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Mon Jul 20 8:45 am

MLB - Week 18 of 27

Phillies Most Important Games

The Most Important Games for the Phillies are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Phillies final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Phillies fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.

Phillies Most Important Series
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)		 Remaining
Games Winner		 Phillies Resultant Playoff Probabilities
Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Phillies
(55‑45)
vs
Dodgers
(63‑37)
3 Games Remaining		 40 Phillies Sweeps 3 Games 2% 7% 20% 14% 18% 14% 26%
Current Probabilities 1% 4% 17% 11% 16% 15% 36%
Dodgers Sweeps 3 Games <1% 1% 14% 8% 15% 15% 47%
Padres
(49‑50)
vs
Braves
(57‑41)
4 Games Remaining		 16 Padres Sweeps 4 Games 1% 5% 24% 8% 13% 12% 37%
Current Probabilities 1% 4% 17% 11% 16% 15% 36%
Braves Sweeps 4 Games <1% 3% 13% 14% 18% 14% 37%
Astros
(47‑54)
vs
Marlins
(52‑48)
3 Games Remaining		 4 Astros Sweeps 3 Games 1% 4% 18% 12% 16% 15% 35%
Current Probabilities 1% 4% 17% 11% 16% 15% 36%
Marlins Sweeps 3 Games 1% 4% 16% 11% 16% 15% 38%
Athletics
(42‑57)
vs
DiamondbacksD. Backs
(51‑48)
3 Games Remaining		 4 Athletics Sweeps 3 Games 1% 4% 18% 12% 17% 14% 34%
Current Probabilities 1% 4% 17% 11% 16% 15% 36%
DiamondbacksD. Backs Sweeps 3 Games 1% 4% 17% 12% 16% 14% 37%
Rockies
(40‑61)
vs
Nationals
(50‑50)
3 Games Remaining		 4 Rockies Sweeps 3 Games 1% 4% 17% 12% 17% 15% 35%
Current Probabilities 1% 4% 17% 11% 16% 15% 36%
Nationals Sweeps 3 Games 1% 4% 17% 11% 15% 14% 38%
Tigers
(46‑53)
vs
Cubs
(56‑43)
3 Games Remaining		 3 Tigers Sweeps 3 Games 1% 4% 17% 14% 16% 14% 35%
Current Probabilities 1% 4% 17% 11% 16% 15% 36%
Cubs Sweeps 3 Games 1% 4% 17% 10% 16% 15% 38%
Yankees
(55‑44)
vs
Pirates
(52‑48)
3 Games Remaining		 3 Yankees Sweeps 3 Games 1% 3% 17% 12% 17% 15% 35%
Current Probabilities 1% 4% 17% 11% 16% 15% 36%
Pirates Sweeps 3 Games 1% 4% 18% 10% 15% 14% 38%
Angels
(39‑61)
vs
Cardinals
(51‑47)
3 Games Remaining		 2 Angels Sweeps 3 Games 1% 3% 17% 12% 17% 14% 35%
Current Probabilities 1% 4% 17% 11% 16% 15% 36%
Cardinals Sweeps 3 Games 1% 4% 17% 11% 15% 14% 38%
Royals
(40‑60)
vs
Giants
(42‑57)
3 Games Remaining		 1 Royals Sweeps 3 Games 1% 4% 17% 11% 16% 15% 37%
Current Probabilities 1% 4% 17% 11% 16% 15% 36%
Giants Sweeps 3 Games 1% 4% 17% 11% 16% 15% 37%
Mets
(42‑58)
vs
Brewers
(62‑37)
3 Games Remaining		 0 Mets Sweeps 3 Games 1% 4% 16% 12% 16% 14% 36%
Current Probabilities 1% 4% 17% 11% 16% 15% 36%
Brewers Sweeps 3 Games 1% 4% 17% 11% 16% 15% 37%
Mariners
(50‑50)
vs
Reds
(45‑53)
3 Games Remaining		 0 Mariners Sweeps 3 Games 1% 4% 16% 11% 16% 15% 36%
Current Probabilities 1% 4% 17% 11% 16% 15% 36%
Reds Sweeps 3 Games 1% 4% 17% 11% 16% 14% 37%


Phillies Most Important Games
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)		 Game
Winner		 Phillies Resultant Playoff Probabilities
Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Phillies
(55‑45)
vs
Dodgers
(63‑37)		 12 Phillies Wins 1% 5% 18% 13% 16% 14% 33%
Current Probabilities 1% 4% 17% 11% 16% 15% 36%
Dodgers Wins <1% 3% 17% 10% 16% 15% 39%
Royals
(40‑60)
vs
Giants
(42‑57)		 2 Royals Wins 1% 4% 17% 11% 17% 15% 35%
Current Probabilities 1% 4% 17% 11% 16% 15% 36%
Giants Wins 1% 4% 17% 12% 16% 14% 37%
Brewers
(62‑37)
vs
Mets
(42‑58)		 2 Brewers Wins 1% 4% 18% 11% 16% 14% 36%
Current Probabilities 1% 4% 17% 11% 16% 15% 36%
Mets Wins 1% 4% 16% 12% 17% 14% 37%
Padres
(49‑50)
vs
Braves
(57‑41)		 2 Padres Wins 1% 4% 18% 10% 15% 14% 37%
Current Probabilities 1% 4% 17% 11% 16% 15% 36%
Braves Wins 1% 4% 16% 12% 17% 14% 37%
Rockies
(40‑61)
vs
Nationals
(50‑50)		 2 Rockies Wins 1% 4% 17% 12% 17% 15% 36%
Current Probabilities 1% 4% 17% 11% 16% 15% 36%
Nationals Wins 1% 4% 17% 11% 17% 15% 37%
Athletics
(42‑57)
vs
DiamondbacksD. Backs
(51‑48)		 1 Athletics Wins 1% 4% 17% 12% 16% 15% 36%
Current Probabilities 1% 4% 17% 11% 16% 15% 36%
DiamondbacksD. Backs Wins 1% 4% 17% 11% 16% 14% 37%
Angels
(39‑61)
vs
Cardinals
(51‑47)		 1 Angels Wins 1% 3% 17% 12% 16% 14% 36%
Current Probabilities 1% 4% 17% 11% 16% 15% 36%
Cardinals Wins 1% 4% 16% 12% 16% 15% 37%
Pirates
(52‑48)
vs
Yankees
(55‑44)		 1 Pirates Wins <1% 4% 18% 11% 16% 14% 37%
Current Probabilities 1% 4% 17% 11% 16% 15% 36%
Yankees Wins 1% 4% 17% 12% 16% 14% 37%
Reds
(45‑53)
vs
Mariners
(50‑50)		 1 Reds Wins 1% 4% 17% 12% 16% 14% 37%
Current Probabilities 1% 4% 17% 11% 16% 15% 36%
Mariners Wins 1% 4% 17% 11% 17% 14% 37%
Tigers
(46‑53)
vs
Cubs
(56‑43)		 1 Tigers Wins 1% 4% 16% 13% 16% 15% 35%
Current Probabilities 1% 4% 17% 11% 16% 15% 36%
Cubs Wins 1% 4% 16% 11% 17% 15% 36%
Astros
(47‑54)
vs
Marlins
(52‑48)		 0 Astros Wins 1% 4% 17% 11% 16% 14% 37%
Current Probabilities 1% 4% 17% 11% 16% 15% 36%
Marlins Wins 1% 3% 17% 11% 16% 15% 37%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs