The Most Important Games for the Reds are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Reds final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Reds fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Reds Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Reds (9‑7) vs Giants (6‑10) 3 Games Remaining |
12 | Reds Sweeps 3 Games | 8% | 8% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 54% |
| Current Probabilities | 8% | 8% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 55% | ||
| Giants Sweeps 3 Games | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 59% | ||
| Mariners (8‑9) vs Padres (10‑6) 3 Games Remaining |
2 | Mariners Sweeps 3 Games | 8% | 8% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 55% |
| Current Probabilities | 8% | 8% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 55% | ||
| Padres Sweeps 3 Games | 8% | 8% | 6% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 55% | ||
| Guardians (10‑7) vs Cardinals (8‑8) 2 Games Remaining |
2 | Guardians Sweeps 2 Games | 8% | 8% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 8% | 55% |
| Current Probabilities | 8% | 8% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 55% | ||
| Cardinals Sweeps 2 Games | 8% | 8% | 6% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 56% | ||
| Rockies (6‑10) vs Astros (6‑11) 3 Games Remaining |
2 | Rockies Sweeps 3 Games | 8% | 8% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 55% |
| Current Probabilities | 8% | 8% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 55% | ||
| Astros Sweeps 3 Games | 8% | 8% | 6% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 56% | ||
| Dodgers (12‑4) vs Mets (7‑10) 2 Games Remaining |
2 | Dodgers Sweeps 2 Games | 8% | 8% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 55% |
| Current Probabilities | 8% | 8% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 55% | ||
| Mets Sweeps 2 Games | 8% | 8% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 55% | ||
| Nationals (7‑9) vs Pirates (10‑6) 3 Games Remaining |
2 | Nationals Sweeps 3 Games | 8% | 9% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 55% |
| Current Probabilities | 8% | 8% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 55% | ||
| Pirates Sweeps 3 Games | 8% | 8% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 55% | ||
| Orioles (9‑7) vs DiamondbacksD. Backs (9‑8) 2 Games Remaining |
1 | Orioles Sweeps 2 Games | 8% | 8% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 55% |
| Current Probabilities | 8% | 8% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 55% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs Sweeps 2 Games | 8% | 8% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 55% | ||
| Braves (10‑7) vs Marlins (9‑8) 2 Games Remaining |
1 | Braves Sweeps 2 Games | 8% | 8% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 55% |
| Current Probabilities | 8% | 8% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 55% | ||
| Marlins Sweeps 2 Games | 7% | 8% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 56% | ||
| Blue Jays (6‑9) vs Brewers (8‑7) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Blue Jays Sweeps 3 Games | 7% | 8% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 55% |
| Current Probabilities | 8% | 8% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 55% | ||
| Brewers Sweeps 3 Games | 7% | 8% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 56% | ||
| Phillies (8‑8) vs Cubs (7‑9) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Phillies Sweeps 2 Games | 8% | 8% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 55% |
| Current Probabilities | 8% | 8% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 55% | ||
| Cubs Sweeps 2 Games | 8% | 8% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 55% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Reds Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Reds (9‑7) vs Giants (6‑10) |
3 | Reds Wins | 8% | 9% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 54% |
| Current Probabilities | 8% | 8% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 55% | ||
| Giants Wins | 8% | 8% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 56% | ||
| Brewers (8‑7) vs Blue Jays (6‑9) |
3 | Brewers Wins | 8% | 8% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 54% |
| Current Probabilities | 8% | 8% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 55% | ||
| Blue Jays Wins | 8% | 8% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 56% | ||
| Orioles (9‑7) vs DiamondbacksD. Backs (9‑8) |
2 | Orioles Wins | 8% | 8% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 55% |
| Current Probabilities | 8% | 8% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 55% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs Wins | 8% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 56% | ||
| Dodgers (12‑4) vs Mets (7‑10) |
2 | Dodgers Wins | 8% | 8% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 55% |
| Current Probabilities | 8% | 8% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 55% | ||
| Mets Wins | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 56% | ||
| Braves (10‑7) vs Marlins (9‑8) |
1 | Braves Wins | 8% | 8% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 55% |
| Current Probabilities | 8% | 8% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 55% | ||
| Marlins Wins | 8% | 8% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 55% | ||
| Cubs (7‑9) vs Phillies (8‑8) |
1 | Cubs Wins | 7% | 9% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 55% |
| Current Probabilities | 8% | 8% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 55% | ||
| Phillies Wins | 7% | 8% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 55% | ||
| Guardians (10‑7) vs Cardinals (8‑8) |
1 | Guardians Wins | 8% | 8% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 55% |
| Current Probabilities | 8% | 8% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 55% | ||
| Cardinals Wins | 8% | 8% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 56% | ||
| Pirates (10‑6) vs Nationals (7‑9) |
1 | Pirates Wins | 8% | 8% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 55% |
| Current Probabilities | 8% | 8% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 55% | ||
| Nationals Wins | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 56% | ||
| Padres (10‑6) vs Mariners (8‑9) |
0 | Padres Wins | 8% | 8% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 55% |
| Current Probabilities | 8% | 8% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 55% | ||
| Mariners Wins | 8% | 8% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 55% | ||
| Rockies (6‑10) vs Astros (6‑11) |
0 | Rockies Wins | 8% | 8% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 56% |
| Current Probabilities | 8% | 8% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 55% | ||
| Astros Wins | 8% | 8% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 56% | ||