 Tue, Mar 24 vs M. Leafs Wed, Mar 25 @ Sabres Sat, Mar 28 vs Wild Sun, Mar 29 @ B. Jackets |
23 | 8 | 70 | 86 | - | - | - | <1% | 3% | 34% | 25% | 17% | 21% |
| Islanders | MetropolitanMet | 40 Islanders Recent Games Won Tue, Mar 17 @ M. Leafs 3-1 Lost Thu, Mar 19 @ Senators 2-3 Lost Sat, Mar 21 @ Canadiens 3-7 Won Sun, Mar 22 vs B. Jackets 1-0 Tue, Mar 24 vs Blackhawks Thu, Mar 26 vs Stars Sat, Mar 28 vs Panthers Mon, Mar 30 vs Penguins |
26 | 5 | 71 | 85 | 1% | 35% | 29% | - | - | - | 4% | 6% | 26% |
| Red Wings | AtlanticAtl | 38 Red Wings Recent Games Lost Sat, Mar 14 @ Stars 2-3 Won Mon, Mar 16 vs Flames 5-2 Won Thu, Mar 19 vs Canadiens 3-1 Lost Sat, Mar 21 vs Bruins 2-4 Tue, Mar 24 vs Senators Fri, Mar 27 @ Sabres Sat, Mar 28 vs Flyers Tue, Mar 31 @ Penguins |
24 | 8 | 70 | 84 | - | - | - | <1% | 1% | 18% | 21% | 22% | 38% |
| Senators | AtlanticAtl | 36 Senators Recent Games Won Sun, Mar 15 vs Sharks 7-4 Lost Wed, Mar 18 @ Capitals 1-4 Won Thu, Mar 19 vs Islanders 3-2 Won Sat, Mar 21 vs M. Leafs 5-2 Mon, Mar 23 @ Rangers Tue, Mar 24 @ Red Wings Thu, Mar 26 vs Penguins Sat, Mar 28 @ Lightning |
24 | 9 | 69 | 81 | - | - | - | <1% | <1% | 6% | 10% | 15% | 68% |
| Flyers | MetropolitanMet | 34 Flyers Recent Games Lost Sat, Mar 14 vs B. Jackets 1-2 Won Wed, Mar 18 @ Ducks 3-2 Won Thu, Mar 19 @ Kings 4-3 Won Sat, Mar 21 @ Sharks 4-1 Tue, Mar 24 vs B. Jackets Thu, Mar 26 vs Blackhawks Sat, Mar 28 @ Red Wings Sun, Mar 29 vs Stars |
23 | 12 | 69 | 80 | <1% | 4% | 10% | - | - | - | 2% | 5% | 78% |
| Capitals | MetropolitanMet | 35 Capitals Recent Games Lost Sat, Mar 14 vs Bruins 2-3 Won Wed, Mar 18 vs Senators 4-1 Won Fri, Mar 20 vs Devils 2-1 Lost Sun, Mar 22 vs Avalanche 2-3 Tue, Mar 24 @ Blues Thu, Mar 26 @ Mammoth Sat, Mar 28 @ G. Knights Tue, Mar 31 vs Flyers |
27 | 9 | 71 | 79 | <1% | 2% | 5% | - | - | - | 1% | 2% | 91% |
| Devils | MetropolitanMet | 35 Devils Recent Games Won Sat, Mar 14 vs Kings 6-4 Won Mon, Mar 16 vs Bruins 4-3 Won Wed, Mar 18 @ Rangers 6-3 Lost Fri, Mar 20 @ Capitals 1-2 Tue, Mar 24 @ Stars Thu, Mar 26 @ Predators Sat, Mar 28 @ H.canes Sun, Mar 29 vs Blackhawks |
32 | 2 | 69 | 72 | <1% | <1% | <1% | - | - | - | <1% | <1% | 99% |
| Panthers | AtlanticAtl | 34 Panthers Recent Games Lost Sun, Mar 15 @ Kraken 2-6 Lost Tue, Mar 17 @ Canucks 2-5 Won Thu, Mar 19 @ Oilers 4-0 Lost Fri, Mar 20 @ Flames 1-4 Tue, Mar 24 vs Kraken Thu, Mar 26 vs Wild Sat, Mar 28 @ Islanders Sun, Mar 29 @ Rangers |
32 | 3 | 69 | 71 | - | - | - | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| Maple Leafs | AtlanticAtl | 29 Maple Leafs Recent Games Won Sun, Mar 15 @ Wild 4-2 Lost Tue, Mar 17 vs Islanders 1-3 Lost Fri, Mar 20 vs H.canes 3-4 Lost Sat, Mar 21 @ Senators 2-5 Tue, Mar 24 @ Bruins Wed, Mar 25 vs Rangers Sat, Mar 28 @ Blues Mon, Mar 30 @ Ducks |
29 | 13 | 71 | 71 | - | - | - | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| Rangers | MetropolitanMet | 28 Rangers Recent Games Lost Mon, Mar 16 vs Kings 1-4 Lost Wed, Mar 18 vs Devils 3-6 Lost Thu, Mar 19 @ B. Jackets 3-6 Lost Sun, Mar 22 vs Jets 2-3 Mon, Mar 23 vs Senators Wed, Mar 25 @ M. Leafs Fri, Mar 27 vs Blackhawks Sun, Mar 29 vs Panthers |
33 | 9 | 70 | 65 | X | <1% | <1% | - | - | - | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| Record | Total | Home (91%) |
Away (9%) |
||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Opponent | W | L | OTL | Pts | |||
| (3)Canadiens | 38 | 21 | 10 | 86 | 32% | 28% | 4% |
| (7)Bruins | 39 | 23 | 8 | 86 | 29% | 27% | 2% |
| (9)Red Wings | 38 | 24 | 8 | 84 | 18% | 18% | 1% |
| (10)Senators | 36 | 24 | 9 | 81 | 8% | 8% | <1% |
| (2)Penguins | 35 | 19 | 16 | 86 | 3% | 3% | <1% |
| (3)Blue Jackets | 37 | 22 | 11 | 85 | 2% | 2% | <1% |
| (8)Islanders | 40 | 26 | 5 | 85 | 2% | 2% | <1% |
| (11)Flyers | 34 | 23 | 12 | 80 | 2% | 2% | <1% |
| (1)Sabres | 44 | 20 | 6 | 94 | 2% | <1% | 2% |
| (12)Capitals | 35 | 27 | 9 | 79 | 1% | 1% | <1% |
| (1)Hurricanes | 45 | 19 | 6 | 96 | 1% | <1% | 1% |
| (13)Devils | 35 | 32 | 2 | 72 | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| (14)Panthers | 34 | 32 | 3 | 71 | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| (15)Maple Leafs | 29 | 29 | 13 | 71 | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| (16)Rangers | 28 | 33 | 9 | 65 | <1% | <1% | X |
| Elimination | <1% | ||||||
| Week Wk | Opponent | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Senators (36‑24‑9) |
4‑5 | Home | Thu Oct 9, 7:00 pm |
| 1 | Devils (35‑32‑2) |
3‑5 | Home | Sat Oct 11, 7:00 pm |
| 2 | Bruins (39‑23‑8) |
4‑3 | Away | Mon Oct 13, 1:00 pm |
| 2 | Capitals (35‑27‑9) |
2‑3 (OT) | Away | Tue Oct 14, 7:00 pm |
| 2 | Red Wings (38‑24‑8) |
1‑2 (OT) | Away | Fri Oct 17, 7:00 pm |
| 2 | Blue Jackets (37‑22‑11) |
2‑3 | Away | Sat Oct 18, 7:00 pm |
