The Most Important Games for the Reds are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Reds final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Reds fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Reds Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Reds (45‑53) vs Mariners (50‑50) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Reds Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% | ||
| Mariners Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Angels (39‑61) vs Cardinals (51‑47) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Angels Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% | ||
| Cardinals Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 99% | ||
| Giants (42‑57) vs Royals (40‑60) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Giants Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% | ||
| Royals Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 99% | ||
| Yankees (55‑44) vs Pirates (52‑48) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Yankees Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% | ||
| Pirates Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% | ||
| Tigers (46‑53) vs Cubs (56‑43) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Tigers Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% | ||
| Cubs Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 99% | ||
| Astros (47‑54) vs Marlins (52‑48) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Astros Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% | ||
| Marlins Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 99% | ||
| Braves (57‑41) vs Padres (49‑50) 4 Games Remaining |
0 | Braves Sweeps 4 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% | ||
| Padres Sweeps 4 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% | ||
| Dodgers (63‑37) vs Phillies (55‑45) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Dodgers Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% | ||
| Phillies Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% | ||
| Rockies (40‑61) vs Nationals (50‑50) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Rockies Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 99% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% | ||
| Nationals Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% | ||
| Athletics (42‑57) vs DiamondbacksD. Backs (51‑48) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Athletics Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% | ||
| Brewers (62‑37) vs Mets (42‑58) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Brewers Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% | ||
| Mets Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Reds Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Reds (45‑53) vs Mariners (50‑50) |
0 | Reds Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% | ||
| Mariners Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 99% | ||
| Marlins (52‑48) vs Astros (47‑54) |
0 | Marlins Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% | ||
| Astros Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% | ||
| Brewers (62‑37) vs Mets (42‑58) |
0 | Brewers Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% | ||
| Mets Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 99% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs (51‑48) vs Athletics (42‑57) |
0 | DiamondbacksD. Backs Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% | ||
| Athletics Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% | ||
| Rockies (40‑61) vs Nationals (50‑50) |
0 | Rockies Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% | ||
| Nationals Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 99% | ||
| Tigers (46‑53) vs Cubs (56‑43) |
0 | Tigers Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 99% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% | ||
| Cubs Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 99% | ||
| Royals (40‑60) vs Giants (42‑57) |
0 | Royals Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% | ||
| Giants Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% | ||
| Angels (39‑61) vs Cardinals (51‑47) |
0 | Angels Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% | ||
| Cardinals Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% | ||
| Padres (49‑50) vs Braves (57‑41) |
0 | Padres Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% | ||
| Braves Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% | ||
| Yankees (55‑44) vs Pirates (52‑48) |
0 | Yankees Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% | ||
| Pirates Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% | ||
| Phillies (55‑45) vs Dodgers (63‑37) |
0 | Phillies Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% | ||
| Dodgers Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% | ||