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Thu Oct 15 1:00 am

MLS - Week 35 of 38

New York Red Bull Playoff Picture

Where are the Red Bull going in the playoff? The Red Bull playoff picture table presents the probabilities that the Red Bull will win each playoff spot. All future unplayed games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Eastern Conference Playoff Standings
Record Conference Playoff Spots No
Playoffs
No
POs
Team Wi
Schedule Content
Number of Wins
-----
Hover/Touch Content
Recent Games
L T GPi
Games Played
34 game season
Pts 1*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
2*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
3*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
4*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantage
5**
First Round Bye
6**
First Round Bye
7**
First Round Bye
8***
First Round Home Field
Advantage
9 10
Nashville SC 20i
Nashville SC Recent Games

Won  Sat, Sep 19 vs Fire              3-0
Won  Sat, Sep 26 vs Toronto FC        2-0
Won  Sat, Oct 10 @  Austin FC         4-1
Won  Wed, Oct 14 vs Sporting KC       4-0
     Sat, Oct 17 @  Earthquakes       
     Sat, Oct 24 @  CF Montréal       
     Wed, Oct 28 vs Union             
     Sun, Nov 01 vs Red Bull          

3 6 29 66 >99% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
Inter Miami CF 14
Inter Miami CF Recent Games

Tie  Sun, Sep 20 vs San Diego FC      2-2
Lost Sun, Sep 27 @  Crew              1-2
Won  Sat, Oct 10 vs D.C. United       4-0
Won  Wed, Oct 14 vs NY City FC        2-0
     Sat, Oct 17 @  Atlanta United    
     Sat, Oct 24 @  Red Bull          
     Wed, Oct 28 vs FC Cincinnati     
     Sun, Nov 01 @  Revolution        

5 10 29 52 <1% 66% 21% 8% 4% 1% <1% <1% ^ ^
Revolution 15
Revolution Recent Games

Won  Sat, Sep 19 vs Orlando City SC   4-2
Lost Sat, Sep 26 @  Real Salt Lake    0-3
Lost Sat, Oct 10 vs Sounders          0-3
Won  Wed, Oct 14 @  FC Cincinnati     3-2
     Sat, Oct 17 vs Fire              
     Sat, Oct 24 @  Union             
     Wed, Oct 28 vs Red Bull          
     Sun, Nov 01 vs Inter Miami CF    

10 4 29 49 X 19% 33% 24% 16% 7% <1% <1% <1% ^
Fire 14
Fire Recent Games

Won  Sat, Sep 26 @  Charlotte FC      1-0
Won  Tue, Oct 06 vs Whitecaps         3-1
Won  Sat, Oct 10 vs NY City FC        2-1
Lost Wed, Oct 14 vs Union             1-3
     Sat, Oct 17 @  Revolution        
     Sat, Oct 24 @  Atlanta United    
     Wed, Oct 28 vs Orlando City SC   
     Sat, Oct 31 @  Rapids            

9 6 29 48 X 10% 28% 29% 22% 10% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Charlotte FC 13
Charlotte FC Recent Games

Won  Sat, Sep 19 @  D.C. United       2-1
Lost Sat, Sep 26 vs Fire              0-1
Won  Sat, Oct 10 vs FC Dallas         3-2
Lost Wed, Oct 14 @  Crew              1-3
     Sat, Oct 17 @  Union             
     Sat, Oct 24 @  Timbers           
     Wed, Oct 28 vs CF Montréal       
     Sat, Oct 31 vs Orlando City SC   

9 7 29 46 X 3% 11% 22% 30% 32% 2% <1% <1% <1%
Union 13
Union Recent Games

Won  Sat, Sep 19 @  Sporting KC       4-3
Won  Sat, Sep 26 vs Orlando City SC   4-2
Won  Sat, Oct 10 vs Real Salt Lake    2-1
Won  Wed, Oct 14 @  Fire              3-1
     Sat, Oct 17 vs Charlotte FC      
     Sat, Oct 24 vs Revolution        
     Wed, Oct 28 @  Nashville SC      
     Sat, Oct 31 @  FC Cincinnati     

10 6 29 45 X 1% 8% 17% 26% 44% 4% <1% <1% <1%
Orlando City SC 11
Orlando City SC Recent Games

Lost Sat, Sep 19 @  Revolution        2-4
Lost Sat, Sep 26 @  Union             2-4
Won  Sat, Oct 10 vs Crew              3-2
Tie  Wed, Oct 14 @  Toronto FC        3-3
     Sat, Oct 17 vs D.C. United       
     Sat, Oct 24 vs NY City FC        
     Wed, Oct 28 @  Fire              
     Sat, Oct 31 @  Charlotte FC      

13 5 29 38 X <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 31% 23% 17% 26%
FC Cincinnati 9
FC Cincinnati Recent Games

