The Most Important Games for the Maple Leafs are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Maple Leafs final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Maple Leafs fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Maple Leafs Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metropolitan Divisional Winners | Atlantic Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
| 1* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
2* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
3 | 1* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
2* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
3 | 7 | 8 | 9 | |||
| Maple Leafs (7‑5‑1) vs Hockey Club (9‑4‑0) |
3 | Maple Leafs Wins | - | - | - | 13% | 14% | 14% | 6% | 6% | 49% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 12% | 14% | 13% | 6% | 6% | 50% | ||
| Hockey Club Wins | - | - | - | 11% | 13% | 13% | 6% | 6% | 52% | ||
| Senators (6‑5‑2) vs Bruins (8‑7‑0) |
1 | Senators Wins | - | - | - | 12% | 14% | 13% | 5% | 6% | 50% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 12% | 14% | 13% | 6% | 6% | 50% | ||
| Bruins Wins | - | - | - | 12% | 13% | 13% | 5% | 6% | 51% | ||
| Panthers (6‑6‑1) vs Kings (6‑4‑4) |
1 | Panthers Wins | - | - | - | 12% | 13% | 13% | 6% | 6% | 50% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 12% | 14% | 13% | 6% | 6% | 50% | ||
| Kings Wins | - | - | - | 12% | 13% | 13% | 5% | 6% | 51% | ||
| Wild (5‑6‑3) vs Hurricanes (8‑4‑0) |
1 | Wild Wins | - | - | - | 12% | 14% | 13% | 5% | 6% | 50% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 12% | 14% | 13% | 6% | 6% | 50% | ||
| Hurricanes Wins | - | - | - | 11% | 14% | 13% | 5% | 6% | 51% | ||
| Flames (3‑9‑2) vs Blue Jackets (7‑5‑0) |
0 | Flames Wins | - | - | - | 12% | 13% | 13% | 6% | 6% | 50% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 12% | 14% | 13% | 6% | 6% | 50% | ||
| Blue Jackets Wins | - | - | - | 12% | 13% | 13% | 6% | 6% | 50% | ||
| Blues (4‑7‑2) vs Capitals (6‑5‑1) |
0 | Blues Wins | - | - | - | 12% | 14% | 12% | 6% | 6% | 51% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 12% | 14% | 13% | 6% | 6% | 50% | ||
| Capitals Wins | - | - | - | 12% | 13% | 13% | 6% | 6% | 51% | ||
| Lightning (6‑5‑2) vs Golden Knights (7‑2‑3) |
0 | Lightning Wins | - | - | - | 12% | 14% | 13% | 6% | 6% | 50% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 12% | 14% | 13% | 6% | 6% | 50% | ||
| Golden Knights Wins | - | - | - | 12% | 14% | 13% | 6% | 5% | 50% | ||
| Canadiens (9‑3‑1) vs Devils (9‑4‑0) |
0 | Canadiens Wins | - | - | - | 12% | 14% | 13% | 6% | 6% | 50% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 12% | 14% | 13% | 6% | 6% | 50% | ||
| Devils Wins | - | - | - | 12% | 14% | 13% | 6% | 6% | 50% | ||
| Predators (5‑6‑4) vs Flyers (7‑5‑1) |
0 | Predators Wins | - | - | - | 12% | 14% | 13% | 6% | 6% | 50% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 12% | 14% | 13% | 6% | 6% | 50% | ||
| Flyers Wins | - | - | - | 12% | 13% | 13% | 6% | 6% | 50% | ||