The Most Important Games for the Nationals are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Nationals final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Nationals fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Nationals Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Nationals (4‑8) vs Brewers (8‑4) 3 Games Remaining |
7 | Nationals Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 72% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 5% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 74% | ||
| Brewers Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 3% | 5% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 77% | ||
| Guardians (8‑5) vs Braves (8‑5) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Guardians Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 3% | 5% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 74% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 5% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 74% | ||
| Braves Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 3% | 5% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 74% | ||
| Marlins (7‑5) vs Reds (8‑4) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | Marlins Sweeps 1 Game | 1% | 3% | 5% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 75% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 5% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 74% | ||
| Reds Sweeps 1 Game | 1% | 3% | 5% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 75% | ||
| Rangers (7‑5) vs Dodgers (9‑3) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Rangers Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 3% | 5% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 74% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 5% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 74% | ||
| Dodgers Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 3% | 5% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 75% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs (6‑6) vs Mets (7‑5) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | DiamondbacksD. Backs Sweeps 1 Game | 1% | 3% | 5% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 74% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 5% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 74% | ||
| Mets Sweeps 1 Game | 1% | 3% | 5% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 75% | ||
| Cubs (6‑6) vs Pirates (7‑5) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Cubs Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 3% | 5% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 74% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 5% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 74% | ||
| Pirates Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 3% | 5% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 75% | ||
| Padres (6‑6) vs Rockies (6‑6) 4 Games Remaining |
0 | Padres Sweeps 4 Games | 1% | 3% | 5% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 74% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 5% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 74% | ||
| Rockies Sweeps 4 Games | 1% | 3% | 5% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 74% | ||
| Red Sox (4‑8) vs Cardinals (7‑5) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Red Sox Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 3% | 5% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 75% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 5% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 74% | ||
| Cardinals Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 3% | 5% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 75% | ||
| Giants (5‑8) vs Orioles (6‑6) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Giants Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 3% | 5% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 74% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 5% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 74% | ||
| Orioles Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 3% | 5% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 75% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Nationals Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Nationals (4‑8) vs Brewers (8‑4) |
3 | Nationals Wins | 1% | 3% | 6% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 73% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 5% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 74% | ||
| Brewers Wins | 1% | 3% | 5% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 75% | ||
| Marlins (7‑5) vs Reds (8‑4) |
1 | Marlins Wins | 1% | 3% | 5% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 75% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 5% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 74% | ||
| Reds Wins | 1% | 3% | 5% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 75% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs (6‑6) vs Mets (7‑5) |
1 | DiamondbacksD. Backs Wins | 1% | 3% | 5% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 74% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 5% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 74% | ||
| Mets Wins | 1% | 3% | 5% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 75% | ||
| Orioles (6‑6) vs Giants (5‑8) |
1 | Orioles Wins | 1% | 3% | 5% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 74% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 5% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 74% | ||
| Giants Wins | 1% | 3% | 5% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 74% | ||
| Padres (6‑6) vs Rockies (6‑6) |
1 | Padres Wins | 1% | 3% | 5% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 75% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 5% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 74% | ||
| Rockies Wins | 1% | 3% | 5% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 75% | ||
| Dodgers (9‑3) vs Rangers (7‑5) |
1 | Dodgers Wins | 1% | 3% | 5% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 74% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 5% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 74% | ||
| Rangers Wins | 1% | 3% | 5% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 75% | ||
| Pirates (7‑5) vs Cubs (6‑6) |
1 | Pirates Wins | 1% | 3% | 5% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 74% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 5% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 74% | ||
| Cubs Wins | 1% | 3% | 5% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 74% | ||
| Cardinals (7‑5) vs Red Sox (4‑8) |
1 | Cardinals Wins | 1% | 3% | 5% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 74% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 5% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 74% | ||
| Red Sox Wins | 1% | 3% | 5% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 75% | ||
| Braves (8‑5) vs Guardians (8‑5) |
1 | Braves Wins | 1% | 3% | 5% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 74% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 5% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 74% | ||
| Guardians Wins | 1% | 3% | 5% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 75% | ||