| 3 | Blackhawks (26‑31‑13) |
2‑3 | Home | Thu Oct 23, 6:45 pm |
| 3 | Ducks (38‑27‑4) |
4‑3 | Home | Sat Oct 25, 5:00 pm |
| 3 | Golden Knights (32‑25‑14) |
2‑1 (OT) | Home | Sun Oct 26, 5:00 pm |
| 4 | Predators (33‑28‑9) |
5‑2 | Away | Tue Oct 28, 7:45 pm |
| 4 | Stars (43‑16‑11) |
2‑1 (OT) | Home | Thu Oct 30, 7:00 pm |
| 4 | Mammoth (36‑28‑6) |
4‑2 | Away | Sun Nov 2, 3:30 pm |
| 5 | Avalanche (46‑13‑10) |
2‑3 | Away | Tue Nov 4, 9:30 pm |
| 5 | Golden Knights (32‑25‑14) |
6‑3 | Away | Thu Nov 6, 10:00 pm |
| 5 | Capitals (35‑27‑9) |
3‑2 | Home | Sat Nov 8, 7:00 pm |
| 6 | Rangers (28‑33‑9) |
3‑7 | Home | Wed Nov 12, 7:00 pm |
| 6 | Panthers (34‑32‑3) |
3‑1 | Away | Sat Nov 15, 5:00 pm |
| 6 | Canucks (21‑40‑8) |
2‑6 | Home | Sun Nov 16, 5:00 pm |
| 7 | Devils (35‑32‑2) |
5‑1 | Home | Tue Nov 18, 7:00 pm |
| 7 | Oilers (34‑28‑9) |
2‑1 (OT) | Home | Thu Nov 20, 7:30 pm |
| 7 | Capitals (35‑27‑9) |
5‑3 | Away | Sat Nov 22, 7:00 pm |
| 8 | Flyers (34‑23‑12) |
3‑0 | Home | Mon Nov 24, 7:00 pm |
| 8 | Flames (28‑34‑7) |
5‑1 | Home | Wed Nov 26, 7:00 pm |
| 8 | Red Wings (38‑24‑8) |
6‑3 | Away | Fri Nov 28, 12:00 pm |
| 8 | Rangers (28‑33‑9) |
4‑1 | Away | Sat Nov 29, 2:00 pm |
| 9 | Islanders (40‑26‑5) |
1‑2 | Away | Tue Dec 2, 7:00 pm |
| 9 | Penguins (35‑19‑16) |
3‑4 | Home | Thu Dec 4, 7:00 pm |
| 9 | Islanders (40‑26‑5) |
0‑2 | Home | Sat Dec 6, 7:00 pm |
| 10 | Maple Leafs (29‑29‑13) |
0‑2 | Away | Mon Dec 8, 7:30 pm |
| 10 | Canadiens (38‑21‑10) |
6‑1 | Away | Tue Dec 9, 7:00 pm |
| 10 | Devils (35‑32‑2) |
8‑4 | Away | Thu Dec 11, 7:00 pm |
| 10 | Islanders (40‑26‑5) |
2‑3 (SO) | Away | Sat Dec 13, 3:30 pm |
| 11 | Panthers (34‑32‑3) |
2‑5 | Home | Mon Dec 15, 7:00 pm |
| 11 | Kings (28‑25‑16) |
1‑2 | Home | Thu Dec 18, 7:00 pm |
| 11 | Hurricanes (45‑19‑6) |
6‑4 | Home | Sat Dec 20, 7:00 pm |
| 12 | Blues (28‑30‑11) |
4‑1 | Home | Mon Dec 22, 7:00 pm |
| 12 | Panthers (34‑32‑3) |
4‑2 | Away | Sat Dec 27, 7:00 pm |
| 12 | Canadiens (38‑21‑10) |
5‑4 (SO) | Home | Sun Dec 28, 5:00 pm |
| 13 | Ducks (38‑27‑4) |
4‑3 (OT) | Away | Wed Dec 31, 4:00 pm |
| 13 | Kings (28‑25‑16) |
5‑3 | Away | Thu Jan 1, 7:00 pm |
| 13 | Sharks (32‑30‑6) |
7‑3 | Away | Sat Jan 3, 4:00 pm |
| 14 | Avalanche (46‑13‑10) |
4‑2 | Home | Tue Jan 6, 7:00 pm |
| 14 | Flyers (34‑23‑12) |
7‑2 | Away | Sat Jan 10, 7:00 pm |
| 15 | Flyers (34‑23‑12) |
