Where are the Cal Poly Mustangs going to finish in the regular season standings and be seeded in the post season tournament? The Cal Poly standings table presents the probabilities of the Mustangs winning different finishing spots. All future unplayed conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Record Rcrd | Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Wi Schedule Content Number of Wins ----- Hover/Touch Content Recent Games |
L | GPi Games Played 20 game season |
1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3** First Round Bye |
4** First Round Bye |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT |
| UC Irvine | 8i UC Irvine Recent Games Lost Sat, Jan 17 @ UC Davis 72-75 Won Thu, Jan 22 @ UC Riverside 80-66 Won Sat, Jan 24 @ UC San Diego 61-59 Won Thu, Jan 29 vs Hawai'i 87-76 Thu, Feb 05 vs CSU Bakersfield Sat, Feb 07 @ UCSB Thu, Feb 12 @ Cal Poly Sat, Feb 14 vs CSU Fullerton |
2 | 10 | 45% | 26% | 15% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| UCSB | 8 UCSB Recent Games Won Thu, Jan 22 vs Cal Poly 107-67 Won Sat, Jan 24 @ Long Beach St. 74-71 Won Thu, Jan 29 @ UC San Diego 62-48 Won Sat, Jan 31 vs CSU Fullerton 83-69 Thu, Feb 05 @ UC Davis Sat, Feb 07 vs UC Irvine Thu, Feb 12 @ UC Riverside Sat, Feb 14 @ Cal Poly |
3 | 11 | 21% | 20% | 24% | 16% | 11% | 6% | 2% | <1% | <1% |
| Hawai'i | 8 Hawai'i Recent Games Won Thu, Jan 22 vs CSU Bakersfield 98-71 Won Sat, Jan 24 vs CSU Northridge 89-68 Lost Thu, Jan 29 @ UC Irvine 76-87 Won Sat, Jan 31 @ Long Beach St. 89-82 Sat, Feb 07 vs UC San Diego Thu, Feb 12 @ CSU Bakersfield Sat, Feb 14 @ CSU Northridge Thu, Feb 19 vs Cal Poly |
3 | 11 | 28% | 36% | 19% | 9% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| UC Davis | 6 UC Davis Recent Games Lost Thu, Jan 22 vs UC San Diego 74-80 Won Sat, Jan 24 vs UC Riverside 74-66 Lost Thu, Jan 29 @ CSU Northridge 78-94 Won Sat, Jan 31 @ CSU Bakersfield 80-72 Thu, Feb 05 vs UCSB Sat, Feb 07 vs Cal Poly Thu, Feb 12 @ UC San Diego Sat, Feb 14 vs Long Beach St. |
5 | 11 | 2% | 7% | 13% | 19% | 19% | 19% | 12% | 6% | 3% |
| CSU Northridge | 6 CSU Northridge Recent Games Lost Sat, Jan 17 vs Long Beach St. 80-87 Lost Sat, Jan 24 @ Hawai'i 68-89 Won Thu, Jan 29 vs UC Davis 94-78 Won Sat, Jan 31 vs UC San Diego 81-64 Thu, Feb 05 @ Cal Poly Sat, Feb 07 vs UC Riverside Sat, Feb 14 vs Hawai'i Thu, Feb 19 @ UCSB |
5 | 11 | 2% | 7% | 15% | 21% | 21% | 16% | 10% | 5% | 3% |
| CSU Fullerton | 5 CSU Fullerton Recent Games Lost Sat, Jan 17 @ UC Riverside 72-81 Won Thu, Jan 22 vs Long Beach St. 71-61 Won Sat, Jan 24 @ Cal Poly 93-78 Lost Sat, Jan 31 @ UCSB 69-83 Thu, Feb 05 vs UC Riverside Sat, Feb 07 vs CSU Bakersfield Thu, Feb 12 @ Long Beach St. Sat, Feb 14 @ UC Irvine |
6 | 11 | <1% | 1% | 3% | 8% | 13% | 18% | 26% | 17% | 15% |
| Cal Poly | 5 Cal Poly Recent Games Lost Thu, Jan 22 @ UCSB 67-107 Lost Sat, Jan 24 vs CSU Fullerton 78-93 Won Thu, Jan 29 @ CSU Bakersfield 104-79 Won Sat, Jan 31 @ UC Riverside 94-87 Thu, Feb 05 vs CSU Northridge Sat, Feb 07 @ UC Davis Thu, Feb 12 vs UC Irvine Sat, Feb 14 vs UCSB |
6 | 11 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 10% | 17% | 29% | 35% |
| UC San Diego | 5 UC San Diego Recent Games Won Thu, Jan 22 @ UC Davis 80-74 Lost Sat, Jan 24 vs UC Irvine 59-61 Lost Thu, Jan 29 vs UCSB 48-62 Lost Sat, Jan 31 @ CSU Northridge 64-81 Thu, Feb 05 vs Long Beach St. Sat, Feb 07 @ Hawai'i Thu, Feb 12 vs UC Davis Sat, Feb 14 vs UC Riverside |
6 | 11 | 1% | 4% | 9% | 17% | 21% | 22% | 15% | 8% | 4% |
| Long Beach St. | 4 Long Beach St. Recent Games Lost Thu, Jan 22 @ CSU Fullerton 61-71 Lost Sat, Jan 24 vs UCSB 71-74 Lost Thu, Jan 29 @ UC Riverside 61-71 Lost Sat, Jan 31 vs Hawai'i 82-89 Thu, Feb 05 @ UC San Diego Thu, Feb 12 vs CSU Fullerton Sat, Feb 14 @ UC Davis Thu, Feb 19 vs UC Irvine |