Tie  Sat, Sep 19 @  Dynamo            2-2
Lost Sat, Sep 26 @  CF Montréal       1-3
Won  Sat, Oct 10 @  Atlanta United    3-1
Lost Wed, Oct 14 vs Revolution        2-3
     Sun, Oct 18 vs Crew              
     Wed, Oct 21 vs D.C. United       
     Sat, Oct 24 @  D.C. United       
     Wed, Oct 28 @  Inter Miami CF    

10 9 28 36 X <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 24% 22% 16% 35%
Red Bull 10
Red Bull Recent Games

Won  Fri, Sep 18 @  NY City FC        1-0
Lost Wed, Sep 30 vs St. Louis City SC 0-3
Won  Sat, Oct 10 vs San Diego FC      4-1
Lost Wed, Oct 14 @  D.C. United       1-2
     Sat, Oct 17 vs Toronto FC        
     Sat, Oct 24 vs Inter Miami CF    
     Wed, Oct 28 @  Revolution        
     Sun, Nov 01 @  Nashville SC      

13 6 29 36 X X <1% <1% <1% <1% 8% 14% 18% 60%
 
D.C. United 7
D.C. United Recent Games

Lost Sat, Sep 19 vs Charlotte FC      1-2
Tie  Sat, Sep 26 @  Whitecaps         3-3
Lost Sat, Oct 10 @  Inter Miami CF    0-4
Won  Wed, Oct 14 vs Red Bull          2-1
     Sat, Oct 17 @  Orlando City SC   
     Wed, Oct 21 @  FC Cincinnati     
     Sat, Oct 24 vs FC Cincinnati     
     Wed, Oct 28 @  Toronto FC        

9 12 28 33 X X <1% <1% <1% <1% 10% 11% 12% 67%
NY City FC 8
NY City FC Recent Games

Lost Fri, Sep 18 vs Red Bull          0-1
Tie  Sat, Sep 26 @  Atlanta United    2-2
Lost Sat, Oct 10 @  Fire              1-2
Lost Wed, Oct 14 @  Inter Miami CF    0-2
     Sat, Oct 17 vs LAFC              
     Sat, Oct 24 @  Orlando City SC   
     Wed, Oct 28 vs Atlanta United    
     Sat, Oct 31 vs CF Montréal       

12 9 29 33 X X X X <1% <1% 15% 17% 18% 50%
Toronto FC 7
Toronto FC Recent Games

Lost Sat, Sep 19 @  St. Louis City SC 1-3
Lost Sat, Sep 26 @  Nashville SC      0-2
Won  Sat, Oct 10 vs CF Montréal       2-1
Tie  Wed, Oct 14 vs Orlando City SC   3-3
     Sat, Oct 17 @  Red Bull          
     Sat, Oct 24 @  Crew              
     Wed, Oct 28 vs D.C. United       
     Sun, Nov 01 @  Atlanta United    

10 12 29 33 X X X X <1% <1% 2% 5% 9% 84%
Crew 9
Crew Recent Games

Won  Sat, Sep 19 @  CF Montréal       2-0
Won  Sun, Sep 27 vs Inter Miami CF    2-1
Lost Sat, Oct 10 @  Orlando City SC   2-3
Won  Wed, Oct 14 vs Charlotte FC      3-1
     Sun, Oct 18 @  FC Cincinnati     
     Sat, Oct 24 vs Toronto FC        
     Wed, Oct 28 @  FC Dallas         
     Sat, Oct 31 vs D.C. United       

15 5 29 32 X X X X <1% <1% 3% 6% 9% 82%
Atlanta United 8
Atlanta United Recent Games

Won  Sat, Sep 19 @  Timbers           1-0
Tie  Sat, Sep 26 vs NY City FC        2-2
Lost Sat, Oct 10 vs FC Cincinnati     1-3
Won  Wed, Oct 14 @  CF Montréal       3-0
     Sat, Oct 17 vs Inter Miami CF    
     Sat, Oct 24 vs Fire              
     Wed, Oct 28 @  NY City FC        
     Sun, Nov 01 vs Toronto FC        

15 6 29 30 X X X X X <1% <1% 1% 2% 96%
CF Montréal 6
CF Montréal Recent Games

Lost Sat, Sep 19 vs Crew              0-2
Won  Sat, Sep 26 vs FC Cincinnati     3-1
Lost Sat, Oct 10 @  Toronto FC        1-2
Lost Wed, Oct 14 vs Atlanta United    0-3
     Sat, Oct 17 @  Sounders          
     Sat, Oct 24 vs Nashville SC      
     Wed, Oct 28 @  Charlotte FC      
     Sat, Oct 31 @  NY City FC        

