The Most Important Games for the Red Sox are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Red Sox final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Red Sox fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Red Sox Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Red Sox (13‑19) vs Astros (12‑21) 2 Games Remaining |
7 | Red Sox Sweeps 2 Games | 1% | 2% | 1% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 76% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 1% | 1% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 78% | ||
| Astros Sweeps 2 Games | 1% | 1% | 1% | 4% | 7% | 6% | 81% | ||
| Twins (14‑19) vs Blue Jays (15‑17) 2 Games Remaining |
1 | Twins Sweeps 2 Games | 1% | 1% | 1% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 77% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 1% | 1% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 78% | ||
| Blue Jays Sweeps 2 Games | 1% | 2% | 1% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 78% | ||
| Giants (13‑19) vs Rays (19‑12) 2 Games Remaining |
1 | Giants Sweeps 2 Games | 1% | 1% | 1% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 77% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 1% | 1% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 78% | ||
| Rays Sweeps 2 Games | 1% | 1% | 1% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 78% | ||
| Angels (12‑21) vs Mets (11‑21) 2 Games Remaining |
1 | Angels Sweeps 2 Games | 1% | 1% | 1% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 77% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 1% | 1% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 78% | ||
| Mets Sweeps 2 Games | 1% | 1% | 1% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 78% | ||
| Orioles (15‑17) vs Yankees (21‑11) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Orioles Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 2% | 1% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 78% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 1% | 1% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 78% | ||
| Yankees Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 1% | 1% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 78% | ||
| Royals (13‑19) vs Mariners (16‑17) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Royals Sweeps 2 Games | 1% | 1% | 1% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 77% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 1% | 1% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 78% | ||
| Mariners Sweeps 2 Games | 1% | 1% | 1% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 77% | ||
| Tigers (16‑17) vs Rangers (16‑16) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Tigers Sweeps 2 Games | 1% | 1% | 1% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 77% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 1% | 1% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 78% | ||
| Rangers Sweeps 2 Games | 1% | 2% | 1% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 78% | ||
| White Sox (15‑17) vs Padres (19‑12) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | White Sox Sweeps 2 Games | 1% | 1% | 1% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 77% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 1% | 1% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 78% | ||
| Padres Sweeps 2 Games | 1% | 1% | 1% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 78% | ||
| Athletics (17‑15) vs Guardians (17‑16) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Athletics Sweeps 2 Games | 1% | 1% | 1% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 78% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 1% | 1% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 78% | ||
| Guardians Sweeps 2 Games | 1% | 1% | 1% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 78% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Red Sox Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Red Sox (13‑19) vs Astros (12‑21) |
2 | Red Sox Wins | 1% | 1% | 1% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 77% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 1% | 1% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 78% | ||
| Astros Wins | 1% | 1% | 1% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 79% | ||
| Rangers (16‑16) vs Tigers (16‑17) |
1 | Rangers Wins | 1% | 2% | 1% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 77% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 1% | 1% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 78% | ||
| Tigers Wins | 1% | 1% | 1% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 78% | ||
| Yankees (21‑11) vs Orioles (15‑17) |
1 | Yankees Wins | 1% | 1% | 1% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 78% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 1% | 1% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 78% | ||
| Orioles Wins | 1% | 1% | 1% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 78% | ||
| Rays (19‑12) vs Giants (13‑19) |
1 | Rays Wins | 1% | 1% | 1% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 77% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 1% | 1% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 78% | ||
| Giants Wins | 1% | 1% | 1% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 78% | ||
| White Sox (15‑17) vs Padres (19‑12) |
0 | White Sox Wins | 1% | 1% | 1% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 78% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 1% | 1% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 78% | ||
| Padres Wins | 1% | 1% | 1% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 78% | ||
| Guardians (17‑16) vs Athletics (17‑15) |
0 | Guardians Wins | 1% | 1% | 1% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 77% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 1% | 1% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 78% | ||
| Athletics Wins | 1% | 1% | 1% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 78% | ||
| Twins (14‑19) vs Blue Jays (15‑17) |
0 | Twins Wins | 1% | 1% | 1% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 77% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 1% | 1% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 78% | ||
| Blue Jays Wins | 1% | 1% | 1% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 77% | ||
| Royals (13‑19) vs Mariners (16‑17) |
0 | Royals Wins | 1% | 1% | 1% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 77% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 1% | 1% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 78% | ||
| Mariners Wins | 1% | 1% | 1% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 78% | ||
| Mets (11‑21) vs Angels (12‑21) |
0 | Mets Wins | 1% | 1% | 1% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 78% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 1% | 1% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 78% | ||
| Angels Wins | 1% | 1% | 1% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 78% | ||