The Most Important Games for the Mariners are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Mariners final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Mariners fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Mariners Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Mariners (73‑65) vs Rays (68‑69) 2 Games Remaining |
47 | Mariners Sweeps 2 Games | 1% | 6% | 32% | 3% | 13% | 29% | 16% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 4% | 25% | 2% | 11% | 31% | 27% | ||
| Rays Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | 2% | 19% | 1% | 8% | 32% | 38% | ||
| Yankees (76‑61) vs Astros (76‑62) 3 Games Remaining |
30 | Yankees Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 4% | 37% | <1% | 5% | 28% | 26% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 4% | 25% | 2% | 11% | 31% | 27% | ||
| Astros Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 3% | 16% | 4% | 16% | 33% | 28% | ||
| Angels (64‑73) vs Royals (70‑67) 3 Games Remaining |
10 | Angels Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 3% | 27% | 2% | 11% | 35% | 22% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 4% | 25% | 2% | 11% | 31% | 27% | ||
| Royals Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 3% | 26% | 2% | 10% | 27% | 31% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs (68‑71) vs Rangers (72‑67) 2 Games Remaining |
9 | DiamondbacksD. Backs Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | 4% | 26% | 2% | 11% | 32% | 24% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 4% | 25% | 2% | 11% | 31% | 27% | ||
| Rangers Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | 4% | 24% | 2% | 10% | 29% | 30% | ||
| Guardians (68‑68) vs Red Sox (77‑62) 2 Games Remaining |
2 | Guardians Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | 4% | 25% | 3% | 13% | 27% | 27% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 4% | 25% | 2% | 11% | 31% | 27% | ||
| Red Sox Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | 3% | 25% | 1% | 9% | 34% | 28% | ||
| Blue Jays (79‑59) vs Reds (70‑68) 2 Games Remaining |
1 | Blue Jays Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | 4% | 26% | 2% | 10% | 32% | 27% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 4% | 25% | 2% | 11% | 31% | 27% | ||
| Reds Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | 4% | 25% | 2% | 10% | 31% | 27% | ||
| Tigers (80‑59) vs Mets (74‑64) 2 Games Remaining |
1 | Tigers Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | 3% | 27% | 2% | 10% | 31% | 26% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 4% | 25% | 2% | 11% | 31% | 27% | ||
| Mets Sweeps 2 Games | 1% | 6% | 24% | 2% | 11% | 31% | 27% | ||
| Twins (62‑75) vs White Sox (50‑88) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Twins Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 3% | 26% | 2% | 11% | 32% | 26% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 4% | 25% | 2% | 11% | 31% | 27% | ||
| White Sox Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 3% | 26% | 2% | 10% | 31% | 27% | ||
| Cardinals (68‑71) vs Athletics (64‑75) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Cardinals Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | 3% | 26% | 2% | 11% | 30% | 27% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 4% | 25% | 2% | 11% | 31% | 27% | ||
| Athletics Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | 3% | 26% | 2% | 10% | 31% | 27% | ||
| Orioles (62‑76) vs Padres (76‑62) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Orioles Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | 3% | 26% | 2% | 10% | 31% | 27% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 4% | 25% | 2% | 11% | 31% | 27% | ||
| Padres Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | 4% | 26% | 2% | 11% | 31% | 27% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Mariners Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Mariners (73‑65) vs Rays (68‑69) |
21 | Mariners Wins | 1% | 5% | 29% | 2% | 11% | 30% | 22% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 4% | 25% | 2% | 11% | 31% | 27% | ||
| Rays Wins | <1% | 3% | 23% | 2% | 9% | 32% | 31% | ||
| Yankees (76‑61) vs Astros (76‑62) |
10 | Yankees Wins | <1% | 4% | 30% | 1% | 9% | 30% | 26% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 4% | 25% | 2% | 11% | 31% | 27% | ||
| Astros Wins | <1% | 3% | 23% | 3% | 12% | 32% | 27% | ||
| Mets (74‑64) vs Tigers (80‑59) |
3 | Mets Wins | <1% | 4% | 25% | 2% | 11% | 31% | 26% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 4% | 25% | 2% | 11% | 31% | 27% | ||
| Tigers Wins | <1% | 3% | 26% | 2% | 11% | 30% | 28% | ||
| Angels (64‑73) vs Royals (70‑67) |
3 | Angels Wins | <1% | 3% | 26% | 2% | 11% | 33% | 24% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 4% | 25% | 2% | 11% | 31% | 27% | ||
| Royals Wins | <1% | 4% | 26% | 2% | 10% | 31% | 28% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs (68‑71) vs Rangers (72‑67) |
2 | DiamondbacksD. Backs Wins | <1% | 3% | 26% | 2% | 10% | 32% | 26% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 4% | 25% | 2% | 11% | 31% | 27% | ||
| Rangers Wins | <1% | 4% | 26% | 2% | 10% | 30% | 28% | ||
| Reds (70‑68) vs Blue Jays (79‑59) |
1 | Reds Wins | <1% | 4% | 26% | 2% | 10% | 31% | 26% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 4% | 25% | 2% | 11% | 31% | 27% | ||
| Blue Jays Wins | <1% | 3% | 26% | 2% | 10% | 32% | 26% | ||
| Cardinals (68‑71) vs Athletics (64‑75) |
1 | Cardinals Wins | <1% | 4% | 26% | 2% | 11% | 31% | 27% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 4% | 25% | 2% | 11% | 31% | 27% | ||
| Athletics Wins | <1% | 3% | 25% | 2% | 11% | 31% | 27% | ||
| White Sox (50‑88) vs Twins (62‑75) |
1 | White Sox Wins | <1% | 3% | 26% | 2% | 10% | 31% | 26% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 4% | 25% | 2% | 11% | 31% | 27% | ||
| Twins Wins | <1% | 4% | 26% | 2% | 10% | 31% | 26% | ||
| Red Sox (77‑62) vs Guardians (68‑68) |
0 | Red Sox Wins | <1% | 4% | 26% | 2% | 9% | 32% | 27% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 4% | 25% | 2% | 11% | 31% | 27% | ||
| Guardians Wins | <1% | 4% | 26% | 2% | 12% | 29% | 27% | ||
| Padres (76‑62) vs Orioles (62‑76) |
0 | Padres Wins | <1% | 3% | 26% | 2% | 11% | 30% | 27% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 4% | 25% | 2% | 11% | 31% | 27% | ||
| Orioles Wins | <1% | 4% | 26% | 2% | 10% | 31% | 27% | ||