The Most Important Games for the Missouri St. Bears are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Bears final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Missouri St. Bears fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Missouri St. Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||
| 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | |||
| Missouri St. (2‑5) vs Sam Houston (1‑6) |
1 | Missouri St. Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 8% | 12% | 16% | 23% | 27% | 8% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 9% | 13% | 18% | 22% | 18% | 9% | ||
| Sam Houston Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 9% | 13% | 20% | 32% | 19% | ||
| New Mexico St. (3‑4) vs Jacksonville St.Jacksnvlle St. (5‑2) |
1 | New Mexico St. Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 8% | 13% | 18% | 23% | 19% | 9% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 9% | 13% | 18% | 22% | 18% | 9% | ||
| Jacksonville St.Jacksnvlle St. Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 10% | 14% | 18% | 22% | 17% | 9% | ||
| Kennesaw St. (1‑6) vs Middle Tenn. St. (4‑3) |
0 | Kennesaw St. Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 9% | 13% | 16% | 20% | 17% | 13% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 9% | 13% | 18% | 22% | 18% | 9% | ||
| Middle Tenn. St. Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 6% | 10% | 14% | 19% | 23% | 18% | 8% | ||
| Florida Intl. (3‑4) vs Liberty (6‑1) |
0 | Florida Intl. Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 9% | 13% | 18% | 23% | 19% | 9% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 9% | 13% | 18% | 22% | 18% | 9% | ||
| Liberty Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 6% | 10% | 13% | 19% | 22% | 19% | 9% | ||
| Delaware (3‑4) vs W. Kentucky (3‑4) |
0 | Delaware Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 9% | 12% | 17% | 23% | 20% | 9% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 9% | 13% | 18% | 22% | 18% | 9% | ||
| W. Kentucky Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 9% | 14% | 19% | 22% | 18% | 8% | ||