The Most Important Games for the Mariners are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Mariners final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Mariners fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Mariners Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Mariners (50‑50) vs Reds (45‑53) 3 Games Remaining |
41 | Mariners Sweeps 3 Games | 2% | 10% | 32% | 2% | 5% | 8% | 43% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 8% | 28% | 1% | 4% | 7% | 51% | ||
| Reds Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 4% | 24% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 63% | ||
| White Sox (52‑46) vs Rangers (50‑49) 3 Games Remaining |
20 | White Sox Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 7% | 35% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 49% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 8% | 28% | 1% | 4% | 7% | 51% | ||
| Rangers Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 8% | 22% | 2% | 5% | 8% | 54% | ||
| Marlins (52‑48) vs Astros (47‑54) 3 Games Remaining |
6 | Marlins Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 7% | 29% | 1% | 4% | 7% | 50% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 8% | 28% | 1% | 4% | 7% | 51% | ||
| Astros Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 7% | 27% | 1% | 4% | 7% | 53% | ||
| Rays (56‑42) vs Blue Jays (46‑53) 4 Games Remaining |
5 | Rays Sweeps 4 Games | 1% | 7% | 29% | 1% | 4% | 7% | 50% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 8% | 28% | 1% | 4% | 7% | 51% | ||
| Blue Jays Sweeps 4 Games | 2% | 7% | 27% | 1% | 4% | 6% | 53% | ||
| Pirates (52‑48) vs Yankees (55‑44) 3 Games Remaining |
2 | Pirates Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 7% | 28% | 1% | 4% | 7% | 50% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 8% | 28% | 1% | 4% | 7% | 51% | ||
| Yankees Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 7% | 28% | 1% | 4% | 7% | 52% | ||
| Cubs (56‑43) vs Tigers (46‑53) 3 Games Remaining |
2 | Cubs Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 8% | 28% | 1% | 4% | 7% | 51% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 8% | 28% | 1% | 4% | 7% | 51% | ||
| Tigers Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 7% | 29% | 1% | 4% | 6% | 52% | ||
| Orioles (49‑51) vs Red Sox (50‑48) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Orioles Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 7% | 29% | 1% | 4% | 6% | 51% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 8% | 28% | 1% | 4% | 7% | 51% | ||
| Red Sox Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 8% | 28% | 1% | 4% | 7% | 52% | ||
| Guardians (52‑48) vs Twins (49‑51) 4 Games Remaining |
1 | Guardians Sweeps 4 Games | 1% | 6% | 30% | 1% | 4% | 7% | 51% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 8% | 28% | 1% | 4% | 7% | 51% | ||
| Twins Sweeps 4 Games | 1% | 9% | 27% | 1% | 4% | 6% | 52% | ||
| Royals (40‑60) vs Giants (42‑57) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Royals Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 8% | 28% | 1% | 4% | 7% | 51% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 8% | 28% | 1% | 4% | 7% | 51% | ||
| Giants Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 7% | 28% | 1% | 4% | 7% | 51% | ||
| Angels (39‑61) vs Cardinals (51‑47) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Angels Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 7% | 28% | 1% | 4% | 7% | 51% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 8% | 28% | 1% | 4% | 7% | 51% | ||
| Cardinals Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 7% | 28% | 1% | 4% | 7% | 52% | ||
| Athletics (42‑57) vs DiamondbacksD. Backs (51‑48) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Athletics Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 8% | 29% | 1% | 4% | 6% | 51% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 8% | 28% | 1% | 4% | 7% | 51% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 7% | 29% | 1% | 4% | 7% | 51% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Mariners Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Mariners (50‑50) vs Reds (45‑53) |
17 | Mariners Wins | 1% | 9% | 30% | 1% | 4% | 7% | 48% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 8% | 28% | 1% | 4% | 7% | 51% | ||
| Reds Wins | 1% | 6% | 26% | 1% | 3% | 7% | 55% | ||
| White Sox (52‑46) vs Rangers (50‑49) |
5 | White Sox Wins | 1% | 7% | 30% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 51% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 8% | 28% | 1% | 4% | 7% | 51% | ||
| Rangers Wins | 1% | 8% | 26% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 51% | ||
| Rays (56‑42) vs Blue Jays (46‑53) |
4 | Rays Wins | 1% | 7% | 29% | 1% | 4% | 7% | 51% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 8% | 28% | 1% | 4% | 7% | 51% | ||
| Blue Jays Wins | 1% | 7% | 28% | 1% | 4% | 6% | 53% | ||
| Marlins (52‑48) vs Astros (47‑54) |
3 | Marlins Wins | 1% | 8% | 29% | 1% | 3% | 7% | 50% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 8% | 28% | 1% | 4% | 7% | 51% | ||
| Astros Wins | 1% | 7% | 28% | 1% | 4% | 7% | 52% | ||
| Red Sox (50‑48) vs Orioles (49‑51) |
1 | Red Sox Wins | 1% | 8% | 28% | 1% | 4% | 6% | 51% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 8% | 28% | 1% | 4% | 7% | 51% | ||
| Orioles Wins | 1% | 7% | 28% | 1% | 4% | 6% | 52% | ||
| Cubs (56‑43) vs Tigers (46‑53) |
1 | Cubs Wins | 2% | 8% | 28% | 1% | 4% | 7% | 51% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 8% | 28% | 1% | 4% | 7% | 51% | ||
| Tigers Wins | 1% | 7% | 28% | 1% | 4% | 6% | 52% | ||
| Pirates (52‑48) vs Yankees (55‑44) |
1 | Pirates Wins | 1% | 7% | 28% | 1% | 4% | 7% | 51% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 8% | 28% | 1% | 4% | 7% | 51% | ||
| Yankees Wins | 1% | 7% | 28% | 1% | 4% | 7% | 52% | ||
| Twins (49‑51) vs Guardians (52‑48) |
1 | Twins Wins | 1% | 8% | 27% | 1% | 4% | 7% | 52% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 8% | 28% | 1% | 4% | 7% | 51% | ||
| Guardians Wins | 1% | 7% | 28% | 1% | 4% | 6% | 52% | ||
| Angels (39‑61) vs Cardinals (51‑47) |
1 | Angels Wins | 1% | 7% | 29% | 1% | 4% | 7% | 51% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 8% | 28% | 1% | 4% | 7% | 51% | ||
| Cardinals Wins | 1% | 8% | 28% | 1% | 4% | 7% | 52% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs (51‑48) vs Athletics (42‑57) |
0 | DiamondbacksD. Backs Wins | 1% | 7% | 28% | 1% | 4% | 7% | 51% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 8% | 28% | 1% | 4% | 7% | 51% | ||
| Athletics Wins | 1% | 7% | 29% | 1% | 4% | 6% | 52% | ||
| Giants (42‑57) vs Royals (40‑60) |
0 | Giants Wins | 1% | 8% | 28% | 1% | 4% | 6% | 52% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 8% | 28% | 1% | 4% | 7% | 51% | ||
| Royals Wins | 1% | 7% | 28% | 1% | 5% | 7% | 52% | ||