7 | 11 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 10% | 19% | 64% |
| UC Riverside | 3 UC Riverside Recent Games Lost Thu, Jan 22 vs UC Irvine 66-80 Lost Sat, Jan 24 @ UC Davis 66-74 Won Thu, Jan 29 vs Long Beach St. 71-61 Lost Sat, Jan 31 vs Cal Poly 87-94 Thu, Feb 05 @ CSU Fullerton Sat, Feb 07 @ CSU Northridge Thu, Feb 12 vs UCSB Sat, Feb 14 @ UC San Diego |
8 | 11 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 9% | 84% |
| CSU BakersfieldCSU Bakersfild | 2 CSU Bakersfield Recent Games Lost Sat, Jan 17 vs UC San Diego 62-83 Lost Thu, Jan 22 @ Hawai'i 71-98 Lost Thu, Jan 29 vs Cal Poly 79-104 Lost Sat, Jan 31 vs UC Davis 72-80 Thu, Feb 05 @ UC Irvine Sat, Feb 07 @ CSU Fullerton Thu, Feb 12 vs Hawai'i Thu, Feb 19 @ UC Riverside |
9 | 11 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 5% | 92% |
| Record | Probability | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Opponent | W | L | |
| Bye | 4% | ||
| (8)UC San Diego | 5 | 6 | 14% |
| (4)UC Davis | 6 | 5 | 12% |
| (5)CSU Northridge | 6 | 5 | 12% |
| (6)CSU Fullerton | 5 | 6 | 11% |
| (2)UCSB | 8 | 3 | 5% |
| (9)Long Beach St. | 4 | 7 | 2% |
| (3)Hawai'i | 8 | 3 | 2% |
| (1)UC Irvine | 8 | 2 | 2% |
| (10)UC Riverside | 3 | 8 | 1% |
| (11)CSU BakersfieldCSU Bakersfild | 2 | 9 | <1% |
| Elimination | 35% | ||
| Week Wk | Opponent | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | CSU Fullerton (10‑13) |
94‑91 | Away | Thu Dec 4, 10:00 pm |
| 5 | UC Riverside (8‑15) |
84‑88 | Home | Sat Dec 6, 7:00 pm |
| 9 | UC San Diego (15‑8) |
67‑65 | Home | Thu Jan 1, 10:00 pm |
| 9 | Long Beach St. (8‑15) |
66‑74 | Away | Sat Jan 3, 9:00 pm |
| 10 | CSU Northridge (13‑10) |
90‑95 | Away | Thu Jan 8, 10:00 pm |
| 10 | UC Davis (13‑9) |
84‑78 | Home | Sat Jan 10, 5:00 pm |
| 11 | Hawai'i (16‑5) |
66‑86 | Home | Thu Jan 15, 10:00 pm |
| 12 | UCSB (15‑7) |
67‑107 | Away | Thu Jan 22, 9:00 pm |
| 12 | CSU Fullerton (10‑13) |
78‑93 | Home | Sat Jan 24, 7:00 pm |
| 13 | CSU BakersfieldCSU Bakersfild (8‑15) |
104‑79 | Away | Thu Jan 29, 9:30 pm |
| 13 | UC Riverside (8‑15) |
94‑87 | Away | Sat Jan 31, 8:00 pm |
| 14 | CSU Northridge (13‑10) |
Home | Thu Feb 5, 10:00 pm | |
| 14 | UC Davis (13‑9) |
Away | Sat Feb 7, 5:00 pm | |
| 15 | UC Irvine (15‑7) |
Home | Thu Feb 12, 10:00 pm | |
| 15 | UCSB (15‑7) |
Home | Sat Feb 14, 7:00 pm | |
| 16 | Hawai'i (16‑5) |
Away | Thu Feb 19, 11:59 pm | |
| 17 | Long Beach St. (8‑15) |
Home | Thu Feb 26, 10:00 pm | |
| 17 | UC San Diego (15‑8) |
Away | Sat Feb 28, 10:00 pm | |
| 18 | UC Irvine (15‑7) |
Away | Thu Mar 5, 10:00 pm | |
| 18 | CSU BakersfieldCSU Bakersfild (8‑15) |
Home | Sat Mar 7, 7:00 pm |
| Week Wk | Opponent | Conference | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | USC (16‑6) |
Big 10Big 10 | 64‑94 | Away | Mon Nov 3 |
| 1 | Pacific Lutheran | ‑‑ | 101‑79 | Home | Wed Nov 5 |
| 1 | Seattle (14‑9) |
West CoastWest Coast | 73‑71 | Away | Sat Nov 8 |
| 2 | Colorado St. (12‑10) |
Mountain WestMntn West | 79‑93 | Away | Wed Nov 12 |
| 2 | Montana (13‑10) |
Big SkyBig Sky | 82‑90 | Away | Fri Nov 14 |
| 3 | Utah (9‑12) |
Big 12Big 12 | 92‑85 | Away | Thu Nov 20, 9:00 pm |
| 4 | Northern Arizona (8‑15) |
Big SkyBig Sky | 87‑93 | Away | Mon Nov 24, 8:00 pm |
| 4 | SE Missouri St. (13‑10) |
Ohio ValleyOhio Valley | 68‑84 | Home | Tue Nov 25, 9:00 pm |
| 4 | Redlands | ‑‑ | 87‑81 | Home | Sat Nov 29, 7:00 pm |
| 7 | Montana St. (13‑10) |
Big SkyBig Sky | 80‑83 | Home | Tue Dec 16, 10:00 pm |
| 7 | UCLA (15‑7) |
Big 10Big 10 | 87‑108 | Away | Fri Dec 19, 10:00 pm |
| 7 | Idaho (13‑9) |
Big SkyBig Sky | 80‑83 (OT) | Home | Sun Dec 21, 7:00 pm |