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Mon Jul 20 8:45 am

MLB - Week 18 of 27

Phillies What If?

The Phillies What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Phillies play future games. These games include either the next game, games of the current series, or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Phillies What If?

Next Game - Dodgers (63‑37)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Win Next Game 56 45 1% 5% 18% 13% 16% 14% 33%
Current Standings 55 45 1% 4% 17% 11% 16% 15% 36%
Lose Next Game 55 46 <1% 3% 17% 10% 16% 15% 39%


Current Series - Dodgers (63‑37) - 3 Remaining Games

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Phillies Sweeps 58 45 2% 7% 20% 14% 18% 14% 26%
Current Standings 55 45 1% 4% 17% 11% 16% 15% 36%
Dodgers Sweeps 55 48 <1% 1% 14% 8% 15% 15% 47%


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
62 of 62 100% 117 45 >99% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
60 of 62 97% 115 47 >99% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
52 of 62 84% 107 55 92% 8% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
51 of 62 82% 106 56 88% 12% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
50 of 62 81% 105 57 81% 18% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
49 of 62 79% 104 58 71% 26% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1%
48 of 62 77% 103 59 62% 34% 4% <1% <1% <1% <1%
47 of 62 76% 102 60 50% 42% 7% 1% <1% <1% <1%
46 of 62 74% 101 61 39% 48% 11% 2% <1% <1% <1%
45 of 62 73% 100 62 29% 50% 18% 3% <1% <1% <1%
44 of 62 71% 99 63 21% 48% 26% 5% <1% <1% <1%
43 of 62 69% 98 64 12% 46% 33% 8% <1% <1% <1%
42 of 62 68% 97 65 8% 38% 42% 12% 1% <1% <1%
41 of 62 66% 96 66 4% 32% 47% 16% 2% <1% <1%
40 of 62 65% 95 67 2% 21% 52% 22% 3% <1% <1%
39 of 62 63% 94 68 <1% 13% 53% 26% 7% <1% <1%
38 of 62 61% 93 69 <1% 7% 51% 30% 12% 1% <1%
37 of 62 60% 92 70 <1% 3% 44% 31% 19% 2% <1%
36 of 62 58% 91 71 <1% 2% 36% 29% 28% 5% <1%
35 of 62 56% 90 72 <1% 1% 28% 25% 36% 10% 1%
34 of 62 55% 89 73 <1% <1% 19% 17% 40% 20% 4%
33 of 62 53% 88 74 <1% <1% 12% 11% 38% 29% 10%
32 of 62 52% 87 75 <1% <1% 8% 5% 29% 35% 23%
31 of 62 50% 86 76 <1% <1% 4% 2% 18% 37% 40%
30 of 62 48% 85 77 <1% <1% 2% 1% 10% 29% 58%
29 of 62 47% 84 78 <1% <1% 1% <1% 4% 19% 76%
28 of 62 45% 83 79 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 9% 89%
20 of 62 32% 75 87 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
10 of 62 16% 65 97 X X <1% X <1% <1% >99%
0 of 62 0% 55 107 X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs