The Most Important Games for the Red Bull are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Red Bull final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Red Bull fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Red Bull Resultant Playoff Probabilities | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |||
| Red Bull (10‑13‑6) vs Toronto FC (7‑10‑12) |
64 | Red Bull Wins | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 14% | 23% | 25% | 37% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 8% | 14% | 18% | 60% | ||
| Toronto FC Wins | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 6% | 11% | 81% | ||
| LAFC (12‑9‑9) vs NY City FC (8‑12‑9) |
12 | LAFC Wins | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 9% | 16% | 19% | 56% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 8% | 14% | 18% | 60% | ||
| NY City FC Wins | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 7% | 12% | 17% | 64% | ||
| Crew (9‑15‑5) vs FC Cincinnati (9‑10‑9) |
4 | Crew Wins | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 9% | 15% | 16% | 60% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 8% | 14% | 18% | 60% | ||
| FC Cincinnati Wins | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 7% | 13% | 20% | 60% | ||
| D.C. United (7‑9‑12) vs Orlando City SC (11‑13‑5) |
4 | D.C. United Wins | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 9% | 14% | 17% | 60% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 8% | 14% | 18% | 60% | ||
| Orlando City SC Wins | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 6% | 14% | 19% | 60% | ||
| Fire (14‑9‑6) vs Revolution (15‑10‑4) |
1 | Fire Wins | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 8% | 14% | 19% | 59% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 8% | 14% | 18% | 60% | ||
| Revolution Wins | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 8% | 14% | 18% | 60% | ||
| Inter Miami CF (14‑5‑10) vs Atlanta United (8‑15‑6) |
1 | Inter Miami CF Wins | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 8% | 14% | 18% | 59% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 8% | 14% | 18% | 60% | ||
| Atlanta United Wins | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 8% | 14% | 18% | 61% | ||
| CF Montréal (6‑17‑6) vs Sounders (11‑10‑8) |
1 | CF Montréal Wins | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 8% | 14% | 18% | 60% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 8% | 14% | 18% | 60% | ||
| Sounders Wins | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 8% | 14% | 18% | 61% | ||
| Union (13‑10‑6) vs Charlotte FC (13‑9‑7) |
1 | Union Wins | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 8% | 14% | 18% | 59% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 8% | 14% | 18% | 60% | ||
| Charlotte FC Wins | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 8% | 14% | 18% | 60% | ||
| EarthquakesEarthquaks (13‑8‑8) vs Nashville SC (20‑3‑6) |
0 | EarthquakesEarthquaks Wins | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 8% | 14% | 18% | 60% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 8% | 14% | 18% | 60% | ||
| Nashville SC Wins | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 8% | 14% | 18% | 60% | ||