Where are the Valparaiso Crusaders going to finish in the regular season standings and be seeded in the post season tournament? The Valparaiso standings table presents the probabilities of the Crusaders winning different finishing spots. All future unplayed conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Record Rcrd | Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Wi Schedule Content Number of Wins ----- Hover/Touch Content Recent Games |
L | GPi Games Played 20 game season |
1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5* First Round Bye |
6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
| Belmont | 11i Belmont Recent Games Won Sat, Jan 24 vs Illinois St. 80-69 Won Wed, Jan 28 @ Valparaiso 78-77 Won Sat, Jan 31 vs Murray State 103-86 Won Tue, Feb 03 vs Drake 103-90 Fri, Feb 06 @ UIC Mon, Feb 09 @ Bradley Thu, Feb 12 vs Northern Iowa Sun, Feb 15 @ Murray State |
2 | 13 | 90% | 9% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Murray State | 9 Murray State Recent Games Lost Sat, Jan 24 @ Northern Iowa 76-81 Lost Wed, Jan 28 vs Illinois St. 65-70 Lost Sat, Jan 31 @ Belmont 86-103 Won Tue, Feb 03 vs UIC 81-74 Fri, Feb 06 @ Southern Illinois Mon, Feb 09 vs Northern Iowa Thu, Feb 12 @ Indiana St. Sun, Feb 15 vs Belmont |
4 | 13 | 7% | 47% | 24% | 13% | 6% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Bradley | 9 Bradley Recent Games Won Wed, Jan 21 vs Indiana St. 75-68 Lost Sat, Jan 24 vs UIC 70-85 Won Sat, Jan 31 @ Drake 87-73 Won Tue, Feb 03 vs Valparaiso 72-65 Fri, Feb 06 @ Northern Iowa Mon, Feb 09 vs Belmont Sun, Feb 15 @ Southern Illinois Wed, Feb 18 @ Valparaiso |
4 | 13 | 2% | 20% | 27% | 21% | 16% | 9% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| UIC | 8 UIC Recent Games Won Sat, Jan 24 @ Bradley 85-70 Won Tue, Jan 27 vs Indiana St. 76-74 Won Sat, Jan 31 @ Southern Illinois 68-66 Lost Tue, Feb 03 @ Murray State 74-81 Fri, Feb 06 vs Belmont Thu, Feb 12 @ Drake Sun, Feb 15 vs Illinois St. Wed, Feb 18 @ Evansville |
5 | 13 | <1% | 6% | 18% | 23% | 22% | 16% | 10% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Illinois St. | 7 Illinois St. Recent Games Won Wed, Jan 21 vs Northern Iowa 59-54 Lost Sat, Jan 24 @ Belmont 69-80 Won Wed, Jan 28 @ Murray State 70-65 Lost Tue, Feb 03 vs Southern Illinois 50-54 Fri, Feb 06 vs Drake Mon, Feb 09 @ Evansville Thu, Feb 12 vs Valparaiso Sun, Feb 15 @ UIC |
5 | 12 | 1% | 14% | 19% | 20% | 18% | 13% | 9% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Northern Iowa | 6 Northern Iowa Recent Games Lost Wed, Jan 21 @ Illinois St. 54-59 Won Sat, Jan 24 vs Murray State 81-76 Lost Wed, Jan 28 @ Southern Illinois 50-65 Won Sat, Jan 31 vs Evansville 71-55 Fri, Feb 06 vs Bradley Mon, Feb 09 @ Murray State Thu, Feb 12 @ Belmont Sun, Feb 15 vs Drake |
6 | 12 | <1% | 3% | 7% | 12% | 17% | 21% | 17% | 13% | 8% | 1% | <1% |
| Drake | 6 Drake Recent Games Won Sat, Jan 24 @ Indiana St. 76-62 Won Wed, Jan 28 vs Evansville 82-78 Lost Sat, Jan 31 vs Bradley 73-87 Lost Tue, Feb 03 @ Belmont 90-103 Fri, Feb 06 @ Illinois St. Mon, Feb 09 vs Valparaiso Thu, Feb 12 vs UIC Sun, Feb 15 @ Northern Iowa |
7 | 13 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 8% | 14% | 23% | 26% | 24% | 1% | <1% |
| Valparaiso | 5 Valparaiso Recent Games Won Wed, Jan 21 vs Southern Illinois 69-63 Lost Wed, Jan 28 vs Belmont 77-78 Won Sat, Jan 31 @ Indiana St. 76-72 Lost Tue, Feb 03 @ Bradley 65-72 Fri, Feb 06 vs Evansville Mon, Feb 09 @ Drake Thu, Feb 12 @ Illinois St. Sun, Feb 15 vs Indiana St. |
7 | 12 | <1% | <1% | 2% | 6% | 11% | 15% | 20% | 22% | 20% | 4% | <1% |
