The Most Important Games for the Blue Jays are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Blue Jays final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Blue Jays fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Blue Jays Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Blue Jays (46‑53) vs Rays (56‑42) 4 Games Remaining |
14 | Blue Jays Sweeps 4 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 6% | 8% | 82% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 90% | ||
| Rays Sweeps 4 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 3% | 95% | ||
| Reds (45‑53) vs Mariners (50‑50) 3 Games Remaining |
2 | Reds Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 89% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 90% | ||
| Mariners Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 91% | ||
| Orioles (49‑51) vs Red Sox (50‑48) 3 Games Remaining |
2 | Orioles Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 5% | 89% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 90% | ||
| Red Sox Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 91% | ||
| Pirates (52‑48) vs Yankees (55‑44) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Pirates Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 89% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 90% | ||
| Yankees Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 90% | ||
| Angels (39‑61) vs Cardinals (51‑47) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Angels Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 5% | 90% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 90% | ||
| Cardinals Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 90% | ||
| Marlins (52‑48) vs Astros (47‑54) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Marlins Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 90% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 90% | ||
| Astros Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 90% | ||
| Twins (49‑51) vs Guardians (52‑48) 4 Games Remaining |
1 | Twins Sweeps 4 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 90% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 90% | ||
| Guardians Sweeps 4 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 90% | ||
| Rangers (50‑49) vs White Sox (52‑46) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Rangers Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 5% | 90% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 90% | ||
| White Sox Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 90% | ||
| Athletics (42‑57) vs DiamondbacksD. Backs (51‑48) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Athletics Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 90% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 90% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 90% | ||
| Cubs (56‑43) vs Tigers (46‑53) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Cubs Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 90% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 90% | ||
| Tigers Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 90% | ||
| Royals (40‑60) vs Giants (42‑57) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Royals Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 90% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 90% | ||
| Giants Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 90% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Blue Jays Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Blue Jays (46‑53) vs Rays (56‑42) |
4 | Blue Jays Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 6% | 88% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 90% | ||
| Rays Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 92% | ||
| Pirates (52‑48) vs Yankees (55‑44) |
1 | Pirates Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 89% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 90% | ||
| Yankees Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 90% | ||
| Orioles (49‑51) vs Red Sox (50‑48) |
1 | Orioles Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 6% | 90% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 90% | ||
| Red Sox Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 90% | ||
| Cubs (56‑43) vs Tigers (46‑53) |
1 | Cubs Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 90% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 90% | ||
| Tigers Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 90% | ||
| Giants (42‑57) vs Royals (40‑60) |
1 | Giants Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 90% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 90% | ||
| Royals Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 90% | ||
| Twins (49‑51) vs Guardians (52‑48) |
1 | Twins Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 90% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 90% | ||
| Guardians Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 90% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs (51‑48) vs Athletics (42‑57) |
0 | DiamondbacksD. Backs Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 90% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 90% | ||
| Athletics Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 5% | 90% | ||
| Cardinals (51‑47) vs Angels (39‑61) |
0 | Cardinals Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 90% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 90% | ||
| Angels Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 90% | ||
| Mariners (50‑50) vs Reds (45‑53) |
0 | Mariners Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 90% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 90% | ||
| Reds Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 90% | ||
| White Sox (52‑46) vs Rangers (50‑49) |
0 | White Sox Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 90% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 90% | ||
| Rangers Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 90% | ||
| Marlins (52‑48) vs Astros (47‑54) |
0 | Marlins Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 5% | 90% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 90% | ||
| Astros Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 90% | ||