The Most Important Games for the Valparaiso Crusaders are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Crusaders final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Valparaiso Crusaders fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Valparaiso Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5* First Round Bye |
6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | |||
| Valparaiso (11‑12) vs Evansville (5‑18) |
11 | Valparaiso Wins | <1% | <1% | 3% | 7% | 12% | 16% | 21% | 22% | 17% | 2% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 2% | 6% | 11% | 15% | 20% | 22% | 20% | 4% | <1% | ||
| Evansville Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 7% | 11% | 19% | 25% | 28% | 7% | 1% | ||
| Belmont (21‑3) vs UIC (13‑11) |
4 | Belmont Wins | <1% | <1% | 2% | 7% | 11% | 15% | 20% | 22% | 19% | 4% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 2% | 6% | 11% | 15% | 20% | 22% | 20% | 4% | <1% | ||
| UIC Wins | <1% | <1% | 2% | 5% | 9% | 15% | 21% | 23% | 20% | 4% | <1% | ||
| Bradley (16‑8) vs Northern Iowa (14‑9) |
2 | Bradley Wins | <1% | <1% | 2% | 7% | 12% | 15% | 20% | 22% | 19% | 4% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 2% | 6% | 11% | 15% | 20% | 22% | 20% | 4% | <1% | ||
| Northern Iowa Wins | <1% | <1% | 3% | 6% | 10% | 14% | 20% | 23% | 20% | 4% | <1% | ||
| Murray State (17‑7) vs Southern Illinois (10‑13) |
1 | Murray State Wins | <1% | <1% | 2% | 7% | 11% | 15% | 21% | 23% | 18% | 3% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 2% | 6% | 11% | 15% | 20% | 22% | 20% | 4% | <1% | ||
| Southern Illinois Wins | <1% | <1% | 2% | 6% | 10% | 14% | 18% | 21% | 23% | 4% | <1% | ||
| Drake (12‑12) vs Illinois St. (15‑8) |
1 | Drake Wins | <1% | <1% | 3% | 7% | 11% | 14% | 18% | 22% | 22% | 4% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 2% | 6% | 11% | 15% | 20% | 22% | 20% | 4% | <1% | ||
| Illinois St. Wins | <1% | <1% | 2% | 6% | 11% | 15% | 21% | 22% | 18% | 3% | <1% | ||