17 6 29 24 X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% >99%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *   denotes first round bye and second round home field advantage in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home bye in the playoffs
  • *** denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs


(9) Red Bull 1st Round Playoff Matchup Probabilities
Record Total Home
(14%)
Away
(18%)
Opponent W L T
Bye 8%
(7)Orlando City SC 11 13 5 9% 3% 6%
(8)FC Cincinnati 9 10 9 8% 3% 5%
(11)NY City FC 8 12 9 7% 4% 3%
(10)D.C. United 7 9 12 4% 2% 3%
(13)Crew 9 15 5 2% 1% 1%
(12)Toronto FC 7 10 12 1% 1% 1%
(14)Atlanta United 8 15 6 <1% <1% <1%
(6)Union 13 10 6 <1% <1% <1%
(5)Charlotte FC 13 9 7 <1% <1% <1%
(4)Fire 14 9 6 <1% <1% <1%
(3)Revolution 15 10 4 <1% <1% <1%
(15)CF Montréal 6 17 6 <1% <1% <1%
(2)Inter Miami CF 14 5 10 <1% X <1%
(1)Nashville SC 20 3 6 X X X
Elimination 60%



Red Bull Schedule
Current Week 35
Week Wk Opponent Score Home / Away Date / Time (ET)
1 Orlando City SC
(11‑13‑5)
2‑1 Away Sat Feb 21, 7:30 pm
2 Revolution
(15‑10‑4)
1‑0 Home Sat Feb 28, 2:30 pm
3 CF Montréal
(6‑17‑6)
0‑3 Home Sun Mar 8, 4:30 pm
4 Toronto FC
(7‑10‑12)
1‑1 Away Sat Mar 14, 1:00 pm
5 Charlotte FC
(13‑9‑7)
1‑6 Away Sat Mar 21, 7:30 pm
7 FC Cincinnati
(9‑10‑9)
4‑2 Home Sat Apr 4, 7:30 pm
8 Inter Miami CF
(14‑5‑10)
2‑2 Away Sat Apr 11, 7:30 pm
9 CF Montréal
(6‑17‑6)
1‑4 Away Sat Apr 18, 2:30 pm
10 D.C. United
(7‑9‑12)
4‑4 Home Wed Apr 22, 7:30 pm
10 FC Cincinnati
(9‑10‑9)
0‑2 Away Sat Apr 25, 7:30 pm
11 FC Dallas
(14‑7‑8)
0‑2 Home Sat May 2, 7:30 pm
12 Fire
(14‑9‑6)
3‑1 Away Sat May 9, 2:30 pm
13 Crew
(9‑15‑5)
3‑2 Home Wed May 13, 7:30 pm
13 NY City FC
(8‑12‑9)
1‑1 Home Sat May 16, 7:30 pm
14 Sporting KC
(6‑19‑4)
2‑1 Away Sat May 23, 8:30 pm
23 Union
(13‑10‑6)
1‑3 Away Wed Jul 22, 7:30 pm
23 Charlotte FC
(13‑9‑7)
0‑2 Home Sat Jul 25, 6:30 pm
24 Orlando City SC
(11‑13‑5)
3‑2 Home Sat Aug 1, 7:30 pm
26 Atlanta United
(8‑15‑6)
1‑2 Away Sat Aug 15, 7:30 pm
27 Nashville SC
(20‑3‑6)
0‑1 Home Wed Aug 19, 7:30 pm
27 Fire
(14‑9‑6)
1‑1 Home Sat Aug 22, 7:30 pm
28 Union
(13‑10‑6)
1‑3 Home Sat Aug 29, 7:30 pm
29 Sounders
(11‑10‑8)
0‑0 Away Sat Sep 5, 8:30 pm
30 LAFC
(12‑9‑9)
0‑2 Away Wed Sep 9, 10:30 pm
30 Crew
(9‑15‑5)
1‑0 Away Sat Sep 12, 7:30 pm
31 NY City FC
(8‑12‑9)
1‑0 Away Fri Sep 18, 7:30 pm
33 St. Louis City SC
(14‑6‑9)
0‑3 Home Wed Sep 30, 7:30 pm
34 San Diego FC
(8‑12‑9)
4‑1 Home Sat Oct 10, 7:30 pm
35 D.C. United
(7‑9‑12)
1‑2 Away Wed Oct 14, 7:30 pm
35 Toronto FC
(7‑10‑12)
  Home Sat Oct 17, 7:30 pm
36 Inter Miami CF
(14‑5‑10)
  Home Sat Oct 24, 5:30 pm
37 Revolution
(15‑10‑4)
  Away Wed Oct 28, 7:30 pm
37 Nashville SC
(20‑3‑6)
  Away Sun Nov 1, 4:30 pm
38 Atlanta United
(8‑15‑6)
  Home Sat Nov 7, 4:00 pm