The Most Important Games for the Maple Leafs are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Maple Leafs final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Maple Leafs fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Maple Leafs Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metropolitan Divisional Winners | Atlantic Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
| 1* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
2* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
3 | 1* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
2* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
3 | 7 | 8 | 9 | |||
| Canadiens (38‑21‑10) vs Hurricanes (45‑19‑6) |
0 | Canadiens Wins | - | - | - | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Hurricanes Wins | - | - | - | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Senators (36‑24‑9) vs Rangers (28‑33‑9) |
0 | Senators Wins | - | - | - | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Rangers Wins | - | - | - | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Capitals (35‑27‑9) vs Blues (28‑30‑11) |
0 | Capitals Wins | - | - | - | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Blues Wins | - | - | - | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Ducks (38‑27‑4) vs Sabres (44‑20‑6) |
0 | Ducks Wins | - | - | - | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Sabres Wins | - | - | - | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Flames (28‑34‑7) vs Lightning (43‑21‑4) |
0 | Flames Wins | - | - | - | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Lightning Wins | - | - | - | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Maple Leafs (29‑29‑13) vs Bruins (39‑23‑8) |
0 | Maple Leafs Wins | - | - | - | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Bruins Wins | - | - | - | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Flyers (34‑23‑12) vs Blue Jackets (37‑22‑11) |
0 | Flyers Wins | - | - | - | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Blue Jackets Wins | - | - | - | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Islanders (40‑26‑5) vs Blackhawks (26‑31‑13) |
0 | Islanders Wins | - | - | - | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Blackhawks Wins | - | - | - | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Panthers (34‑32‑3) vs Kraken (31‑29‑9) |
0 | Panthers Wins | - | - | - | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Kraken Wins | - | - | - | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Penguins (35‑19‑16) vs Avalanche (46‑13‑10) |
0 | Penguins Wins | - | - | - | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Avalanche Wins | - | - | - | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Stars (43‑16‑11) vs Devils (35‑32‑2) |
0 | Stars Wins | - | - | - | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Devils Wins | - | - | - | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||