The Most Important Games for the Senators are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Senators final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Senators fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Senators Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metropolitan Divisional Winners | Atlantic Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
| 1* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
2* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
3 | 1* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
2* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
3 | 7 | 8 | 9 | |||
| Senators (36‑24‑9) vs Rangers (28‑33‑9) |
16 | Senators Wins | - | - | - | <1% | 1% | 7% | 13% | 17% | 62% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | <1% | <1% | 6% | 10% | 15% | 68% | ||
| Rangers Wins | - | - | - | <1% | <1% | 3% | 7% | 12% | 78% | ||
| Hurricanes (45‑19‑6) vs Canadiens (38‑21‑10) |
3 | Hurricanes Wins | - | - | - | <1% | 1% | 7% | 10% | 15% | 67% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | <1% | <1% | 6% | 10% | 15% | 68% | ||
| Canadiens Wins | - | - | - | <1% | <1% | 5% | 10% | 15% | 70% | ||
| Maple Leafs (29‑29‑13) vs Bruins (39‑23‑8) |
2 | Maple Leafs Wins | - | - | - | <1% | 1% | 7% | 11% | 14% | 67% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | <1% | <1% | 6% | 10% | 15% | 68% | ||
| Bruins Wins | - | - | - | <1% | 1% | 5% | 10% | 15% | 69% | ||
| Blackhawks (26‑31‑13) vs Islanders (40‑26‑5) |
2 | Blackhawks Wins | - | - | - | <1% | 1% | 6% | 10% | 16% | 67% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | <1% | <1% | 6% | 10% | 15% | 68% | ||
| Islanders Wins | - | - | - | <1% | 1% | 6% | 10% | 14% | 69% | ||
| Avalanche (46‑13‑10) vs Penguins (35‑19‑16) |
1 | Avalanche Wins | - | - | - | <1% | 1% | 6% | 10% | 15% | 69% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | <1% | <1% | 6% | 10% | 15% | 68% | ||
| Penguins Wins | - | - | - | <1% | 1% | 6% | 10% | 14% | 69% | ||
| Sabres (44‑20‑6) vs Ducks (38‑27‑4) |
0 | Sabres Wins | - | - | - | <1% | <1% | 6% | 10% | 15% | 69% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | <1% | <1% | 6% | 10% | 15% | 68% | ||
| Ducks Wins | - | - | - | <1% | 1% | 6% | 10% | 14% | 69% | ||
| Panthers (34‑32‑3) vs Kraken (31‑29‑9) |
0 | Panthers Wins | - | - | - | <1% | 1% | 6% | 10% | 15% | 68% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | <1% | <1% | 6% | 10% | 15% | 68% | ||
| Kraken Wins | - | - | - | <1% | <1% | 6% | 10% | 15% | 68% | ||
| Stars (43‑16‑11) vs Devils (35‑32‑2) |
0 | Stars Wins | - | - | - | <1% | 1% | 6% | 10% | 15% | 69% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | <1% | <1% | 6% | 10% | 15% | 68% | ||
| Devils Wins | - | - | - | <1% | 1% | 6% | 10% | 15% | 69% | ||
| Blue Jackets (37‑22‑11) vs Flyers (34‑23‑12) |
0 | Blue Jackets Wins | - | - | - | <1% | 1% | 6% | 10% | 15% | 68% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | <1% | <1% | 6% | 10% | 15% | 68% | ||
| Flyers Wins | - | - | - | <1% | 1% | 6% | 10% | 15% | 69% | ||
| Lightning (43‑21‑4) vs Flames (28‑34‑7) |
0 | Lightning Wins | - | - | - | <1% | <1% | 6% | 10% | 15% | 69% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | <1% | <1% | 6% | 10% | 15% | 68% | ||
| Flames Wins | - | - | - | <1% | 1% | 6% | 10% | 15% | 69% | ||
| Blues (28‑30‑11) vs Capitals (35‑27‑9) |
0 | Blues Wins | - | - | - | <1% | 1% | 6% | 10% | 15% | 69% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | <1% | <1% | 6% | 10% | 15% | 68% | ||
| Capitals Wins | - | - | - | <1% | 1% | 6% | 10% | 15% | 69% | ||