| Southern Illinois | 4 Southern Illinois Recent Games Lost Wed, Jan 21 @ Valparaiso 63-69 Won Wed, Jan 28 vs Northern Iowa 65-50 Lost Sat, Jan 31 vs UIC 66-68 Won Tue, Feb 03 @ Illinois St. 54-50 Fri, Feb 06 vs Murray State Mon, Feb 09 @ Indiana St. Thu, Feb 12 vs Evansville Sun, Feb 15 vs Bradley |
8 | 12 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 9% | 16% | 25% | 30% | 13% | 2% |
| Indiana St. | 3 Indiana St. Recent Games Lost Sat, Jan 24 vs Drake 62-76 Lost Tue, Jan 27 @ UIC 74-76 Lost Sat, Jan 31 vs Valparaiso 72-76 Won Tue, Feb 03 @ Evansville 84-63 Mon, Feb 09 vs Southern Illinois Thu, Feb 12 vs Murray State Sun, Feb 15 @ Valparaiso Wed, Feb 18 vs Northern Iowa |
10 | 13 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 14% | 76% | 5% |
| Evansville | 1 Evansville Recent Games Lost Tue, Jan 20 @ UIC 49-76 Lost Wed, Jan 28 @ Drake 78-82 Lost Sat, Jan 31 @ Northern Iowa 55-71 Lost Tue, Feb 03 vs Indiana St. 63-84 Fri, Feb 06 @ Valparaiso Mon, Feb 09 vs Illinois St. Thu, Feb 12 @ Southern Illinois Wed, Feb 18 vs UIC |
11 | 12 | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 93% |
| Record | Probability | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Opponent | W | L | |
| Bye | 19% | ||
| (10)Indiana St. | 3 | 10 | 22% |
| (9)Southern Illinois | 4 | 8 | 22% |
| (11)Evansville | 1 | 11 | 16% |
| (7)Drake | 6 | 7 | 13% |
| (6)Northern Iowa | 6 | 6 | 7% |
| (5)Illinois St. | 7 | 5 | 1% |
| (4)UIC | 8 | 5 | 1% |
| (3)Bradley | 9 | 4 | <1% |
| (2)Murray State | 9 | 4 | <1% |
| (1)Belmont | 11 | 2 | <1% |
| Elimination | X | ||
| Week Wk | Opponent | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Murray State (17‑7) |
79‑85 | Home | Sun Dec 21, 2:00 pm |
| 9 | Northern Iowa (14‑9) |
48‑58 | Away | Mon Dec 29, 8:00 pm |
| 9 | Southern Illinois (10‑13) |
70‑75 | Away | Thu Jan 1, 8:00 pm |
| 9 | UIC (13‑11) |
66‑59 | Home | Sun Jan 4, 2:00 pm |
| 10 | Illinois St. (15‑8) |
77‑71 | Home | Wed Jan 7, 8:00 pm |
| 10 | Murray State (17‑7) |
79‑92 | Away | Sat Jan 10, 3:00 pm |
| 11 | Belmont (21‑3) |
74‑78 | Away | Tue Jan 13, 7:30 pm |
| 11 | Northern Iowa (14‑9) |
54‑44 | Home | Sat Jan 17, 3:00 pm |
| 12 | Southern Illinois (10‑13) |
69‑63 | Home | Wed Jan 21, 8:00 pm |
| 13 | Belmont (21‑3) |
77‑78 | Home | Wed Jan 28, 8:00 pm |
| 13 | Indiana St. (10‑14) |
76‑72 (OT) | Away | Sat Jan 31, 1:00 pm |
| 14 | Bradley (16‑8) |
65‑72 | Away | Tue Feb 3, 8:00 pm |
| 14 | Evansville (5‑18) |
Home | Fri Feb 6, 8:00 pm | |
| 15 | Drake (12‑12) |
Away | Mon Feb 9, 7:30 pm | |
| 15 | Illinois St. (15‑8) |
Away | Thu Feb 12, 7:00 pm | |
| 15 | Indiana St. (10‑14) |
Home | Sun Feb 15, 2:00 pm | |
| 16 | Bradley (16‑8) |
Home | Wed Feb 18, 8:00 pm | |
| 16 | UIC (13‑11) |
Away | Sat Feb 21, 3:00 pm | |
| 17 | Drake (12‑12) |
Home | Wed Feb 25, 8:00 pm | |
| 17 | Evansville (5‑18) |
Away | Sat Feb 28, 4:00 pm |
| Week Wk | Opponent | Conference | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Eastern Illinois (9‑14) |
Ohio ValleyOhio Valley | 66‑63 | Home | Tue Nov 4 |
| 1 | Kentucky (15‑7) |
SECSEC | 59‑107 | Away | Fri Nov 7 |
| 2 | Nicholls St. (10‑13) |
SouthlandSouth-land | 68‑63 | Home | Wed Nov 12 |
| 2 | Bryant (7‑15) |
America EastAmerica East | 68‑50 | Home | Sun Nov 16, 1:00 pm |
| 3 | Cleveland St. (9‑14) |
HorizonHorizon | 90‑75 | Away | Wed Nov 19, 7:00 pm |
| 4 | Southern Indiana (5‑17) |
Ohio ValleyOhio Valley | 56‑64 | Home | Wed Nov 26, 3:00 pm |
| 4 | Western Michigan (8‑14) |
MACMAC | 84‑55 | Home | Sat Nov 29, 3:00 pm |
| 5 | Marquette (8‑15) |
Big EastBig East | 72‑75 (OT) | Away | Tue Dec 2, 8:00 pm |
| 5 | Calumet | ‑‑ | 98‑58 | Home | Sat Dec 6, 3:00 pm |
| 6 | UNC Wilmington (19‑3) |
CoastalCoastal | 70‑73 | Home | Sat Dec 13, 3:00 pm |
| 7 | NorthwesternN. Western (10‑12) |
Big 10Big 10 | 70‑86 | Away | Tue Dec 16, 8:00 pm |