The Most Important Games for the Commanders are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Commanders final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Commanders fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Commanders Resultant Playoff Probabilities | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |||
| Commanders (0‑2) vs Seahawks (2‑0) |
11 | Commanders Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 80% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 84% | ||
| Seahawks Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 88% | ||
| Rams (0‑1) vs Giants (1‑0) |
1 | Rams Wins | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 83% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 84% | ||
| Giants Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 84% | ||
| Broncos (1‑1) vs Rams (0‑1) |
1 | Broncos Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 83% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 84% | ||
| Rams Wins | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 84% | ||
| Falcons (0‑2) vs Packers (1‑1) |
1 | Falcons Wins | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 83% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 84% | ||
| Packers Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 84% | ||
| Ravens (1‑1) vs Cowboys (1‑1) |
1 | Ravens Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 83% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 84% | ||
| Cowboys Wins | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 84% | ||
| Browns (1‑1) vs Panthers (1‑1) |
1 | Browns Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 83% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 84% | ||
| Panthers Wins | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 84% | ||
| Titans (0‑2) vs Giants (1‑0) |
0 | Titans Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 83% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 84% | ||
| Giants Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 83% | ||
| Saints (1‑1) vs Raiders (2‑0) |
0 | Saints Wins | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 84% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 84% | ||
| Raiders Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 84% | ||
| Bears (1‑1) vs Eagles (2‑0) |
0 | Bears Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 84% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 84% | ||
| Eagles Wins | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 5% | 84% | ||
| Forty-Niners49ers (2‑0) vs Cardinals (1‑1) |
0 | Forty-Niners49ers Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 83% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 84% | ||
| Cardinals Wins | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 83% | ||
| Lions (1‑1) vs Jets (1‑1) |
0 | Lions Wins | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 83% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 84% | ||
| Jets Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 83% | ||
| Buccaneers (0‑2) vs Vikings (2‑0) |
0 | Buccaneers Wins | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 83% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 84% | ||
| Vikings Wins | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 84% | ||