5‑1 | Away | Mon Jan 12, 7:00 pm |
| 15 | Penguins (35‑19‑16) |
2‑1 (SO) | Away | Tue Jan 13, 7:00 pm |
| 15 | Blues (28‑30‑11) |
2‑3 (SO) | Away | Fri Jan 16, 8:00 pm |
| 15 | Stars (43‑16‑11) |
4‑1 | Away | Sun Jan 18, 2:00 pm |
| 16 | Sharks (32‑30‑6) |
4‑1 | Home | Tue Jan 20, 7:00 pm |
| 16 | Blackhawks (26‑31‑13) |
2‑1 (SO) | Away | Fri Jan 23, 7:00 pm |
| 16 | Blue Jackets (37‑22‑11) |
5‑8 | Away | Sat Jan 24, 7:00 pm |
| 17 | Mammoth (36‑28‑6) |
2‑0 | Home | Mon Jan 26, 7:00 pm |
| 17 | Jets (29‑29‑12) |
4‑1 | Home | Thu Jan 29, 7:00 pm |
| 17 | Bruins (39‑23‑8) |
6‑5 (SO) | Home | Sun Feb 1, 6:30 pm |
| 18 | Sabres (44‑20‑6) |
4‑3 (OT) | Home | Tue Feb 3, 7:30 pm |
| 18 | Panthers (34‑32‑3) |
6‑1 | Home | Thu Feb 5, 7:30 pm |
| 21 | Maple Leafs (29‑29‑13) |
4‑2 | Home | Wed Feb 25, 7:30 pm |
| 21 | Hurricanes (45‑19‑6) |
4‑5 | Away | Thu Feb 26, 7:00 pm |
| 21 | Sabres (44‑20‑6) |
2‑6 | Home | Sat Feb 28, 7:00 pm |
| 22 | Wild (40‑19‑12) |
1‑5 | Away | Tue Mar 3, 9:30 pm |
| 22 | Jets (29‑29‑12) |
1‑4 | Away | Thu Mar 5, 8:00 pm |
| 22 | Maple Leafs (29‑29‑13) |
5‑2 | Away | Sat Mar 7, 7:00 pm |
| 22 | Sabres (44‑20‑6) |
7‑8 | Away | Sun Mar 8, 6:00 pm |
| 23 | Blue Jackets (37‑22‑11) |
2‑5 | Home | Tue Mar 10, 7:00 pm |
| 23 | Red Wings (38‑24‑8) |
4‑1 | Home | Thu Mar 12, 7:00 pm |
| 23 | Hurricanes (45‑19‑6) |
2‑4 | Home | Sat Mar 14, 7:00 pm |
| 24 | Kraken (31‑29‑9) |
6‑2 | Away | Tue Mar 17, 10:00 pm |
| 24 | Canucks (21‑40‑8) |
6‑2 | Away | Thu Mar 19, 10:00 pm |
| 24 | Oilers (34‑28‑9) |
5‑2 | Away | Sat Mar 21, 10:00 pm |
| 24 | Flames (28‑34‑7) |
Away | Sun Mar 22, 8:00 pm | |
| 25 | Wild (40‑19‑12) |
Home | Tue Mar 24, 7:30 pm | |
| 25 | Kraken (31‑29‑9) |
Home | Thu Mar 26, 7:00 pm | |
| 25 | Senators (36‑24‑9) |
Home | Sat Mar 28, 1:00 pm | |
| 25 | Predators (33‑28‑9) |
Home | Sun Mar 29, 5:00 pm | |
| 26 | Canadiens (38‑21‑10) |
Home | Tue Mar 31, 7:00 pm | |
| 26 | Penguins (35‑19‑16) |
Home | Thu Apr 2, 7:00 pm | |
| 26 | Bruins (39‑23‑8) |
Home | Sat Apr 4, 5:00 pm | |
| 27 | Sabres (44‑20‑6) |
Away | Mon Apr 6, 7:00 pm | |
| 27 | Senators (36‑24‑9) |
Away | Tue Apr 7, 7:00 pm | |
| 27 | Canadiens (38‑21‑10) |
Away | Thu Apr 9, 7:00 pm | |
| 27 | Bruins (39‑23‑8) |
Away | Sat Apr 11, 12:30 pm | |
| 28 | Red Wings (38‑24‑8) |
Home | Mon Apr 13, 7:00 pm | |
| 28 | Rangers (28‑33‑9) |
Home | Wed Apr 15, 7:00 pm |