The Most Important Games for the Red Sox are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Red Sox final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Red Sox fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Red Sox Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Red Sox (77‑62) vs Guardians (68‑68) 2 Games Remaining |
28 | Red Sox Sweeps 2 Games | 8% | 10% | 2% | 41% | 31% | 7% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 6% | 7% | 1% | 36% | 34% | 11% | 5% | ||
| Guardians Sweeps 2 Games | 2% | 4% | 1% | 30% | 37% | 16% | 10% | ||
| Reds (70‑68) vs Blue Jays (79‑59) 2 Games Remaining |
12 | Reds Sweeps 2 Games | 7% | 10% | 2% | 34% | 32% | 10% | 5% |
| Current Probabilities | 6% | 7% | 1% | 36% | 34% | 11% | 5% | ||
| Blue Jays Sweeps 2 Games | 4% | 5% | 1% | 38% | 36% | 11% | 5% | ||
| Astros (76‑62) vs Yankees (76‑61) 3 Games Remaining |
8 | Astros Sweeps 3 Games | 6% | 8% | 3% | 44% | 23% | 11% | 5% |
| Current Probabilities | 6% | 7% | 1% | 36% | 34% | 11% | 5% | ||
| Yankees Sweeps 3 Games | 5% | 6% | <1% | 28% | 48% | 10% | 3% | ||
| Angels (64‑73) vs Royals (70‑67) 3 Games Remaining |
2 | Angels Sweeps 3 Games | 5% | 7% | 1% | 37% | 34% | 11% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | 6% | 7% | 1% | 36% | 34% | 11% | 5% | ||
| Royals Sweeps 3 Games | 5% | 7% | 1% | 36% | 34% | 11% | 5% | ||
| Rays (68‑69) vs Mariners (73‑65) 2 Games Remaining |
2 | Rays Sweeps 2 Games | 6% | 8% | 1% | 37% | 35% | 9% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | 6% | 7% | 1% | 36% | 34% | 11% | 5% | ||
| Mariners Sweeps 2 Games | 6% | 7% | 2% | 35% | 32% | 13% | 5% | ||
| Athletics (64‑75) vs Cardinals (68‑71) 2 Games Remaining |
1 | Athletics Sweeps 2 Games | 6% | 7% | 1% | 37% | 33% | 11% | 5% |
| Current Probabilities | 6% | 7% | 1% | 36% | 34% | 11% | 5% | ||
| Cardinals Sweeps 2 Games | 5% | 8% | 1% | 37% | 33% | 11% | 5% | ||
| Twins (62‑75) vs White Sox (50‑88) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Twins Sweeps 3 Games | 6% | 8% | 1% | 36% | 34% | 11% | 5% |
| Current Probabilities | 6% | 7% | 1% | 36% | 34% | 11% | 5% | ||
| White Sox Sweeps 3 Games | 5% | 7% | 1% | 37% | 34% | 11% | 5% | ||
| Orioles (62‑76) vs Padres (76‑62) 2 Games Remaining |
1 | Orioles Sweeps 2 Games | 6% | 7% | 2% | 37% | 33% | 11% | 5% |
| Current Probabilities | 6% | 7% | 1% | 36% | 34% | 11% | 5% | ||
| Padres Sweeps 2 Games | 6% | 7% | 1% | 37% | 33% | 11% | 5% | ||
| Mets (74‑64) vs Tigers (80‑59) 2 Games Remaining |
1 | Mets Sweeps 2 Games | 7% | 6% | 1% | 36% | 34% | 11% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | 6% | 7% | 1% | 36% | 34% | 11% | 5% | ||
| Tigers Sweeps 2 Games | 5% | 9% | 2% | 36% | 34% | 11% | 5% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs (68‑71) vs Rangers (72‑67) 2 Games Remaining |
1 | DiamondbacksD. Backs Sweeps 2 Games | 5% | 7% | 1% | 36% | 35% | 11% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | 6% | 7% | 1% | 36% | 34% | 11% | 5% | ||
| Rangers Sweeps 2 Games | 6% | 8% | 2% | 35% | 33% | 11% | 6% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Red Sox Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Red Sox (77‑62) vs Guardians (68‑68) |
14 | Red Sox Wins | 7% | 8% | 1% | 39% | 33% | 9% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | 6% | 7% | 1% | 36% | 34% | 11% | 5% | ||
| Guardians Wins | 4% | 5% | 1% | 33% | 36% | 13% | 7% | ||
| Reds (70‑68) vs Blue Jays (79‑59) |
5 | Reds Wins | 6% | 9% | 2% | 34% | 33% | 11% | 5% |
| Current Probabilities | 6% | 7% | 1% | 36% | 34% | 11% | 5% | ||
| Blue Jays Wins | 5% | 6% | 1% | 38% | 34% | 11% | 5% | ||
| Astros (76‑62) vs Yankees (76‑61) |
4 | Astros Wins | 6% | 8% | 2% | 39% | 30% | 11% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | 6% | 7% | 1% | 36% | 34% | 11% | 5% | ||
| Yankees Wins | 6% | 7% | 1% | 33% | 38% | 10% | 5% | ||
| Rays (68‑69) vs Mariners (73‑65) |
2 | Rays Wins | 6% | 8% | 2% | 37% | 35% | 10% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | 6% | 7% | 1% | 36% | 34% | 11% | 5% | ||
| Mariners Wins | 5% | 7% | 1% | 36% | 33% | 12% | 5% | ||
| White Sox (50‑88) vs Twins (62‑75) |
1 | White Sox Wins | 6% | 7% | 1% | 37% | 33% | 11% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | 6% | 7% | 1% | 36% | 34% | 11% | 5% | ||
| Twins Wins | 6% | 7% | 1% | 37% | 34% | 11% | 5% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs (68‑71) vs Rangers (72‑67) |
1 | DiamondbacksD. Backs Wins | 6% | 7% | 1% | 36% | 35% | 10% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | 6% | 7% | 1% | 36% | 34% | 11% | 5% | ||
| Rangers Wins | 6% | 7% | 1% | 37% | 33% | 11% | 5% | ||
| Mets (74‑64) vs Tigers (80‑59) |
1 | Mets Wins | 6% | 7% | 1% | 36% | 34% | 11% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | 6% | 7% | 1% | 36% | 34% | 11% | 5% | ||
| Tigers Wins | 5% | 8% | 2% | 36% | 33% | 11% | 5% | ||
| Orioles (62‑76) vs Padres (76‑62) |
1 | Orioles Wins | 6% | 7% | 1% | 37% | 34% | 11% | 5% |
| Current Probabilities | 6% | 7% | 1% | 36% | 34% | 11% | 5% | ||
| Padres Wins | 6% | 7% | 1% | 36% | 34% | 11% | 5% | ||
| Angels (64‑73) vs Royals (70‑67) |
0 | Angels Wins | 6% | 8% | 2% | 35% | 34% | 11% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | 6% | 7% | 1% | 36% | 34% | 11% | 5% | ||
| Royals Wins | 6% | 8% | 2% | 36% | 33% | 11% | 5% | ||
| Athletics (64‑75) vs Cardinals (68‑71) |
0 | Athletics Wins | 6% | 8% | 1% | 36% | 34% | 11% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | 6% | 7% | 1% | 36% | 34% | 11% | 5% | ||
| Cardinals Wins | 6% | 7% | 1% | 36% | 34% | 11% | 5% | ||